Atlanta Braves vs Kansas City Royals Preview
At 7:20 PM ET, the Braves and Royals will square off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Truist Park in Atlanta, and the forecast calls for light rain and temperatures in the low 70s. Max Fried is starting for the Braves, and the Royals are going with Brady Singer.
Atlanta is the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -196 compared to the Royals at +164. The over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and the game can be seen on BSKC. The Royals are 85-74, while the Braves have an overall record of 86-71. Both teams are currently on a three-game winning streak.
Check out BetCoco for Atlanta Braves – Kansas City Royals odds
Atlanta Braves vs. Kansas City Royals Trends and Key Stats
- 4-1 is the record of Royals in their last five road games. They have also gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
- Conversely, the Braves have achieved a 4-1 (SU) record and 3-2 record in their last five home games.
- Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Braves have a straight-up record of 6-4, while going 5-5 against the runline.
- Looking at the Royals’ previous ten games as the underdog they are 2-8 straight-up and 3-7 vs. the runline.
Atlanta Braves vs Kansas City Royals Prediction
To close out their series vs. the Nationals, the Royals picked up a 7-4 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -177. Offensively, the Royals scored their seven runs on eight hits and only hit one home run. It was a big 3rd inning for the Royals, as they scored three runs in the inning, and added another three runs in the 9th to close things out.
Kris Bubic got the start for the Royals, going five innings and picking up the win. He gave up three earned runs on five hits and only had two strikeouts. The Royals’s bullpen was excellent, as they didnjson’t give up a run and closed things out in the 9th.
Kansas City is seven games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead as they are 85-74 overall. The Royals have won three straight games, and they closed out their series with the Nationals with a win. So far, they have gone 33-19 in divisional games.
As the underdog, the Royals are 35-43 this year and 40-38 as the road underdog. Kansas City has been good as the favorite, going 50-31. Their overall series record is 23-26-2 and have won two straight series on the road. At home, they have dropped two straight series.
Despite their overall run line record being just 87-72, the Royals have been a solid bet on the run line on the road this season, going 44-34. Their average run margin on the road is +0.7, compared to +0.5 at home. They’ve covered the run line in two straight road games and are 46-32 against the run line as an underdog.
The Kansas City Royals are on the road against the Atlanta Braves today, with the over/under line set at 7.5 runs. The Royals have played in 130 games with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, and their games have averaged a combined 8.6 runs per game this season. Their over/under record for the season is 69-85, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs.
Brady Singer is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Giants, as he gets the start for the Royals today vs. the Braves. In that start vs. the Giants, Singer took the loss, giving up six earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. He has lost each of his last three outings. Singer’s record for the season is 9-12, and his ERA is 3.73. Out of his 31 starts, Singer has turned in 12 quality starts and is averaging 8.55 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed 21 homers and is averaging 2.64 walks per nine innings.
As a team, the Royals are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. They have been even better at home, putting up 4.8 runs per game, which is 8th in the MLB. So far, they have been a good hitting team, with a team batting average of .250 (7th). The Royals are also one of the best teams in the league at avoiding strikeouts.
Over his last seven games, Bobby Witt Jr. has gone 9/25 (.360) and is batting .332 for the season. Witt Jr. leads the team with 32 homers and 109 RBIs. Salvador Perez is also having a strong season, hitting .273 with 27 homers. Perez is currently on a three-game hitting streak.
Heading into their last game vs. the Mets, the Braves closed out the series with a 5-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -145. Offensively, the Braves scored their five runs on json0 hits and only hit two home runs.
Spencer Schwellenbach put together a good start for the Braves, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Atlanta’s offense was carried by Michael Harris II, who went 3/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
With an overall record of 86-71, the Braves are 3rd in the NL East and trail the Phillies by seven games. They will take on the Royals at home today, having won three straight games. Atlanta closed out their series vs. the Mets with a win and took the series 1-0.
At home, the Braves are 43-33 this season and 43-38 on the road. As the favorite, the Braves are 73-53 this season and 13-18 as the underdog. Atlanta has an overall series record of 29-17-7 and have won three straight series. So far, they are 27-23 in divisional games.
Atlanta has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 75-82 overall. They’ve been especially good on the road, going 43-38 on the run line. As the favorite, they are 57-69, while they are 18-13 as the underdog. Their average run differential in wins is +3.8, while it’s -3.3 in losses.
The Braves have been involved in high-scoring games all season, as their combined run average is 8.2 runs per game. Their over/under record is 58-93, and the average over/under line in their games is 8 runs. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, the over/under record is 13-20. Overall, 73.2% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.
Left-hander Max Fried gets the start for the Braves today as he faces off against the Royals at home. Fried has made 28 starts this year and has a record of 10-10 with a 3.42 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Fried has a WHIP of 1.20 and opponents are batting .227 this year. In his 28 appearances, Fried has turned in 15 quality starts and is averaging 8.53 strikeouts per nine innings. Fried’s most recent outing came against the Marlins, where he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up two earned runs. Before that, he had lost two straight starts.
Over the past eight games, Michael Harris II has been on fire for the Braves, going 18/37 with five homers and nine RBIs. Harris is also on an eight-game hitting streak. Marcell Ozuna has also been swinging a hot bat of late, as he is on a seven-game hitting streak and has gone deep in five of his last seven games. For the season, Ozuna is batting .310 with 39 homers and 102 RBIs.
For the season, the Braves are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per game. As a team, the Braves are 4th in home runs and have the league’s 5th best isolated power figure. Overall, they are batting .244.
Our predicted final score for this game is 5-4 in favor of the Braves, which would give us a push on the money line. Instead, we are recommending taking the over at 7.5 runs, as we see this being a high-scoring game.
Looking at the starting pitcher’s projections, Max Fried is our preferred option, as he is projected to finish with six strikeouts compared to Brady Singer at five.
Atlanta Braves vs Kansas City Royals Betting Tips
- Take the Braves on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Royals (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Atlanta Braves Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Reynaldo López | Out | Shoulder |
A.J. Minter | Out | Hip |
Austin Riley | Out | Hand |
Huascar Ynoa | Out | Elbow |
Ronald Acuña Jr. | Out | Knee |
Angel Perdomo | Out | Elbow |
Ray Kerr | Out | Elbow |
Spencer Strider | Out | Elbow |
Kansas City Royals Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Will Smith | Out | Back |
Chris Stratton | Out | Forearm |
Michael Lorenzen | Questionable | Lower Body |
Hunter Harvey | Out | Back |
Josh Taylor | Out | Biceps |
Kyle Wright | Out | Shoulder |
Vinnie Pasquantino | Out | Thumb |
James McArthur | Out | Elbow |