New York Yankees vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction & Betting Tips 9/29/2024

New York Yankees vs Pittsburgh Pirates Preview

From Yankee Stadium in New York, we have the Pirates and Yankees facing off in an interleague matchup. First pitch for this one is set for 3:05 PM ET. YES will be televising this one, and the Yankees are the heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -193. The money line odds for a Pirates win are at +162, and they will be starting Bailey Falter. New York is 93-68, while the Pirates are 76-85, and they are 4th in the NL Central. The Yankees have dropped two in a row and are 1st in the AL East.

The over/under line for Sunday’s matchup is at 8.5 runs, and the Pirates will be looking to pull off the upset and end their season with a three-game winning streak. Clarke Schmidt is slated to start for the Yankees.

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New York Yankees vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Trends and Key Stats

• 3-2 is the record of Pirates in their last five road games. They have also gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
• Conversely, the Yankees have achieved a 4-1 (SU) record and 4-1 record in their last five home games.
• The Yankees have a straight-up record of 6-4 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
• When playing as the underdog, the Pirates have won 4-6 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 4-6 against the runline.

Pittsburgh cruised to a 9-4 win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Pirates had a huge 5th inning, scoring two more runs than they did in the other eight innings combined. As for the Yankees, they scored their four runs in the 6th and 7th innings.

Mike Burrows got the win for the Pirates out of the bullpen, while Aroldis Chapman got the save. Luis Gil had a rough outing for the Yankees, taking the loss.

At the plate, Yasmani Grandal and Nick Yorke each homered for the Pirates, while Jared Triolo went 1/4 with three RBIs and two runs scored. Billy Cook also had a two RBI game at the plate.

New York Yankees vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

Pittsburgh is 76-85 overall and leads the Cardinals and Reds by six games for 3rd place in the NL Central. So far, they have gone 25-27 against other teams in the NL Central and are 17 games behind the Brewers for the division lead. The Pirates have won two straight games, and this came after dropping three in a row.

At home, the Pirates are 39-42 this season and have gone 37-43 on the road. As the road underdog, the Pirates are 26-36 this season compared to 34-28 as the favorite. Pittsburgh has won three straight games as the road underdog, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games overall. So far this year, they have an overall series record of 20-25-6 and have dropped four straight series.

Despite their overall run differential being negative, the Pirates have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 86-75. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 47-33 against the run line. They have covered the run line in three straight road games and are 62-37 as an underdog this season.

The Pirates are on the road against the Yankees today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly lower than their combined season average of 8.7 runs per game. Overall, the Pirates have played 159 games this season, and the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs or higher in 24 of those games, which accounts for just 14.9% of their games. Their over/under record for the season is 77-82, and their average over/under line for the season is 8 runs per game.

Bailey Falter gets the start for the Pirates today and is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Brewers. In that start, he took the loss, going 5 innings and giving up 4 earned runs. Looking back further, he has lost each of his last two outings and has given up at least 2 earned runs in three straight starts. Falter’s record for the season is 8-9, and he has an ERA of 4.26. Opponents are batting .250 off the left-hander this season. One positive note is that he has eight quality starts this year. Per nine innings, Falter is averaging 6.27 strikeouts and 2.71 walks.

Heading into today’s game, Bryan Reynolds and Oneil Cruz have been the Pirates’ top power threats, as Reynolds leads the team with 24 homers, while Cruz is right behind him with 21. Reynolds’ 88 RBIs are also the best mark on the team. Cruz comes into the game with a batting average of .260, and Reynolds is hitting .276. Reynolds is also on a three-game hitting streak but has gone just 5/22 in his last six games.

As a team, the Pirates are 24th in the league in scoring at 4.1 runs per game. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.2 runs per game. Overall, they are batting just .235, which is 16th in the league. Pittsburgh’s team on-base percentage of .301 is 20th in the league.

The Yankees host the Pirates today with an overall record of 93-68, and they lead the AL East by three games over the Orioles. New York has dropped two straight games, and this comes after winning five of six. So far, they are just 26-26 against other AL East teams.

At home, the Yankees are 43-37 this year and 50-31 on the road. This season, they have gone 42-35 as the home favorite, and they are 75-60 when favored overall. As for their record as the underdog, the Yankees are 18-8 this year.

When the Yankees are favored, they are just 61-74 against the run line, but as underdogs, they are 22-4. Their overall run line record is 83-78, with an average run differential of +0.9 runs per game. The Yankees are 34-46 against the run line at home, where their average run differential is +0.4 runs per game.

The New York Yankees are playing at home today against the Pittsburgh Pirates. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Yankees’ games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 85-71. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 33-23. Overall, 52 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 32.3% of their games.

Clarke Schmidt will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Orioles, as he gets the start today vs. the Pirates. In that start vs. the Orioles, he gave up three earned runs, seven hits, and one homer in 5 1/3 innings of work. Schmidt ended up taking the loss in that outing. Looking back over his last three starts, he has finished with a no-decision, loss, and loss. Schmidt has made 15 starts this year and has a record of 5-5 with a 2.54 ERA. Opponents are batting .221 vs. Schmidt this year.

Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are the top home run hitting team in the league and are also 3rd in the league in runs scored, averaging 5 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .248 as a team, which is 8th in the league. The Yankees are also 3rd in the league in on-base percentage and have the best walk rate in the MLB.

Aaron Judge has been on fire of late, hitting .346 with five homers over his last eight games. For the season, he is batting .322 with a league-leading 144 RBIs and 58 homers. Juan Soto is also having a great season, batting .288 with 41 homers and 109 RBIs.

Our prediction for today’s Pirates and Yankees matchup is to take the over, with the line being set at 8.5 runs. We have the Yankees winning this one by a final score of 5-4, meaning there is some room to take the over, as we see this game producing a total of nine runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Clarke Schmidt of the Yankees having a much better outing than Bailey Falter of the Pirates. If you’re looking for a money line pick, we would still go with the Yankees, but the payout isn’t great at -193.

New York Yankees vs Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Tips

• Take the Yankees on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Pirates (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

New York Yankees Injury Report

Pittsburgh Pirates Injury Report