Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Preview
At 8:10 PM ET, the Mariners and Astros will face off in an AL West matchup. Monday’s matchup is taking place at Minute Maid Park in Houston, and the Astros are favored on the money line (-153). The money line odds for a Mariners win are sitting at +130.
The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and tonight’s pitching matchup features Bryce Miller for the Mariners and Hunter Brown for the Astros. Brown is 85-71, while the Mariners are 80-76 and are 2nd in the AL West.
Check out BetCoco for Houston Astros – Seattle Mariners odds
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners Trends and Key Stats
- The Mariners are 3-2 across their last five road games. They have gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
- Conversely, the Astros have achieved a 3-2 (SU) record and 3-2 record in their last five home games.
- Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Astros have a straight-up record of 7-3, while going 7-3 against the runline.
- Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Mariners have a 3-7 straight-up record and a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction
The Mariners will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rangers with a 6-5 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 6th inning before the Rangers scored three runs in the bottom of the 6th. Seattle was the -138 favorite on the money line going into the game.
Bryan Woo got the start for the Mariners and took the loss. He only lasted six innings, giving up four earned runs on seven hits. Cal Raleigh had only one hit, but it was a home run, and Victor Robles had a good day at the plate, going 1/5 with two RBIs.
Seattle is 80-76 overall, putting them five games behind the Astros for the AL West lead. This season, they are 27-19 in AL West matchups. The Mariners are just 34-44 on the road this season.
As the road underdog, the Mariners have gone 13-20 this season, and they are 58-48 as the favorite overall. Seattle’s series record is 21-24-4 this year, and they have won two straight series on the road. Their most recent series was a 2-1 win over the Rangers.
Seattle has a run line record of 67-89 this season, with a scoring margin of +0.3 runs per game. The Mariners have been a better bet on the run line at home, where they are 33-45, compared to 34-44 on the road. As the underdog, Seattle is 25-25 on the run line, and they have covered in two straight games as the underdog.
The Seattle Mariners are on the road today against the Houston Astros. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Mariners have an over/under record of 74-73 on the season, and their games have averaged a combined 7.9 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs this season, their record is 21-23. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs per game, and 55 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs. Their games have gone over the total in each of their last three contests.
Right-hander Bryce Miller gets the start for the Mariners today as he faces the Astros on the road. He has made 30 starts this season and has a record of 11-8 with a 3.06 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .199 this season off Miller, and he has a WHIP of .99. In his 30 appearances, Miller has turned in 17 quality starts. Most recently, he finished with a no-decision vs. the Yankees, going six innings and giving up one earned run on four hits. Miller has not lost back-to-back starts since July.
Julio Rodríguez has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 13/34 in his last seven games with three homers. For the season, he is batting .272 and is 2nd on the team with 63 RBIs. Catcher Cal Raleigh has been a big run producer for the Mariners, as his 95 RBIs are 14th in the league and leads the team. However, he is batting just .214.
Overall, the Mariners offense is averaging 4.1 runs per game, and they have been a better offense on the road (4.5 RPG) compared to at home (3.7 RPG). As a team, they are batting just .223 and are the worst team in the league in terms of strikeouts. Collectively, they are 3rd in walks and have the league’s 11th home run total.
Houston closed out their series vs. the Angels with a 9-8 loss. Heading into the game, the Astros were the heavy favorite at -272. Things looked good for the Astros early on, as they got on the board with three runs in the 3rd inning but the Angels responded with two runs in the 4th to tie things up. Houston’s offense scored another three runs in the 5th to take the lead but couldn’t hold on, as the Astros allowed four runs in the top of the 9th to take the loss.
Spencer Arrighetti put together a good start for the Astros, going six innings and giving up just two earned runs, and he also issued only one walk. However, the Astros couldn’t close things out, and Josh Hader took the loss out of the bullpen. The Astros also wasted a big game from Alex Bregman, who went 3/4 with a homer and three RBIs.
With an overall record of 85-71, the Astros lead the AL West by five games over the Mariners. The Astros will host the Mariners today, and they are 45-33 at home this season. They have been just above .500 on the road, coming in with a mark of 40-38.
Houston has an overall series record of 27-20-2 this year, and they closed out their series vs. the Angels with three straight wins to take the series 3-1. As the favorite, the Astros are 66-50 this season and 42-28 when favored at home. Their overall record as the underdog is 19-21, and they are 7-3 across their last 10 games overall.
When betting the run line on the Astros, it’s been a coin flip proposition, as they are 81-75 overall. They have been slightly better on the road, going 43-35 compared to 38-40 at home. As the favorite, they have not been a good bet, going 55-61, while they are 26-14 as the underdog. They have been outscoring opponents by an average of 0.6 runs per game overall, but that number jumps to 1.1 runs per game at home.
When the Houston Astros play at home, the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs in 16.2% of their games this season. The over/under record for the Astros this season is 64-87, and their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game. The over has hit in their last three games, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs per game this season.
Hunter Brown will be looking to build off his last outing, where he finished with a no-decision. Against the Padres on September 17th, he went six innings, giving up two earned runs, and coming away with a no-decision. Looking back further, Brown has made 29 starts and has a record of 11-8 this season. His ERA is 3.57, along with a WHIP of 1.28. Opposing batters are hitting .235 this season off Brown. The right-hander has turned in 18 quality starts this year. Per nine innings, Brown is averaging 9.38 strikeouts and 3.13 walks. For the season, he has allowed 18 homers.
Yordan Alvarez has been a great run producer for the Astros this season, as he leads the team with 86 RBIs and is also 8th in the league with 35 home runs. Alvarez is batting .308 for the season, and his 35 homers are the best mark on the team. Alex Bregman is 2nd on the team with 25 homers and has driven in 73 runs. Bregman is batting .257 for the season.
Jose Altuve is 4th in the Astros lineup with a batting average of .295 and has gone deep 20 times this season. Kyle Tucker has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/26 in his last eight games, including three homers. During this stretch, he has scored eight runs.
There are a few ways you could go about betting on this Astros and Mariners matchup, but our recommended pick is to take the Astros on the money line at -153. We actually have the final score of this one at 6-5 in favor of the Astros, so you could also look to take the over, as the line is currently sitting at 7.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Hunter Brown of the Astros is actually projected to finish with more strikeouts than the Mariners’ starter, Bryce Miller. However, we have Miller finishing with four K’s, and Brown with six. If you’re looking for a potential prop bet, you could look at Brown’s strikeout total.
Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Betting Tips
- Take the Astros on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Mariners (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Houston Astros Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Kendall Graveman | Out | Shoulder |
| Lance McCullers Jr. | Out | Forearm |
| Ben Gamel | Out | Leg |
| Yordan Alvarez | Questionable | Knee |
| Cristian Javier | Out | Elbow |
| Tayler Scott | Out | Spine |
| Luis Garcia | Out | Elbow |
| Chas McCormick | Out | Hand |
| Bennett Sousa | Out | Shoulder |
| José Urquidy | Out | Elbow |
| Penn Murfee | Out | Elbow |
| Oliver Ortega | Out | Elbow |
| Spencer Arrighetti | Questionable | Calf |
| J.P. France | Out | Undisclosed |
Seattle Mariners Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Yimi García | Out | Elbow |
| Luis Castillo | Out | Hamstring |
| Sam Haggerty | Out | Achilles |
| Gregory Santos | Out | Biceps |
| Jackson Kowar | Out | Elbow |
| Matt Brash | Out | Elbow |
