Arizona Diamondbacks vs Chicago White Sox Preview
From Chase Field in Phoenix, we have an interleague matchup between the White Sox and Diamondbacks. First pitch on Friday is set for 9:40 PM ET. NBCS will be televising this one, and the Diamondbacks are favored at -178 on the money line. The White Sox are +149, and the over/under line is currently at 9 runs.
Chicago comes in with a record of 18-52 and is currently in 5th place in the AL Central, while the Diamondbacks are 4th in the NL West with an overall record of 33-36. Chris Flexen will be starting for the White Sox, and he will be facing off against Ryne Nelson.
Check out BetCoco for Arizona Diamondbacks – Chicago White Sox odds
Arizona Diamondbacks Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the White Sox are 1-4. This includes going 3-2 vs. the runline.
- On the opposing side, the Diamondbacks have a 3-2 (SU) record, along with a 1-4 record in their last five home contests.
- As the favorite, the Diamondbacks are 6-4 over their last ten games, including going 3-7 vs. the runline.
- Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the White Sox have a straight-up record of 2-8 and a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Chicago White Sox Prediction
Heading into their last game vs. the Mariners, the White Sox closed out the series with a 3-2 win. Leading up to thethe game, they were the slight favorite at -102 on the money line. It was a big game for the White Sox, as they needed a win to close out the series and pick up some momentum. After falling behind early, the White Sox scored two runs in the 3rd inning to take the lead and added another run in the 10th to pick up the win.
Garrett Crochet put together a good start for the White Sox, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run, and striking out 13. However, the White Sox’s offense was only able to score three runs, and Andrew Vaughn’s homer in the 10th was the difference. The White Sox also used Tanner Banks out of the bullpen to close things out, and he picked up the save.
Chicago is on the road today vs. the Diamondbacks with an overall record of 18-52, which includes a mark of 5-19 in AL Central games. Currently, they are 27 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. The White Sox have really struggled on the road, going just 6-29 compared to 12-23 at home.
So far, the White Sox have really struggled as the underdog, going 15-52, and they are 4-16-2 in series this year. Their overall series record includes losing their most recent series vs. the Mariners. Heading into today’s game, the White Sox have gone just 3-7 over their last 10.
Chicago is 31-39 against the run line this season, including a 14-21 mark on the road. The White Sox have covered the run line in three straight games as the underdog and are 3-0 as the favorite.
Chicago White Sox games have averaged 8.2 runs per game this season, and the over/under record for their games is 33-34. The over/under line for today’s game against the Arizona Diamondbacks is set at 9 runs. The White Sox have played in 57 games with lower lines than 9 runs, and their games have gone under in their last three contests.
Right-hander Chris Flexen gets the start for the White Sox today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. He has made 12 starts this year and has a record of 2-5 with an ERA of 5.06. Flexen’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.30. Looking at his overall numbers, Flexen has issued 3.38 walks per nine innings compared to 6.89 strikeouts. Flexen has made two quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up two earned runs in five innings of work. He finished with a no-decision in that outing.
Chicago has been one of the worst offensive teams in the league so far this season, as they are dead last in team batting average and on-base percentage. Overall, they are averaging just 3.1 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. The White Sox have been slightly better at home, averaging 3.2 runs per game.
Paul DeJong and Gavin Sheets are the top home run hitters for the White Sox this season, but both are batting just .232 and .238, respectively. However, Andrew Vaughn has been swinging the bat well of late, going 11/33 in his last eight games with four homers. This has brought his season average up to .227. Luis Robert Jr. has also hit four homers in his last seven games but is batting just .174 over that stretch.
Heading into their last game vs. the Angels, the Diamondbacks closed out the series with an impressive 11-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -200. It was a big first inning for the Diamondbacks, as they scored three runs, and the Angels could only score one run, and that came in the 4th.
Brandon Pfaadt put together a good start for the Diamondbacks, going six innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Arizona’s offense was carried by Christian Walker, who went 2/5 with two homers and four RBIs.
Arizona is 33-36 overall this season, and they are 4th in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by 8.5 games. The Diamondbacks are 15-12 against other teams in the NL West. Arizona will host the White Sox today with an overall series record of 8-11-3.
At home, the Diamondbacks are 17-17 this year compared to a mark of 16-19 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 32 of their games, going 18-14 in those matchups. As the home favorite, the Diamondbacks are 14-10 this year.
When the Diamondbacks win, they do so by an average of 4.3 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 4.0 runs per game. As a result, their overall run differential is exactly zero, and their run line record is 32-37. They are 14-20 against the run line at home, and 18-17 against the run line on the road.
The Diamondbacks have seen a lot of high-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 9.6 runs per game. Their over/under record is 34-33, and when the line is set at 9 runs, they are 6-8-1. They have gone over the line in six straight games, and 17.4% of their games this season have had higher lines than today’s 9-run total.
Ryne Nelson will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Padres, as he gets the start for the Diamondbacks today. In that June 8th start, he took the loss and gave up five earned runs in just 3 1/3 innings of work. Looking back over his last three starts, Nelson has given up at least three earned runs in each outing. Nelson’s ERA for the season is 5.96, along with a record of 3-5. Opposing batters are hitting .324 off Nelson this season. Per nine innings, he has 5.79 strikeouts and 2.98 walks.
Arizona comes into today’s game as one of the league’s top offensive teams, averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 4.7 runs per game. Overall, they are 7th in team batting average, hitting a combined .249. The Diamondbacks have also been good at avoiding strikeouts and are 7th in the league in walks.
Christian Walker and Ketel Marte have been the team’s top power threats this season, with Walker leading the team with 15 homers and Marte right behind him with 14. Walker has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/27 in his last six games with three homers. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has also been swinging a hot bat, going 8/23 in his last six games.
With the Diamondbacks at -178 to pick up the win, there is some value in taking them on the money line. However, we are actually going to be going with the over, as we see this one ending with a score of 6-5 in favor of the Diamondbacks.
Our predicted starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks is Ryne Nelson, and he is projected to finish with five strikeouts. As for Chris Flexen, he is projected to finish with five K’s as well. However, Flexen is not a good option to pick up the win, as he is 17th among starters in terms of his chances of getting a win.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Chicago White Sox Betting Tips
- Take the Diamondbacks on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the White Sox (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Arizona Diamondbacks Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez | Out | Shoulder |
| Miguel Castro | Out | Shoulder |
| Zac Gallen | Out | Hamstring |
| Alek Thomas | Out | Hamstring |
| Merrill Kelly | Out | Shoulder |
| Kyle Nelson | Out | Shoulder |
| Drey Jameson | Out | Elbow |
| Blake Walston | Out | Elbow |
| Andrew Saalfrank | Out | Suspension |
Chicago White Sox Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Max Stassi | Out | Hip |
| Dominic Leone | Out | Elbow |
| Tommy Pham | Out | Ankle |
| Mike Clevinger | Out | Elbow |
| Eloy Jiménez | Out | Hamstring |
| Yoán Moncada | Out | Groin |
| Matt Foster | Out | Elbow |
| Jimmy Lambert | Out | Shoulder |
| Jesse Scholtens | Out | Elbow |
| Dominic Fletcher | Out | Shoulder |
