Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals Preview
At 8:40 PM ET, the Cardinals and Rockies will face off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Coors Field in Denver, and the Cardinals are the slight favorite on the money line (-130). The Rockies are +111 at the books, and the over/under line is 10.5 runs.
BSMW will be televising this game, and the Rockies will be looking to pull off the upset and end their two-game losing streak. However, they are heavy underdogs compared to the Cardinals, who are 3rd in the NL Central with a record of 80-77.
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Colorado Rockies vs. St. Louis Cardinals Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Cardinals are 2-3. This includes going 3-2 vs. the runline.
- In the Rockies’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 2-3 (SU) with 3-2 against the spread.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Cardinals have a straight-up record of 7-3 and a runline record of 4-6.
- As the underdog, the Rockies have gone 2-8 vs. the runline and 2-8 straight-up.
St. Louis cruised to a 7-3 win over the Rockies in the most recent game of this series. The Cardinals had a huge 8th inning, scoring four of their seven runs. As for the Rockies, they scored their three runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Cardinals were favored at -116 on the money line.
Michael McGreevy got the start for the Cardinals, going just five innings while giving up three runs and striking out five. Andrew Kittredge got the win out of the bullpen. Ryan Feltner only went six innings for the Rockies, giving up two earned runs on six hits.
Masyn Winn and Aaron Schunk each homered for their respective teams. Winn, Nolan Arenado, and Dylan Carlson each had two hits and two RBIs for the Cardinals’ offense.
Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction
St. Louis is 80-77 overall this season, and they lead the Cubs by a half-game for 2nd place in the NL Central. Currently, they trail the Brewers by 10 games in the division. The Cardinals have won three straight games coming into today’s matchup at the Rockies.
At home, the Cardinals are 44-37 this season, and they are just below .500 at 36-40 on the road. As the favorite, the Cardinals are 39-37 this season, and they are 41-40 as the underdog. St. Louis’ overall series record is 26-20-5, and they have won two straight series.
St. Louis has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 79-78 overall. They have been even better on the road, going 39-37, and have covered in two straight games. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 53-28 on the run line compared to 26-50 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.7, while it drops to -3.5 in losses.
The St. Louis Cardinals are on the road facing the Colorado Rockies today, with the over/under line set at 10.5 runs. The combined run average for Cardinals games this season is 8.5 runs, and their over/under record is 72-81. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 10.5 runs, the under has hit in all three games. In fact, 98.1% of their games this season have had lower over/under lines than 10.5 runs, and the under has hit in their last two games.
Erick Fedde gets the start for the Cardinals today as he faces off against the Rockies on the road. So far this season, he has made 30 starts and has a record of 8-9. Fedde’s ERA for the season is 3.38, along with a WHIP of 1.17. Looking at his home/road splits, Fedde has gone 2-5 on the road with a 4.75 ERA. At home, he is 6-4 with a 2.09 ERA. In his last outing, Fedde gave up just one earned run in six innings of work. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts.
So far this season, the Cardinals offense has been just 24th in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.1 runs per game. This is right in line with their home and road splits, as they are averaging 4.0 runs per game on the road and 4.2 runs per game at home. As a team, they are batting .246, which is 10th in the league, and are also near the top of the league in terms of fewest strikeouts per game.
Over his last six games, Brendan Donovan has gone 9/24 with a home run and four RBIs. This has moved his season batting average up to .274, which is the 2nd best mark on the team. Alec Burleson and Paul Goldschmidt are tied for the team lead with 21 homers, with Goldschmidt batting just .243 for the season and Burleson at .266.
With a record of 60-97, the Rockies are 5th in the NL West, 33 games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 18-31 in divisional games. The Rockies have dropped two straight games, losing the series opener vs. the Cardinals.
At home, the Rockies are 36-40 this season compared to 24-57 on the road. As the underdog, Colorado is 58-95 this season, and they are 2-2 as the favorite. The Rockies’ overall series record is 13-33-4 this year, and they have dropped two straight series.
The Rockies have a run line record of 40-36 at home this season, and their average run differential in those games is -0.7. They are 1-3 against the run line as the favorite and 77-76 as the underdog. Their average run differential in wins is +2.8, while it is -4.1 in losses. They have failed to cover the run line in their last two home games.
The Rockies are playing at home today against the Cardinals, and the over/under line is set at 10.5 runs. This season, their games have averaged 9.9 runs per game, and their over/under record is 76-77. When the over/under line is set at 10.5 runs, their record is 14-14. Overall, 37 of their games have had over/under lines set at 10.5 runs, accounting for 23.6% of their games this season.
Colorado starter Austin Gomber will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Diamondbacks, where he gave up five earned runs in just two innings of work. In that outing, he gave up one homer. Before that, he had pitched well, going 8 innings vs. the Braves and giving up just one earned run. Gomber’s record for the season is 5-11, and his ERA is 4.67. Looking at his home/away splits, Gomber is 1-4 with a 6.14 ERA at home compared to 4-7 with a 5.69 ERA on the road.
So far this season, the Rockies are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. However, they have been a much better offensive team at home, averaging 5 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .241, which is 14th in the league, and have the 13th most home runs in the league.
Charlie Blackmon has been swinging a hot bat for the Rockies, going 5/14 in his last four games with two homers. Ezequiel Tovar has also been swinging a good bat of late, going 6/21 in his last five games. Tovar is also on a seven-game hitting streak and is the team’s leading home run hitter, with 25 homers.
With the Rockies at +111 on the money line, this is a great payout for a team that we have winning this game 5-4. The Rockies do have a higher payout to win, but we would also take them on the run line if you can get a payout above +150.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Austin Gomber is actually projected to finish with fewer strikeouts than Erick Fedde. However, we do have Gomber finishing with a better ERA and picking up the win.
Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Tips
- Take the Cardinals on the moneyline
- On the run line we like Rockies (+1.5)
- Our MLB model projects 9 runs, and we suggest taking the under
Colorado Rockies Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Bard | Out | Forearm |
| Kris Bryant | Out | Back |
| Germán Márquez | Out | Elbow |
| Brendan Rodgers | Questionable | Undisclosed |
| Dakota Hudson | Out | Elbow |
| Tyler Kinley | Out | Elbow |
| Ryan Feltner | Questionable | Arm |
| Lucas Gilbreath | Out | Shoulder |
St. Louis Cardinals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Sonny Gray | Out | Forearm |
| Lance Lynn | Out | Knee |
| Willson Contreras | Out | Finger |
| Keynan Middleton | Out | Forearm |
| Luken Baker | Out | Personal |
| Drew Rom | Out | Biceps |
