Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs Preview
From Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, the Cubs and Phillies face off in an NL matchup. Tuesday’s game has a start time of 6:40 PM ET and the Phillies are favored on the money line (+108). The money line odds have the Cubs at -127, and the over/under line is at 8.5 runs.
Justin Steele will start for the Cubs, and he is facing off against Tanner Banks for the Phillies. Chicago is 80-77 this season, and they are 2nd in the NL Central, while the Phillies are 1st in the NL East with a record of 93-64. MARQ will be televising Tuesday’s Cubs vs. Phillies matchup.
Check out BetCoco for Philadelphia Phillies – Chicago Cubs odds
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Cubs are 1-4. This includes going 1-4 vs. the runline.
- In the Phillies’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 1-4 (SU) with 1-4 against the spread.
- Over their last ten games, the Cubs have a 5-5 straight-up record when playing as the favorite, along with a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
- Over their last ten games as the underdog, the Phillies have gone 3-7 vs. the runline and 5-5 straight-up.
Philadelphia cruised to a 6-2 win over the Cubs in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a two-run lead after the 2nd inning and added two more in the 3rd. As for the Cubs, they scored their only two runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -205 on the money line.
Aaron Nola started for the Phillies and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued two walks. Nate Pearson only went one inning for the Cubs, giving up one hit and no earned runs.
J.T. Realmuto and Kyle Schwarber each homered for the Phillies, while Bryce Harper scored three times and drove in a run while going 2/3. Nick Castellanos also had a two-hit game and drove in a run for Philadelphia’s offense.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs Prediction
Chicago is 80-77 overall, and they are 9.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. So far, they have gone just 21-28 in divisional games. The Cubs are on the road today, and they are 38-41 on the road compared to 42-36 at home.
As the favorite, the Cubs have gone 43-38 this year and 37-39 as the underdog. Chicago’s overall series record is 22-25-3, and they have lost the first game of this series vs. the Phillies.
The Cubs have been a solid run line bet this season, going 76-81 overall. They have been especially good on the road, going 46-33 against the run line. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 49-27 against the run line.
The Cubs have played in 45 games this season with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, and their record in those games is 18-14. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game, and their overall over/under record for the season is 73-78. The average over/under line in their games this season is 8 runs, and their games have gone over the line 28.7% of the time.
Left-hander Justin Steele gets the start for the Cubs today as he faces the Phillies on the road. He has made 23 starts this season and has a record of 5-5 with a 3.03 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .214 off Steele this season, and he has a WHIP of 1.10. In his 23 appearances, Steele has turned in 11 quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he went 2 2/3 innings and didn’t give up an earned run. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Steele’s ERA at home is 3.1 compared to 3.3 on the road.
For the season, the Cubs are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game. As a team, the Cubs are batting .242, which is 13th in the league, and are 13th in home runs. Chicago comes into the game with a team on-base percentage of .317, which is 8th in the league.
Ian Happ and Michael Busch are both near the top of the Cubs’ home run and RBI leaderboards, with Happ leading the team with 85 RBIs and Busch and Seiya Suzuki tied for 2nd with 21 homers. Over his last six games, Happ has gone 6/21 with two homers and four runs scored.
Philadelphia is 93-64 overall this year and leads the NL East by 5.5 games over the Mets. The Phillies are 28-21 against other teams in the NL East. At home, the Phillies have gone 53-26 this year.
The Phillies have won three straight games at home, and they are 5-5 across their last 10 games overall. As the underdog, the Phillies are just 13-18 this year, and they are 80-46 when favored. So far, they have lost three straight as the underdog. Philadelphia’s overall series record is 27-18-7, and they have lost two straight series.
When the Phillies are the favorite, they are 60-66 against the run line. They have a run line record of 36-43 at home, where they have a scoring margin of 1.2 runs per game. Their average run differential in winning games is 3.9 runs per game.
The Philadelphia Phillies are playing host to the Chicago Cubs today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Phillies’ games have averaged 8.9 runs this season, and their over/under record is 73-75. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 16-14. Overall, 43 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, which accounts for 27.4% of their games.
Tanner Banks is getting the start for the Phillies today and has made one start and 60 appearances this season. He currently has a record of 2-2 and an ERA of 3.78. Banks WHIP for the season is 1.27, and opponents are batting .234 this season. In his 60 appearances, Banks has allowed a total of six home runs. The left-hander has a BB/9 figure of 3.13 compared to 9.78 strikeouts per nine innings. Banks’ last outing came out of the bullpen, where he gave up one earned run in one inning of work. He finished with a no-decision in that outing.
Philadelphia’s offense has been one of the best in the league this season, as they are averaging 4.8 runs per game (4th) and are 6th in home runs. The Phillies have been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .258, which is the 4th best mark in the league.
Kyle Schwarber has been a big addition to the Phillies lineup this season, as he is 6th in the league with 37 home runs and his 100 RBIs are the 10th most in the MLB. Schwarber has also been hot of late, going deep twice in his last five games. Nick Castellanos has also been swinging a hot bat, going 9/19 in his last five games, including one home run.
Getting the Phillies at +108 on the money line is a great value pick for today’s Cubs vs. Phillies matchup. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Phillies, giving us plenty of room to take the Phillies on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Tanner Banks is projected to have a solid outing, with our model predicting him to finish with five strikeouts. As for Justin Steele, he is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, but we have him giving up six hits and finishing with an ERA of 4.45.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs Betting Tips
- We like the Phillies on the moneyline (+108)
- On the run line we like Phillies (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Luis F. Ortiz | Out | Forearm |
| Spencer Turnbull | Out | Lat |
| Austin Hays | Out | Kidney |
| Rodolfo Castro | Out | Thumb |
| José Rodríguez | Out | Suspension |
Chicago Cubs Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge López | Out | Groin |
| Yency Almonte | Out | Shoulder |
| Colten Brewer | Out | Hand |
| Ian Happ | Questionable | Back |
| Adbert Alzolay | Out | Forearm |
| Julian Merryweather | Out | Knee |
| Brennen Davis | Out | Ankle |
| Nick Madrigal | Out | Finger |
| Ben Brown | Out | Neck |
| Luke Little | Out | Shoulder |
| Jordan Wicks | Out | Oblique |
