Goshen won this in fine style last year on Heavy ground, but he is best described as unpredictable and at worst unrideable. The more rain that falls the more he will be fancied, but he had 2 hard races in recent weeks, and he meets an improving 5-year-old in the shape of Adagio. David Pipe’s charge proved that his Juvenile campaign was no fluke when he produced a career best to finish 2nd in the Greatwood hurdle in November carrying top weight. That effort confirms that he is good value for his official rating of 152 and in receipt of 3lbs he could get the better of Goshen.