New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction & Betting Tips 9/25/2024

New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Preview

First pitch for Wednesday’s Orioles vs. Yankees matchup is set for 7:05 PM ET from Yankee Stadium in New York, NY. The Yankees are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -150 compared to the Orioles at +126. The over/under line is sitting at 7.5 runs.

Zach Eflin will start for the Orioles, and he will be facing off against Nestor Cortes for the Yankees. New York is currently 1st in the AL East with a record of 92-65, while the Orioles are 2nd in the division at 87-70. YES will be televising this game.

Check out BetCoco for New York Yankees – Baltimore Orioles odds

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Trends and Key Stats

• Across their last five road games, the Orioles are 2-3. This includes going 2-3 vs. the runline.
• Conversely, the Yankees have achieved a 4-1 (SU) record and 4-1 record in their last five home games.
• The Yankees have a straight-up record of 8-2 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
• Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Orioles have a 5-5 straight-up record and a 5-5 record vs. the runline.

Baltimore rallied for four runs in the 7th inning in the most recent game of this Orioles vs. Yankees series. The Orioles scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up four in the top of the 7th, picking up a 5-3 win. Heading into the game, the Orioles were at +140 on the money line.

New York wasted a good outing from Clarke Schmidt, as he gave up just three earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work for the Yankees. He took the loss in the game. As for the Orioles, Dean Kremer got the win, going five innings and giving up one earned run.

Aaron Judge hit the game’s only home run while going 1/3 with three RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Ryan O’Hearn went 2/2 with an RBI for the Orioles.

New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

The Orioles are 87-70 overall and trail the Yankees by five games for the AL East lead. So far, they have gone 31-19 in AL East matchups. Baltimore is on the road today, and they have a road record of 43-33 compared to 44-37 at home.

So far, the Orioles have been the favorite in 122 of their games, and they are 70-52 in those matchups. As the underdog overall, they are 17-18 and 13-14 as the road underdog. Baltimore has an overall series record of 24-18-7, and they have dropped five straight series.

When the Orioles are on the road, they have a run line record of 45-31, which is much better than their 38-43 mark at home. They have an average run margin of 0.5 runs per game overall, but that number jumps to 0.7 runs per game on the road. They have covered the run line in 60 of 122 games as the favorite and in 23 of 35 games as the underdog.

The Orioles are on the road today against the Yankees in a game with an over/under line of 7.5 runs. Baltimore has played in games with an average of 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 83-63 overall. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, their record is 10-7. Overall, 79.0% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, and their current under streak is at 2 games.

Zach Eflin gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Yankees on the road. He has made 27 starts this season and has a record of 10-9 with an ERA of 3.53. Eflin’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.13. In his last outing, Eflin finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up two earned runs on six hits. Before that, he had taken the loss in two straight outings. Eflin has made 13 quality starts this season and is averaging 7.45 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed 21 home runs.

Heading into today’s game, the Orioles are 2nd in the league in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Baltimore’s team batting average of .247 is 9th in the league, and they are also near the top of the league in slugging percentage and isolated power.

Anthony Santander has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 44 home runs are 3rd in the MLB. However, he is batting just .235 for the season and has gone just 3/25 in his last seven games. Gunnar Henderson has been hot of late, going 9/30 in his last seven games, and is currently on a six-game hitting streak. For the season, he is batting .282 with 37 homers.

New York is 92-65 this season, which has them leading the AL East by five games over the Orioles. The Yankees are 25-25 in divisional games this season and are looking to bounce back after dropping the first game of this series vs. the Orioles. So far, they have gone 42-34 at home and have been really good on the road, going 50-31.

As the favorite, the Yankees have gone 74-57 this year, and they are 41-32 as the favorite at home. New York’s overall series record is 30-15-4, and they have won five straight series. The Yankees have also won three straight series on the road.

When the Yankees win, they do so by an average of 4.1 runs per game, while in their losses, they are losing by an average of 3.6 runs per game. Their run line record is 82-75, with a run line record of 33-43 at home and 49-32 on the road. They are 22-4 against the run line as an underdog and 60-71 as a favorite.

With a combined run average of 9.1, the New York Yankees have been involved in high-scoring games this season. Their over/under record is 82-70, and the average over/under line in their games is 9 runs. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 7-9. Overall, 86.6% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.

New York is sending Nestor Cortes to the mound today vs. the Orioles, and he comes into the game with a record of 9-10 and an ERA of 3.77. Cortes has made 30 starts this season and 13 of them have been quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Cortes finished with a no-decision vs. the Mariners, going six innings and not giving up a run. He gave up just four hits in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts. Cortes’ ERA at home is 3.73 compared to 4.83 on the road.

The Yankees come into today’s game as the league’s top home run hitting team, and they have also been one of the best offensive teams in the league in terms of scoring runs, averaging 5 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .249, which is 8th in the league, and have the best team on-base percentage in the league.

Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been two of the league’s top power hitters this season, with Judge leading the league with 56 homers and Soto coming in with 40. Judge also has the league’s top RBI total, with 139. Judge has been especially hot of late, batting .357 over his last nine games with four homers. Gleyber Torres has also been swinging a hot bat, going 15/42 over his last nine games.

Our prediction for today’s Yankees vs. Orioles game is that the Yankees will pick up a 5-4 win at home. With the Yankees, we would recommend taking them on the money line at -150.

Looking at today’s starters, Nestor Cortes is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is 15th among all starters. As for Zach Eflin, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is 19th among starters.

New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Tips

• Take the Yankees on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Orioles (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

New York Yankees Injury Report

Baltimore Orioles Injury Report