Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction & Betting Tips 9/25/2024

Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Preview

The Red Sox and Blue Jays will face off in an AL East matchup at 7:07 PM ET. This one is being played at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, and the Red Sox are favored on the money line (+117 vs. -138). The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.

Boston will be looking to extend their four-game winning streak, as they are 80-78 and 3rd in the AL East. The Blue Jays have lost five straight and are 5th in the division at 73-85. Kevin Gausman will start for the Blue Jays, while the Red Sox are sending Richard Fitts to the mound.

Check out BetCoco for Toronto Blue Jays – Boston Red Sox odds

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Trends and Key Stats

• Over the course of their previous five away games, the Red Sox have recorded a 3-2 record, with a 2-3 performance on the runline.
• On the other side, the Blue Jays have gone 1-4 (SU) and 3-2 in their previous five home contests.
• Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Blue Jays have a straight-up record of 6-4, while going 3-7 against the runline.
• Looking at the Red Sox’s previous ten games as the underdog they are 5-5 straight-up and 7-3 vs. the runline.

Boston rallied for three runs in the 10th inning in the most recent game of this Red Sox vs. Blue Jays series. The Red Sox scored two runs in the 7th but didn’t score another run until putting up three in the top of the 10th, picking up a 6-5 win. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were at +110 on the money line.

Toronto wasted a good outing from Bowden Francis, as he gave up just three hits and no earned runs in five innings of work for the Blue Jays. Tommy Nance took the loss. Chris Martin got the win out of the bullpen for the Red Sox as Brayan Bello went just four innings, giving up two earned runs.

Vaughn Grissom scored three times for the Red Sox while going 3/4 with a stolen base. Trevor Story and Danny Jansen each had two hits and an RBI. Ceddanne Rafaela also had a two-hit game and drove in two runs.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

Boston is 80-78 overall and trail the Yankees by 12.5 games in the AL East. The Red Sox have won four straight games, and they are 24-24 against other teams in the AL East. So far, they have taken two straight games in this series vs. the Blue Jays.

At home, the Red Sox are just below .500 at 37-41 this year. On the road, they are 43-37, which includes having won two straight. As the road underdog, the Red Sox are 28-30 this year, and they are 41-35 as the favorite.

When it comes to the run line, the Red Sox have been a better bet on the road this season, going 46-34. They’ve covered in their last two road games and are 4-0 against the run line as an underdog. Overall, they are 76-82 against the run line this season.

The Boston Red Sox are on the road today against the Toronto Blue Jays. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs, which is lower than their season average of 9.3 runs per game. Overall, the Red Sox have played to an over/under record of 78-72 this season. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 15-11-3. This season, 66.5% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.

Richard Fitts will be making his first road start of the season for the Red Sox, as he takes on the Blue Jays. Fitts has gone 5 innings in each of his first two starts, striking out 3 and 2 batters, respectively. He has yet to allow an earned run this season.

So far this season, the Red Sox offense has been one of the league’s best, averaging 4.7 runs per game (9th) and batting a collective .253, which is the 6th best mark in the league. They have also been one of the league’s best power-hitting teams, as they are 7th in home runs and have the 5th best team slugging percentage in the MLB. One of the reasons they have been able to score so many runs is their ability to avoid strikeouts, as their 9 strikeouts per game is the 25th best mark in the league.

Jarren Duran comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak but has gone just 9/38 in his last nine games. For the season, he is batting .285 with 21 homers. Rafael Devers has been the team’s top run producer, with 83 RBIs to go along with his 28 home runs. Tyler O’Neill is also a big power threat in the lineup, as he has gone deep 31 times this season.

Toronto is 73-85 overall, putting them 5th in the AL East, and they trail the Yankees by 19.5 games in the division. The Blue Jays have dropped five straight games, and they are 3-7 over their last 10. So far, they are 20-31 against other AL East teams.

As the home team today, the Blue Jays are 38-39 at home compared to 35-46 on the road. Toronto has dropped three straight games as the favorite, and they are 44-31 when favored this year. As for their play as the underdog, they are 29-54.

When betting the run line on the Blue Jays, it’s been a profitable strategy to take them on the road, where they are 51-30 vs. the run line. They have a losing record at home vs. the run line, going 28-49. They have been favored in 75 games and have gone 32-43 vs. the run line in those contests. When they are the underdog, they are 47-36 vs. the run line.

The Blue Jays are home today against the Red Sox, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. Toronto’s games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 79-75. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 25-18-2. The majority of their games this season have had over/under lines set at 8 runs, with 71 of their games having higher lines than that.

Kevin Gausman is coming off a strong outing for the Blue Jays, as he didn’t give up a run in his last start vs. the Rangers. In that outing, he went five innings and gave up just one hit. Looking back at his last four outings, Gausman has finished with a no-decision, win, loss, and loss. His record for the season is 13-11, and he has an ERA of 3.91. Gausman’s WHIP for the season is 1.22. This year, opponents are batting .232 vs. Gausman. He has made 30 starts, two of which were complete games, and he has one shutout. Per nine innings, Gausman is averaging 8.18 strikeouts and 2.73 walks.

So far this season, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. This is also the 20th ranked scoring offense in terms of road games and the 18th ranked offense in home games. As a team, they are batting .241, and their team on-base percentage of .313 is 10th in the league. Toronto’s offense has been led by Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who is batting .324 for the season with a league-leading 102 RBIs. He also has 30 homers, which is the best mark on the team and 12th in the MLB.

Guerrero Jr. has been hot of late, going 11/30 in his last seven games, with two homers and five RBIs. As a team, the Blue Jays have a couple of players on four-game hitting streaks, including Justin Turner and Leo Jiménez. George Springer has 19 homers this season but is batting just .219.

Given that the Blue Jays are playing at home, we like them to pick up a win over the Red Sox. The money line for the Blue Jays is at -138, and we see this as a good payout, with our predicted final score being 6-5 in favor of the Blue Jays.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Kevin Gausman has the third-best chance of picking up a win today. However, we do have his strikeout numbers as average, and he is projected to finish with six K’s. For Richard Fitts, we have him finishing with five strikeouts and ranking fourth worst in terms of K’s.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Betting Tips

• Take the Blue Jays on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Red Sox (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Toronto Blue Jays Injury Report

Boston Red Sox Injury Report