Arizona Diamondbacks vs Atlanta Braves Prediction & Betting Tips 7/9/2024

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Atlanta Braves Preview

Chris Sale will start for the Braves on Tuesday, as they are looking to extend their three-game winning streak. The Braves are 50-39 this season and they are 2nd in the NL East. Arizona will be starting Zac Gallen and they are 3rd in the NL West. At Chase Field in Phoenix, the Diamondbacks are the slight money line underdog (+105).

The over/under line for Tuesday’s matchup is at 7.5 runs, and first pitch is set for 9:40 PM ET. This NL matchup can be seen on ESPN.

Check out BetCoco for Arizona Diamondbacks – Atlanta Braves odds

Arizona Diamondbacks Trends and Key Stats

• Across their last five road games, the Braves are 2-3. This includes going 1-4 vs. the runline.
• The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 4-1 (SU) and 4-1 record.
• The Braves have a straight-up record of 5-5 in their last ten games as the favorite, with a runline record of 3-7.
• The Diamondbacks have a 5-5 record vs. the runline and a 5-5 straight-up record in their last ten games as the underdog.

The most recent game o of this Braves vs Diamondbacks series came right down to the end, as the Braves rallied late for a 5-4 win. Heading into the game, the Braves were favored at -113 on the money line.

Atlanta’s offense got off to a fast start in the game, scoring one run in the first and adding two more in the 2nd. However, they went silent until breaking out for two more in the top of the 9th. As for the Diamondbacks, they scored their first run in the 4th and added three more in the 6th, but could not push across another run after that.

Sean Murphy and Austin Riley each homered for the Braves, while Yilber Diaz hit a home run for the Diamondbacks. Murphy finished the game with two hits and two RBIs.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Atlanta Braves Prediction

With an overall record of 50-39, the Braves are 2nd in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 7.5 games. The Braves have won three straight games, and they are 14-12 against other teams in the NL East. Atlanta took the first game of this series vs. the Diamondbacks and has an overall series record of 17-11-2 this year.

At home, the Braves have gone 29-17 this year, and they are just above .500 at 21-22 on the road. As the favorite, the Braves are 47-33 this year, and they are 18-16 as the favorite on the road. So far, they have gone 3-6 as the underdog.

When it comes to run line betting, the Braves have been a solid play, going 42-47 overall. They have been a slightly better bet on the road, going 21-22 compared to 21-25 at home. They have an average run margin of 0.7 runs per game, and they are 37-43 against the run line as the favorite.

Today’s over/under line for the Braves-Diamondbacks game is 7.5 runs. The Braves have played 70 games with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs this season, which is 78.7% of their games. Their games have averaged 8.0 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 30-54.

Chris Sale gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. He has made 16 starts this year and has a record of 11-3 with a 2.71 ERA. Sale’s WHIP for the season is currently .91, and opponents are batting .193 off the left-hander this year. In his last outing, Sale went six innings, giving up one earned run and picking up the win. Looking back over his last four starts, he has allowed a total of four earned runs. Sale has been especially tough at home, coming in with a record of 8-0 and 3.40 ERA compared to 3-3 with a 2.65 ERA on the road.

Marcell Ozuna has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 23 homers are 4th in the league and the best mark on the Braves. Ozuna is also 3rd in the league with 73 RBIs. However, he has gone just 5/22 in his last six games. Ozzie Albies has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/23 in his last six games.

As a team, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They are also 10th in home runs and have a team batting average of .242. Atlanta’s offense is hoping to get a boost from Austin Riley, who is 6/21 in his last six games with two homers.

Arizona is 45-46 overall and trails the Dodgers by 10 games in the NL West. Currently, they are 3rd in the division and are 19-14 in games against other NL West teams. The Diamondbacks are at home today, where they are 22-22 this season.

As the underdog, Arizona is 23-28 this year, compared to a mark of 22-18 as the favorite. The Diamondbacks have an overall series record of 13-13-3 this year, and they have won three straight series. Arizona’s overall record includes going 6-4 over their last 10 games.

Arizona is a team that has been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 46-45 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 26-21 vs. the run line. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 30-21 vs. the run line, compared to 16-24 as a favorite. The Diamondbacks have a run differential of +0.1 runs per game this season.

Arizona has played to an over/under record of 47-41 this season, with the average line for their games set at 9 runs. When the line has been set at 7.5 runs, they have gone over the total in five of nine games. Overall, 84.6% of their games have had higher lines than 7.5 runs, with the combined run average in their games sitting at 9.8 runs per game.

Zac Gallen gets the start for the Diamondbacks today and comes into the game with a record of 6-4 and an ERA of 3.06. Looking at his overall numbers, Gallen has made 13 starts, and opponents are batting .220 this year. In his 13 appearances, Gallen has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 9.44 strikeouts per nine innings. The right-hander most recently faced the Dodgers, where he gave up three earned runs in four innings of work. Before that outing, he had not allowed a homer in three straight starts.

Christian Walker has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Diamondbacks, going 9/26 (.346) over his last six games, with four homers and 10 RBIs during that stretch. Walker is 1st on the team with 65 RBIs and 22 homers, which is 5th best in the majors. Arizona’s offense is 5th in the league in runs per game at 4.9 and is batting .253 as a team.

Both Ketel Marte and Christian Walker are among the league’s top power-hitting duos, as Marte has 17 homers and Walker has 22. Marte is also batting .281 and is 3rd on the team with 51 RBIs. Gurriel Jr. is currently on a six-game hitting streak for the Diamondbacks, while Geraldo Perdomo has hit safely in four straight games.

With the Diamondbacks at +105 on the money line, we see this as a great value pick and have them winning this one by a score of 5-4. With the over/under sitting at 7.5 runs, there is a bit of wiggle room, but we like the Diamondbacks to pick up the win.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Chris Sale finishing with nine strikeouts compared to Zac Gallen with six. However, we have Gallen finishing with a higher ERA, but with the Diamondbacks lineup having a higher projected home run total, we like Gallen to get the win.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Atlanta Braves Betting Tips

• We like the Diamondbacks on the moneyline (+105)
• The Diamondbacks are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Arizona Diamondbacks Injury Report

Atlanta Braves Injury Report