The closest of all the Champions League quarter finals, last week’s first leg at the Etihad was a tight, attritional game that was set alight by a moment of brilliance from Phil Foden. That’s the way that Simeone and Atletico look to play, but at some point, they are going to have to go in search of an equalizer and that could leave some space for City to exploit. Both sides had their chances last week and so at the current prices, the draw looks the most likely.