Backing all the progeny of Dubawi in 3-year-old handicaps at Sandown yields a healthy profit of +£16.70 at a £1 stake, coming in at a 20.3% strike rate, so the statistics certainly favour Deciduous. Trained by Charlie Appleby, he is the least exposed runner in the lineup and makes his 2nd start in handicap company after an impressive success over this trip at Leicester last month. Although he was still green at times and flashed his tail under pressure, he stayed on very strongly up the Leicester hill to beat his stablemate Last Ammo by a length, with John Gosdens Salvator Mundi 2-lengths back in 3rd.
Both his dam and grand dam achieved peak ratings in the low 100s, so his new mark of 83 should not be beyond him. William Buick takes over from Harry Davies and he should deliver another win for the permanently in-form Appleby yard.