Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction & Betting Tips 9/29/2024

Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles Preview

At 3:10 PM ET, the Orioles and Twins face off in an AL matchup. This one is being played at Target Field in Minneapolis, and the Twins are favored on the money line at -169. The money line odds for an Orioles win are sitting at +141. Today’s over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and the game will be televised on MASN.

Baltimore will be looking to keep their two-game winning streak alive, and they are 90-71 this season. They are second in the AL East, while the Twins are 4th in the AL Central. Bailey Ober will start for the Twins, and he is facing off against Albert Suarez for the Orioles.

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Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Orioles Trends and Key Stats

• The Orioles are 4-1 in their five most recent road games, including a 4-1 runline record.
• Conversely, the Twins have achieved a 1-4 (SU) record and 2-3 record in their last five home games.
• As the favorite, the Twins are 2-8 over their last ten games, including going 2-8 vs. the runline.
• Looking at the Orioles’ previous ten games as the underdog they are 5-5 straight-up and 5-5 vs. the runline.

Baltimore cruised to a 9-2 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had a huge 2nd inning, scoring three runs, and added two more in the 5th. As for the Twins, they scored their only two runs in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Orioles were at +103 on the money line.

Matt Bowman only went 1 1/3 innings for the Orioles but didn’t give up a run and got the win. Zebby Matthews had a rough outing for the Twins, going just three innings and giving up six runs. He took the loss.

Emmanuel Rivera was the star of the game for the Orioles, going 4/4 with two homers and four RBIs. Ryan O’Hearn also had a two-hit game and drove in two runs. As for the Twins, Ryan Jeffers went 2/4 with a homer.

Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

The Orioles are 90-71 overall this season, putting them three games behind the Yankees in the AL East. They have gone 32-20 in divisional games this season and have won two straight games. Baltimore has taken the first two games of this series vs. the Twins and are 26-18-7 in series this year.

At home, the Orioles are 44-37 this season, and they have gone 46-34 on the road. As the underdog, the Orioles have gone 20-19 this year, and they are 16-15 as the road underdog. Baltimore’s two-game win streak as the underdog is part of their overall record of 70-52 as the favorite.

The Orioles have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 86-75 overall. They are 48-32 on the run line on the road, including covering in their last two road games. Baltimore has been a better bet as an underdog, going 26-13 on the run line in those games.

The Baltimore Orioles are on the road today against the Minnesota Twins. The O/U line for the game is set at 7.5, which is lower than their average O/U line for the season. The Orioles have gone over the total in 87 of their 150 games this season, and their games have averaged a combined 9.2 runs per game. The over has hit in 10 of their 17 games this season when the O/U line has been set at 7.5 runs, and their games have gone over the total in four straight contests.

Right-hander Albert Suárez is starting for the Orioles today as he faces the Twins on the road. This year, he has made 23 starts and six of them have been quality starts. Suárez’s record for the season is 8-7, and he comes in with an ERA of 3.74. Looking at his overall numbers, Suárez has a WHIP of 1.32 and is averaging 7.33 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Suárez gave up four earned runs in five innings of work, taking the loss. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

Coming into the game, the Orioles are the 4th highest-scoring team in the league, averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. As a team, they are 2nd in the league in home runs and have the 6th best team batting average in the MLB.

Anthony Santander leads the Orioles in home runs and RBIs this season, but he is batting just .235. Gunnar Henderson has been the team’s top hitter this season, batting .282 with 37 homers. Adley Rutschman has gone 8/27 in his last six games, and Emmanuel Rivera has two homers in his last five games while batting .636.

With an overall record of 82-79, the Twins are 10 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. Currently, they are 4th in the division and have gone 29-23 against other AL Central teams. The Twins have dropped three straight games, and they are just 2-8 over their last 10 contests.

At home, the Twins are 43-37 this season and 39-42 on the road. So far, they have been favored in 114 games, going 65-49 in those contests. As for their games as the underdog, the Twins are 17-30 this year. Minnesota’s overall series record is 26-21-4, but they have dropped four straight series. At home, they have lost two straight series.

Minnesota has been a tough team to bet on this season, as they are just 73-88 against the run line. They have been a bit better at home, going 33-47. They have been a slight favorite in most games, going 48-66 against the run line as the favorite. Their average run differential is just 0.1 runs per game, and they have been outscored by 0.1 runs per game on the road.

The Minnesota Twins are at home today against the Baltimore Orioles. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their average combined run average of 9.1 runs per game. The Twins have played 105 games with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs this season, and their over/under record is 83-72 overall. Their current over streak is at four games.

Right-hander Bailey Ober gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Orioles at home. He has made 30 starts this season and has a record of 12-8 with a 3.94 ERA. Opposing batters have hit .205 off Ober this season, and he has a WHIP of 1.00. Ober’s last outing came on September 24th, where he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had gone seven innings in back-to-back outings and didn’t give up more than two earned runs in either of those starts. Ober has one complete game and 18 quality starts this season.

Carlos Santana comes into the game as the Twins’ leader in home runs, with 22, and RBIs, with 70. However, he is batting just .237 for the season. Willi Castro and Ryan Jeffers are also near the top of the Twins’ home run and RBI leaderboards, with 12 and 60 RBIs for Castro and 21 homers for Jeffers. Castro is batting .247, while Jeffers is hitting just .226. Jeffers is looking to get back on track, as he has gone just 4/21 in his last five games.

Byron Buxton has been swinging a hot bat for the Twins, going 9/26 in his last six games. This has pushed his season average up to .246. Buxton is also on a seven-game hitting streak. Overall, the Twins are 10th in the league in scoring, at 4.6 runs per game.

Our prediction for this Orioles vs. Twins matchup is to take the Twins to win with a final score of 6-5. However, with the Twins being -169 on the money line, we actually prefer to take the over, as we have the teams combining for 11 runs, and the line is currently sitting at 7.5.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Bailey Ober finishing with seven strikeouts, which is good for fifth among starters. As for Albert Suarez, we have him finishing with six, which is sixth best. Offensively, we have the Twins finishing with nine team strikeouts, and the Orioles with nine.

Looking at the Orioles vs. Twins starting lineups, the Twins are projected to finish with nine hits, compared to the Orioles with nine.

Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Tips

• Take the Twins on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Orioles (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Minnesota Twins Injury Report

Baltimore Orioles Injury Report