New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Preview
There appears to be a chance of rain for Thursday’s Orioles vs. Yankees matchup in New York, as the forecasted temperature is 71 degrees. MLBN is carrying this game on TV, and the Yankees are the betting favorite at -147. The money line odds for an Orioles win are sitting at +123.
Thursday’s over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and first pitch from Yankee Stadium is set for 7:05 PM ET. Baltimore is 88-70 and they have won two straight, while the Yankees are 92-66 and are currently on a two-game losing streak. Gerrit Cole will start for the Yankees, and the Orioles are starting Corbin Burnes.
Check out BetCoco for New York Yankees – Baltimore Orioles odds
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Orioles have recorded a 3-2 record, with a 3-2 performance on the runline.
- The Yankees, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 4-1 (SU) and 4-1 record.
- Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Yankees have a straight-up record of 7-3, while going 5-5 against the runline.
- Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Orioles have a straight-up record of 5-5 and a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
Baltimore rallied for four runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this Orioles vs. Yankees series. The Orioles scored three runs in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up four in the top of the 9th, picking up a 9-7 win. Heading into the game, the Orioles were at +103 on the money line.
Zach Eflin got the start for the Orioles, going just 4 2/3 innings while giving up three runs and striking out five. Jacob Webb got the win out of the bullpen, and Keegan Akin got the save. Marcus Stroman had a rough outing for the Yankees, giving up six runs in just 3 1/3 innings of work.
Cedric Mullins, Gunnar Henderson, and Colton Cowser each had two RBIs for the Orioles’ offense. Mullins, Jordan Westburg, and James McCann each had two hits and scored two runs.
New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction
The Orioles have won two straight games and are 88-70 overall this season. In the AL East, they trail the Yankees by four games, and their division record is 32-19. Baltimore has lost five straight series, and their overall series record is 24-18-7 this year.
At home, the Orioles are 44-37 this season and have gone 44-33 on the road. As the underdog, Baltimore is 18-18 this year, with two straight wins as the underdog. They are also 70-52 when favored this season.
Despite their overall run line mark of 84-74, the Orioles have been a better bet on the road, where they are 46-31. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 24-12 as underdogs. Their average run differential on the road is +0.7 runs per game.
The Baltimore Orioles are on the road today against the New York Yankees. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Orioles games this season is 9.2 runs per game. Overall, the over/under record for Orioles games this season is 84-63. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, the over/under record for Orioles games is 10-7. This season, 79.1% of Orioles games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs.
Corbin Burnes has been pitching well for the Orioles, coming into the game with a record of 15-8 and an ERA of 2.95. He has made 31 starts this season and turned in 22 quality starts. Burnes’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.11. In his last outing, he pitched seven scoreless innings, picking up the win and giving up just three hits. Looking back over his last four outings, Burnes has given up a total of four earned runs. The right-hander has done a good job of limiting walks this season, coming in with a mark of 2.23 per nine innings.
Anthony Santander has had a rough stretch at the plate for the Orioles, going just 7/38 in his last 10 games. This includes just one home run and six RBIs. However, he is still 3rd in the league in homers this season and is 10th in the league in RBIs. Gunnar Henderson has been hot of late, batting .341 with one home run in his last 10 games. He is currently 2nd on the team with 37 homers and has driven in 91 runs.
As a team, the Orioles are 2nd in the league in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are 8th in batting average and have the league’s 2nd best isolated power figure.
The Yankees host the Orioles today with an overall record of 92-66, and they lead the AL East by four games. New York has dropped two straight games, and this comes after winning the first game of the series vs. the Orioles. So far, they are 25-26 in divisional games.
At home, the Yankees are 42-35 this year, and they are an impressive 50-31 on the road. As the favorite, the Yankees are 74-58 this year, and they have gone 18-8 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 30-15-4, and they have won five straight series.
When the Yankees are favored, they are 60-72 against the run line, but when they are the underdog, they are 22-4. The Yankees are 33-44 against the run line at home, but they are 49-32 on the road. Their average run margin is +0.9 runs per game, but they have lost two straight against the run line at home.
The New York Yankees are playing at home against the Baltimore Orioles today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Yankees games this season is 9.1 runs, and their over/under record is 83-70. The average over/under line for their games this season is 9 runs, and when the line has been set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 7-9. Overall, 137 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, which is 86.7% of their games.
New York is sending right-hander Gerrit Cole to the mound today vs. the Orioles. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 7-5 with a 3.67 ERA. Cole’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.18. In his last outing, he pitched well, going nine innings and giving up just one earned run. He finished with seven strikeouts in that outing. Before that, he had lost two straight starts. Cole’s ERA at home is 5.4 compared to 3.09 on the road.
Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are the top home run hitting team in the league and are also near the top of the league in runs scored, averaging 5 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Not only do the Yankees lead the league in home runs, but they also have the top team on-base percentage in the league.
Right fielder Aaron Judge has been the league’s top run producer this season, with 142 RBIs and also leads the league with 57 home runs. Judge is also hitting .324 for the season and has been even better of late, going 10/26 with four homers in his last eight games. Gleyber Torres is also swinging a hot bat, going 13/38 in his last eight games.
Our pick for today’s Orioles vs. Yankees matchup is to take the Orioles on the money line at +123. We have the Orioles winning this one by a final score of 5-4.
Looking at today’s starting pitchers, Gerrit Cole is projected to finish with more strikeouts than Corbin Burnes, but Cole is also a lot more expensive to pick up the win. Our projections have Cole finishing with six K’s and Burnes with five.
New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Tips
- We like the Orioles on the moneyline (+123)
- The Orioles are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
New York Yankees Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| DJ LeMahieu | Out | Hip |
| Tyler Lyons | Out | Personal |
| Lou Trivino | Out | Elbow |
| Jonathan Loáisiga | Out | Elbow |
| Nestor Cortes | Out | Elbow |
| JT Brubaker | Out | Elbow |
| Jake Cousins | Out | Pectoral |
| Kenlly Montas | Out | Personal |
Baltimore Orioles Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Burch Smith | Out | Groin |
| Jorge Mateo | Out | Elbow |
| Tyler Wells | Out | Elbow |
| John Means | Out | Elbow |
| Kyle Bradish | Out | Elbow |
| Grayson Rodriguez | Out | Lat |
| Alexis Cruz | Out | Personal |
| Christopher Ramirez | Out | Personal |
| Isaiah Kearns | Out | Personal |
| Félix Bautista | Out | Elbow |
