Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction & Betting Tips 9/26/2024

Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals Preview

Thursday’s matchup between the Cardinals and Rockies has a first pitch of 3:10 PM ET from Coors Field in Denver. The forecast for today’s game calls for clear skies and temperatures in the low 70s. Kyle Gibson will start for the Cardinals, and he is facing off against Kyle Freeland. St. Louis is 81-77, and they are 2nd in the NL Central, while the Rockies are 5th in the NL West with a record of 60-98.

The over/under line for Thursday’s game is at 10.5 runs, and the Cardinals are favored on the money line, with their line sitting at -129 compared to the Rockies at +109. Colorado is currently on a three-game losing streak, while the Cardinals have won four straight.

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Colorado Rockies vs. St. Louis Cardinals Trends and Key Stats

• Over the course of their previous five away games, the Cardinals have recorded a 2-3 record, with a 4-1 performance on the runline.
• On the opposing side, the Rockies have a 2-3 (SU) record, along with a 3-2 record in their last five home contests.
• Over their last ten games, the Cardinals have a 8-2 straight-up record when playing as the favorite, along with a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
• The Rockies have a 2-8 record vs. the runline and a 2-8 straight-up record in their last ten games as the underdog.

St. Louis picked up a 5-2 road win over the Rockies in the most recent game of this series. The Cardinals had a big 2nd inning, scoring four of their five runs. As for the Rockies, they scored their only two runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Cardinals were favored at -129 on the money line.

Erick Fedde got the win for the Cardinals, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with 10 strikeouts but issued one walk. Ryan Helsley got the save. Austin Gomber had a rough outing for the Rockies, taking the loss after going five innings and giving up four earned runs.

At the plate, Masyn Winn went 2/5 with two runs scored for the Cardinals. Ivan Herrera and Thomas Saggese also each had two hits and an RBI. For the Rockies, Brenton Doyle hit the game’s only home run and went 1/4.

Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction

St. Louis is on a four-game winning streak, and they are nine games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. The Cardinals are 81-77 overall and have a division record of 26-26. So far, they have been good at closing out series, with an overall series record of 26-20-5.

At home, the Cardinals are 44-37 this season, and they are just below .500 at 37-40 on the road. St. Louis has won three straight games as the favorite, and they are 40-37 when favored this year. As the road favorite, the Cardinals are 12-10 this season.

St. Louis has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 80-78 overall. They have been especially good on the road, going 40-37. They have covered the run line in three straight road games and are 53-28 against the run line as an underdog. Their average run differential in winning games is +2.7, while it is -3.5 in losses.

St. Louis is on the road against the Rockies, and the over/under line for the game is set at 10.5 runs. The combined run average for the Cardinals’ games this season is 8.5 runs, and their over/under record is 72-82. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 10.5 runs, they have gone 0-4. So far this season, none of their games have had an over/under line set higher than 10.5 runs, and 97.5% of their games have had lower lines. The under has hit in their last three games.

Right-hander Kyle Gibson gets the start for the Cardinals today as he faces the Rockies on the road. This year, he has made 29 starts and has a record of 8-8 with an ERA of 4.13. In his 29 appearances, Gibson has turned in 13 quality starts and is averaging 7.93 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his last outing, Gibson took the loss vs. the Guardians, giving up three earned runs on six hits in six innings of work. He has taken the loss in each of his last two outings.

So far this season, the Cardinals offense has been below average, averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 23rd in the league. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.2 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .246, which is 11th in the league, and have the 11th fewest strikeouts in the league. St. Louis is also near the bottom of the league in home runs and have a collective slugging percentage of just .388.

Over his last four games, Iván Herrera has gone 5/10 with four runs scored and a home run. For the season, he is batting .272. Alec Burleson and Paul Goldschmidt are tied for the team lead in homers, with 21 apiece. Burleson is also batting .266, while Goldschmidt is hitting just .241. Nolan Arenado is currently on a five-game hitting streak.

With an overall record of 60-98, the Rockies are 5th in the NL West, 34 games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. Currently, they trail the Giants by 18.5 games for the 4th spot in the division. Colorado has dropped three straight games, and they have lost the first two games of this series vs. the Cardinals.

At home, the Rockies are 36-41 this season, and they are just 24-57 on the road. As the underdog, Colorado is 58-96 this season, and they are 2-2 as the favorite. The Rockies’ overall series record is 13-33-4, and they are 4-6 over their last 10 games.

Despite a losing record on the run line, the Rockies have been a solid bet at home, going 40-37 ATS. They’ve been a better bet as an underdog, going 77-77 ATS. They’ve also been a good bet in games they win, going 2.8 runs over the run line, compared to 4.1 runs under the run line in games they lose.

The Rockies have been involved in high-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 9.9 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 76-78, and when the line is set at 10.5 runs, they have gone over 14 times and under 15 times. The over/under line for today’s game against the Cardinals is set at 10.5 runs, and the under has hit in their last two games.

Colorado is sending left-hander Kyle Freeland to the mound today vs. the Cardinals. He has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 5-8 with a 4.95 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Freeland has a WHIP of 1.37 and has turned in 10 quality starts. In his 20 appearances, Freeland has a batting average allowed of .274 and is averaging 6.69 strikeouts per nine innings. The last time he took the mound, Freeland gave up four earned runs in six innings of work and took the loss. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

Colorado comes into the game with a team batting average of .241, which is 15th in the league. They have been one of the worst teams in terms of striking out, and their on-base percentage of .303 is also towards the bottom of the league. The Rockies have been a good home run hitting team this season, and their team isolated power of .159 is 12th in the league.

Ezequiel Tovar and Michael Toglia are tied for the team lead in home runs, with Tovar leading the team with 74 RBIs. Tovar has gone 9/30 in his last seven games, while Charlie Blackmon has gone 7/18 in his last five games. Blackmon has two homers during that stretch. Aaron Schunk comes into the game on a seven-game hitting streak.

Our pick for today’s Cardinals vs. Rockies game is to take the Rockies on the money line, with the payout sitting at +109. We have the Rockies winning this one by a score of 5-4.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Kyle Gibson is projected to finish with five strikeouts, while Kyle Freeland is projected to finish with four. However, we have Freeland finishing with a higher ERA than Gibson.

Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Tips

• We like the Rockies on the moneyline (+109)
• The Rockies are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
• Our MLB model projects 9 runs, and we suggest taking the under

Colorado Rockies Injury Report

St. Louis Cardinals Injury Report