Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros Prediction & Betting Tips 9/28/2024

Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros Preview

There appears to be a chance for light rain in Cleveland on Saturday, where the Guardians will host the Astros at Progressive Field. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, with the under paying out at -106 compared to -116 for the over.

Justin Verlander will be on the mound for the Astros, and he will be facing off against Ben Lively. The Guardians are currently favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -117 compared to the Astros at -101. First pitch is set for 6:10 PM ET, and the game will be televised on BSGL.

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Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros Trends and Key Stats

• The Astros are 3-2 across their last five road games. They have gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
• The Guardians, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 3-2 (SU) and 4-1 record.
• In their previous ten games, the Astros have recorded a 7-3 record as the favorite, while they have a 4-6 record as the underdog.
• 6-4 is the record of the Guardians as the favorite, while their record as the underdog stands at 3-7.

Houston picked up a 5-2 road win over the Guardians in the most recent game of this series. The Astros offense got off to a fast start, scoring one run in the first and adding two more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Guardians got on the board with two runs in the 4th and added their final run in the 9th.

Ronel Blanco only went five innings for the Astros but didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. He finished the game with just three strikeouts and allowed two walks. Joey Cantillo struggled on the mound for the Guardians, giving up three earned runs in just 3 2/3 innings of work.

Zach Dezenzo and Victor Caratini each homered for the Astros, while Alex Bregman went 3/4 with two doubles. Kyle Tucker also had a three-hit game at the plate.

Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros Prediction

The Astros are four games ahead of the Mariners in the AL West and have an overall record of 87-73. Houston is 29-23 against other teams in the AL West. So far, they have been good at home, going 46-35, and they are just above .500 on the road at 41-38.

So far this season, the Astros have been the favorite in most of their games, where they are 67-51. As the underdog, they are 20-22 this season. Looking at their overall series record, the Astros are 27-22-2. They have won their last two series.

When betting on the Astros’ run line, it’s best to do so on the road, where they have a 44-35 record against the run line. Their average run margin on the road is +0.2, compared to +0.9 at home. They are 27-15 against the run line as underdogs and 55-63 as favorites.

The Astros are on the road against the Cleveland Guardians today. The O/U line for the game is set at 8 runs. The combined run average for Astros games this season is 8.6 runs. Houston’s over/under record for the season is 65-89, and their average O/U line is 8 runs. When the O/U line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 15-14-2. Overall, 57.5% of their games have had O/U lines set at over 8 runs, while 23.1% have had lines set at under 8 runs.

Right-hander Justin Verlander gets the start for the Astros today as he faces the Guardians on the road. This year, he has made 16 starts and has a record of 4-6 with a 5.55 ERA. Verlander’s WHIP for the season is 1.40, and opponents have a batting average of .265. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up six earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had allowed at least five earned runs in three straight starts. So far, he has made five quality starts.

Yordan Alvarez has been the Astros’ top power threat this season, as his 35 homers are not only the best mark on the team but also 8th in the league. He is also leading the Astros in RBIs with 86. Alvarez is batting .308 this season, which is the 2nd best mark on the team. Alex Bregman has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 13/38 in his last 10 games, including three homers.

As a team, the Astros are averaging 4.6 runs per game and are one of the league’s top home run hitting clubs. Overall, they are 3rd in batting average and have the 3rd fewest strikeouts in the league. Houston’s team on-base percentage is 6th in the league, but they are just 24th in walks.

Cleveland is hosting the Astros today with an overall record of 92-68, which has them leading the AL Central by six games. So far, they have gone 30-22 against other teams in the AL Central. The Guardians are looking to bounce back after dropping the first game of this series vs. the Astros.

This season, the Guardians have been really good at home, going 50-29. On the road, they are 42-39 this year. They have also been strong as the favorite, going 64-35, and they are 28-33 as the underdog. Cleveland’s overall series record is 29-16-6.

When the Cleveland Guardians win, they tend to do so by a comfortable margin, as their average run differential in victories is +3.3 runs per game. That has helped them to a run line record of 82-78 on the season, including a 39-40 mark at home. They have been profitable as an underdog, going 36-25 against the run line in those games, and have covered in four straight as the underdog.

When the Cleveland Guardians play at home, the over/under line is typically set at 8 runs, and their games have averaged a combined 8.3 runs per game this season. Overall, the over/under record for Cleveland games this season is 68-81, and when the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 13-21-6. So far this season, 71 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, which accounts for 44.4% of their games, while 49 games have had lines set lower than 8 runs, which accounts for 30.6% of their games. Currently, the under has hit in each of their last four games.

Cleveland is starting right-hander Ben Lively today vs. the Astros, and he comes into the game with a record of 13-9 and an ERA of 3.80. Lively has made 28 starts this season and has turned in nine quality starts. His WHIP for the season is currently 1.22. In his last outing, Lively picked up the win, going five innings and giving up one earned run on three hits. He has won each of his last two starts and has not allowed more than one earned run in either outing. Lively’s ERA at home is 3.96, compared to 3.95 on the road.

Jose Ramirez has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/27 in his last seven games, with three homers and eight RBIs. For the season, he is batting .277 with a team-high 38 homers and 115 RBIs. Josh Naylor is also a power threat in the lineup, as he is 2nd on the team with 31 homers and 108 RBIs.

Overall, the Guardians are averaging 4.4 runs per game and are 10th in the league in home runs. They have been a better offensive team at home this season, averaging 4.7 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .238, which is 11th in the MLB.

Our predicted final score for this Astros vs. Guardians matchup is 5-4 in favor of the Astros. With the Astros being the underdogs on the money line, we see this as a great opportunity to pick up a win.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Justin Verlander going nine innings and picking up five strikeouts. As for Ben Lively, we have him going six innings and finishing with just four K’s.

Offensively, we have the Astros finishing with nine hits compared to the Guardians, who we have finishing with nine. However, the Guardians are projected to finish with fewer runs and home runs than the Astros.

For a final prediction, we see the Astros winning this one 5-4.

Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros Betting Tips

• We like the Astros on the moneyline (-101)
• The Astros are also our pick on the spread at -1.5
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Cleveland Guardians Injury Report

Houston Astros Injury Report