Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs Prediction & Betting Tips 9/25/2024

Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs Preview

There does appear to be a chance of light rain in Philadelphia on Wednesday, where the Phillies and Cubs will face off at Citizens Bank Park. The game is getting started at 6:05 PM ET. MARQ is carrying the Cubs on TV, and they are the underdog on the money line (+160).

Philadelphia is currently 1st in the NL East with a record of 93-65, while the Cubs are 2nd in the NL Central at 81-77. Javier Assad is starting for the Cubs, while the Phillies are going with Cristopher Sanchez. Wednesday’s over/under line is at 8 runs.

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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs Trends and Key Stats

• 2-3 is the record of Cubs in their last five road games. They have also gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
• In the Phillies’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 1-4 (SU) with 1-4 against the spread.
• Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Phillies have won 5-5 straight-up, and have a 3-7 record vs. the runline.
• When playing as the underdog, the Cubs have won 4-6 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 4-6 against the runline.

Chicago cruised to a 10-4 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Cubs had a huge 2nd inning, scoring six of their ten runs. As for the Phillies, they scored their final run in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Cubs were favored at -108.

Justin Steele only went four innings for the Cubs but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with three strikeouts but issued five walks. On the other side, Tanner Banks was tagged for three homers and seven runs in just 1 1/3 innings of work for the Phillies.

Cody Bellinger, Nico Hoerner, and Seiya Suzuki each had two RBIs for the Cubs’ offense. Bellinger, Dansby Swanson, and Pete Crow-Armstrong each had two hits and scored two runs for Chicago.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs Prediction

With an overall record of 81-77, the Cubs are 2nd in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by 9.5 games. Today, they are on the road for a matchup with the Phillies. Chicago is 21-28 against other teams in the NL Central.

Chicago has been good at home this year, going 42-36, but they are just below .500 at 39-41 on the road. The Cubs have been slightly better as the favorite, putting together a mark of 43-38. As the underdog on the road, they are 24-29 this year. The Cubs’ overall series record is 22-25-3, and they are currently tied in their series vs. the Phillies.

The Cubs have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 77-81 overall. They have been especially good on the road, going 47-33 against the run line. They have a positive run differential both at home and on the road, but they have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 50-27.

Chicago’s over/under record is 74-78, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 13-19-2. This season, 77 of their games have had over/under lines set at more than 8 runs, which is 48.7% of their games. Their combined run average is 8.8 runs per game.

Right-hander Javier Assad gets the start for the Cubs today as he faces the Phillies on the road. He has made 28 starts this season and has a record of 7-5 with an ERA of 3.34. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .243 this season. In his 28 appearances, Assad has turned in six quality starts. Most recently, he finished with a no-decision against the Nationals, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. Before that outing, he had gone three straight starts without taking the loss. Assad has allowed at least one homer in three straight starts.

Heading into today’s game, the Cubs offense is averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game. So far, they are batting .243 as a team, which is 12th in the league.

Over his last seven games, Nico Hoerner has gone 11/25, and for the season, he is batting .272 with an OBP of .336. Ian Happ and Michael Busch are tied for 2nd on the team with 21 homers, with Happ leading the team with 86 RBIs. Happ has two homers over his last seven games, but is just 6/24 in that stretch.

With a record of 93-65, the Phillies lead the NL East by 5.5 games over the Mets. The Phillies are 28-21 against other teams in the NL East. Currently, they are looking to bounce back, having gone just 4-6 over their last ten games.

At home, the Phillies are 53-27 this season and have gone 40-38 on the road. So far, they have been really good as the favorite, going 80-47. As the favorite at home, the Phillies are 52-24 this year. The team’s overall series record is 27-18-7, and they have dropped two straight series.

Philadelphia has been a solid run line bet this year, going 76-82 overall. The Phillies have been a better run line bet on the road, going 40-38, compared to 36-44 at home. As a favorite, the Phillies have gone 60-67 on the run line, while as an underdog, they are 16-15. The Phillies have an average run margin of 0.7 runs per game this season.

The Philadelphia Phillies have an over/under record of 74-75 this season, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 19-18-3, and 46.2% of their games have had higher lines than that. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and 73 of their games have had lines set above 8 runs.

Phillies starter Cristopher Sánchez has made 30 starts this season and has a record of 11-9 with an ERA of 3.25. He has a WHIP of 1.24 and batting average allowed of .251. Sánchez has turned in 17 quality starts, two complete games, and one shutout this year. In his most recent outing, he faced the Mets and picked up the win, going five innings and giving up two earned runs. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up an earned run. Sánchez has been much better at home, coming in with a 2.23 ERA compared to 5.46 on the road.

Philadelphia comes into the game as one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 4.8 runs per game (4th) and batting .258 as a team (4th). They have been even better at home this season, averaging 5 runs per game and have the 2nd best team batting average in the league. The Phillies have been one of the league’s best home run-hitting teams this season and have the 3rd best team OPS in the league.

Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have been two of the Phillies’ top power threats this season, with Schwarber’s 38 homers leading the team and Harper’s 30 homers being the 2nd most on the team. Harper comes into the game with a batting average of .287, while Schwarber is batting .250. Over his last eight games, Schwarber has gone 9/35 with three homers.

Our prediction for the Cubs vs. Phillies matchup is to take the Phillies to pick up the win. However, with the money line payout for the Phillies being -192, we recommend taking the over on the runs line. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Phillies, giving us some nice value on the over/under line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Cristopher Sanchez finishing with six strikeouts compared to Javier Assad with five. However, Sanchez is projected to finish with a higher ERA than Assad, and we have him going 5.2 innings compared to Sanchez at 5.1.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs Betting Tips

• Take the Phillies on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Cubs (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report

Chicago Cubs Injury Report