Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Francisco Giants Preview
At 9:40 PM ET, the Giants and Diamondbacks will square off in an NL West matchup. This one is taking place at Chase Field in Phoenix, and the Diamondbacks are the slight money line favorite (-135). The Giants have a money line odds of +116, and they will be looking to extend their four-game winning streak.
Brandon Pfaadt will start for the Diamondbacks, while the Giants are sending Logan Webb to the mound. San Francisco is 78-79 this season, while the Diamondbacks are 87-70 and are currently on a two-game losing streak.
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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants Trends and Key Stats
- The Giants are 4-1 in their five most recent road games, including a 4-1 runline record.
- The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 4-1 (SU) and 5-0 record.
- Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Diamondbacks have a straight-up record of 5-5, while going 4-6 against the runline.
- Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Giants have a straight-up record of 4-6 and a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
San Francisco picked up a 6-3 road win over the Diamondbacks in the most recent game of this series. The Giants offense got off to a fast start, scoring three runs in the first and adding two more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Diamondbacks got on the board with one run in the 1st and added their final two runs in the 5th.
Hayden Birdsong only went five innings for the Giants but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued two walks. As for the Diamondbacks, Eduardo Rodriguez struggled on the mound, giving up five earned runs in just 4 2/3 innings of work.
Matt Chapman and Michael Conforto each homered for the Giants, while Casey Schmitt scored three times and drove in a run while going 1/3. Mark Canha also had a two-hit game at the plate.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Francisco Giants Prediction
San Francisco is 78-79 overall, and they have won four straight games, putting them 15.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Giants are 25-25 in divisional games this year. San Francisco took the first game of this series vs. the Diamondbacks and are the road team today.
As the road team, the Giants are 37-42 this year compared to 41-37 at home. San Francisco has won four straight games as the underdog, and they are 32-47 as the underdog overall. The Giants have been good as the favorite, going 46-32 this year. They have an overall series record of 24-21-4 and have won two straight series overall and three straight on the road.
San Francisco is on a four-game run line win streak on the road, and they have covered the run line in 46 of their 79 road games. They have been an underdog in 79 games this season, and they have covered the run line in 47 of those games.
San Francisco’s road games have had an average combined run total of 8.6 this season, and their over/under record is 79-71. The average over/under line for their games is 8, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 13-17-4. Overall, 44 of their games have had over/under lines set above 8 runs, which accounts for 28.0% of their games this season.
Giants starter Logan Webb finished with a no-decision in his last outing, going five innings vs. the Orioles and giving up three earned runs. He did pitch well in the outing before that, going six innings vs. the Padres and giving up three earned runs. Webb has made 32 starts this season and has a record of 12-10 with a 3.58 ERA. Opponents have a batting average of .252 vs. Webb this season. The right-hander has one complete game shutout and 19 quality starts this year. Webb’s ERA on the road is 4.94, compared to 3.28 at home.
San Francisco’s offense has been led by Matt Chapman and Heliot Ramos this season, as Chapman has a team-high 27 homers and 78 RBIs, while Ramos is batting .264 with 21 homers. Chapman has also been hot of late, going 5/15 with three homers over his last four games. Michael Conforto has also been swinging a hot bat, going 9/26 with three homers over his last seven games.
Overall, the Giants are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. Their team batting average of .238 is 15th in the league, and they are also just 16th in on-base percentage and 16th in slugging. As a team, they are averaging 8 strikeouts per game, which is 22nd in the league.
Arizona is 87-70 overall this season, and they are 3rd in the NL West, 6.5 games behind the Dodgers. The Diamondbacks have gone 26-21 against other teams in the NL West. They will take on the Giants today having dropped two straight games, including the series opener vs. the Giants.
At home, the Diamondbacks are 42-34 this season compared to a 45-36 mark on the road. As the favorite, Arizona has gone 51-31 and 35-20 as the favorite at home. So far, they have been the underdog 75 times, and they are 36-39 in those games. Arizona’s overall series record is 26-19-4.
When betting the run line on the Diamondbacks this season, it’s been more profitable to back them on the road than at home. They are 48-33 vs. the run line on the road, compared to just 34-42 at home. They have a positive run differential in both home and road games, but their run line record is better as the underdog (47-28) than as the favorite (35-47).
Arizona Diamondbacks games have had a combined run average of 10.4 this season, and the over/under record for their games is 89-60. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 12-7-2. In 70.7% of their games this season, the over/under line has been set higher than 8 runs, with an average line of 9 runs per game.
Brandon Pfaadt will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced the Brewers and came away with the win. In that September 19th outing, he went seven innings, giving up just one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Pfaadt has made 30 starts and has a record of 10-9. His ERA for the season is 4.66, along with a WHIP of 1.23. For the year, he has turned in 13 quality starts and is averaging 8.91 strikeouts per nine innings. Pfaadt has been much better at home, coming in with a 7.14 ERA compared to 4.48 on the road.
Arizona comes into the game as the league’s top-scoring offense, averaging 5.5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.7 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks have been excellent at getting on base, as they lead the league in OBP, and have the league’s top OPS at .778. As a team, they are also near the top of the league in batting average and slugging percentage.
Leading the Diamondbacks offense this season has been Ketel Marte, who is batting .295 and has gone deep 35 times. He has been even better of late, going 8/24 with four homers over his last eight games. Eugenio Suarez is also a big power threat in the lineup, as he has 29 homers and is batting .255. He also leads the team with 98 RBIs.
Our predicted final score for this Giants vs. Diamondbacks matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Diamondbacks. Given that they are the projected winners and that you can get them at -135 on the money line, that is the bet we recommend making.
There are a few ways you could go about this one, and if you like the Diamondbacks to win but would rather take the over/under, the line is sitting at 8 runs. We have this one going over, but we have the Diamondbacks picking up the win.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Francisco Giants Betting Tips
- Take the Diamondbacks on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Giants (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Arizona Diamondbacks Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Sewald | Out | Neck |
| Merrill Kelly | Questionable | Calf |
| Gabriel Moreno | Questionable | Side |
| Kyle Nelson | Out | Shoulder |
| Drey Jameson | Out | Elbow |
| Ryne Nelson | Out | Shoulder |
| Bryce Jarvis | Out | Elbow |
| Andrew Saalfrank | Out | Suspension |
San Francisco Giants Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Ray | Out | Hamstring |
| Wilmer Flores | Out | Knee |
| Tom Murphy | Out | Knee |
| Jordan Hicks | Out | Shoulder |
| Kyle Harrison | Out | Shoulder |
| Randy Rodríguez | Out | Elbow |
| Keaton Winn | Out | Elbow |
| Jung Hoo Lee | Out | Shoulder |
