Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Preview
Wednesday’s matchup between the Mariners and Astros is set to get started at 2:10 PM ET from Minute Maid Park in Houston. The Astros are currently 1st in the AL West, while the Mariners are 2nd with an overall record of 81-77.
Seattle is favored on the money line today, and the over/under line is currently at 7 runs. Yusei Kikuchi is set to start for the Astros, while the Mariners are sending George Kirby to the mound.
Check out BetCoco for Houston Astros – Seattle Mariners odds
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners Trends and Key Stats
- The Mariners are 3-2 in their five most recent road games, including a 4-1 runline record.
- On the other side, the Astros have gone 3-2 (SU) and 3-2 in their previous five home contests.
- The Mariners have a 6-4 straight-up record in their last ten games as the favorite, and 4-6 against the runline.
- As the underdog, the Astros have gone 6-4 vs. the runline and 7-3 straight-up.
Seattle wasted a huge performance from Logan Gilbert, as he went six innings and gave up just one run as the Mariners starter vs. the Astros. The Mariners actually outhit the Astros in the game 9 to 6, but still picked up a 4-3 win. Heading into the game, the Astros were favored at -132 on the money line.
Houston’s offense was led by Alex Bregman, Jason Heyward, and Kyle Tucker, as they were the only three Astros hitters to have more than one hit. Bregman and Tucker each homered for Houston. On the other side, Jorge Polanco went 4/4 with a home run for the Mariners.
Framber Valdez got the start for the Astros, going just 5 2/3 innings while giving up three runs and striking out four. He did not factor in the decision, as Josh Hader got the save. Logan Gilbert took the loss for Seattle.
Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction
Seattle is on the road today, facing the Astros with an overall record of 81-77. In the AL West, they are five games behind the Astros for the division lead. So far, they have gone 28-20 in divisional matchups. The Mariners took the first two games of this series vs. the Astros.
This season, the Mariners are 46-32 at home compared to 35-45 on the road. As the favorite, Seattle has gone 58-48 and 23-29 as the underdog. The Mariners’ overall series record is 21-24-4, and they have won two straight series on the road.
Seattle has been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 36-44. The Mariners have been a better bet at home, where they’re 33-45 on the run line. Seattle’s average run margin on the road is +0.2, while it’s +0.6 at home. The Mariners have covered the run line in two straight road games and have a run line record of 27-25 as an underdog.
The Mariners and Astros are set to face off in a game with an over/under line of 7 runs. Seattle’s games have gone over the total in 74 of 148 games this season, and the combined run average in their games is 7.9 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 7 runs, the over has gone 17-20-8 in those games. Overall, 100 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7 runs, which accounts for 63.3% of their games this season.
Seattle is sending right-hander George Kirby to the mound today vs. the Astros. He has made 32 starts this season and has a record of 13-11 with a 3.60 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Kirby has a WHIP of 1.08 and has issued just 1.07 walks per nine innings. Out of his 32 starts, Kirby has turned in 19 quality starts and is averaging 8.42 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Kirby picked up the win, going six innings and giving up two earned runs vs. the Rangers. He has won two straight starts.
Julio Rodríguez has been on a tear of late for the Mariners, going 17/40 in his last eight games with three homers and 11 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .275 with 19 homers, which is 4th on the team. Cal Raleigh is 15th in the league with 96 RBIs and is also 1st on the team with 31 homers, but he is batting just .218.
Overall, the Mariners are 22nd in scoring at 4.1 runs per game. They are one of the worst teams in the league in terms of strikeouts and are batting just .224 as a team. Seattle is 11th in home runs and have been a good team at drawing walks this season.
Houston is currently 86-72 overall and leads the AL West by five games over the Mariners. The Astros are 29-22 against other teams in the division. So far, they have been good at home, going 46-34, and they are just above .500 at 40-38 on the road.
The Astros have an overall series record of 27-20-2 this season, and they are 19-21 as the underdog this year. As for their overall record in favorited, they are 67-51. Heading into today’s game, the Astros are 6-4 over their last 10 games.
When the Astros win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.7 runs per game. However, they have been outscored by an average of 3.1 runs per game in their losses. Their overall run line record is 81-77, and they have been a better bet on the road, where they are 43-35 vs. the run line. As the favorite, they have a losing record vs. the run line at 55-63, while they are 26-14 as the underdog.
When the Astros are at home, the over/under line is set at 7 runs, and their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season. Houston’s over/under record is 64-88 overall, and when the line is set at 7 runs, their record is 1-4-1. The average over/under line for Astros games this season has been 8 runs, and 95.6% of their games have had higher lines than today’s 7-run total.
Through 31 starts, Yusei Kikuchi has a record of 9-9 and an ERA of 4.19. This year, he has turned in 11 quality starts and is averaging 10.5 strikeouts per nine innings. Kikuchi’s last outing came against the Angels, where he finished with a no-decision. In that start, he went six innings, giving up one earned run on five hits. Before that outing, he had won three straight starts. So far, he has been much better at home, going 4-7 with a 4.48 ERA compared to 5-2 with a 5.38 ERA on the road.
Yordan Alvarez has been a major power threat for the Astros this season, as his 35 home runs lead the team and is 8th in the league. Alvarez also comes into the game with a team-high 86 RBIs and is batting .308 for the season. Alex Bregman has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/20 with three homers over his last five games. Bregman is 2nd on the team with 26 homers.
As a team, the Astros are 8th in the league in home runs and are 3rd in team batting average at .262. Overall, they are averaging 4.6 runs per game and have been even better at home, where they are 5th in the league at 4.9 runs per contest.
Our prediction for today’s Mariners vs. Astros game is to take the Astros on the money line at +113. We have the Astros winning this one by a score of 6-5. With the over/under sitting at 7 runs, there isn’t a lot of wiggle room, and we would recommend sticking with the Astros to pick up the win.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Yusei Kikuchi finishing with six strikeouts compared to George Kirby with five. Kikuchi is also projected to give up fewer runs than Kirby, and we have Kikuchi finishing with a line of 6 IP and Kirby at 5.1 IP.
Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Betting Tips
- Take the Mariners on the moneyline
- On the run line we like Astros (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Houston Astros Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Kendall Graveman | Out | Shoulder |
| Lance McCullers Jr. | Out | Forearm |
| Ben Gamel | Out | Leg |
| Yordan Alvarez | Out | Knee |
| Cristian Javier | Out | Elbow |
| Tayler Scott | Out | Spine |
| Luis Garcia | Out | Elbow |
| Chas McCormick | Out | Hand |
| Bennett Sousa | Out | Shoulder |
| José Urquidy | Out | Elbow |
| Penn Murfee | Out | Elbow |
| Oliver Ortega | Out | Elbow |
| Spencer Arrighetti | Questionable | Calf |
| J.P. France | Out | Undisclosed |
Seattle Mariners Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Yimi García | Out | Elbow |
| Luis Castillo | Out | Hamstring |
| Sam Haggerty | Out | Achilles |
| Jackson Kowar | Out | Elbow |
| Matt Brash | Out | Elbow |
