San Diego Padres vs Chicago White Sox Preview
Joe Musgrove and the Padres will host the White Sox today at PETCO Park in San Diego, and the Padres are heavily favored on the money line (-243). The White Sox are +202 on the money line, and the over/under line is sitting at 7 runs.
Chicago is currently on a two-game losing streak and is 36-117 this season, while the Padres are 87-66 and are 2nd in the NL West. The White Sox are 5th in the AL Central. NBCS will be televising this interleague matchup.
Check out BetCoco for San Diego Padres – Chicago White Sox odds
San Diego Padres vs. Chicago White Sox Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the White Sox are 2-3. This includes going 3-2 vs. the runline.
- Conversely, the Padres have achieved a 4-1 (SU) record and 3-2 record in their last five home games.
- As the favorite, the Padres are 5-5 over their last ten games, including going 4-6 vs. the runline.
- Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the White Sox have a 4-6 straight-up record and a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
San Diego Padres vs Chicago White Sox Prediction
Chicago is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 4-3 loss to the Angels, Jared Shuster was excellent on the mound, allowing just one hit and no runs over three innings of work. They also got a big offensive performance from Andrew Vaughn, going 1/5 with a homer.
The White Sox’s offense scored their three runs on a total of six hits but only had one extra-base hit. They tied things up in the 10th with a run but gave up the lead right away. Jairo Iriarte took the loss out of the bullpen. The White Sox also wasted a good start from Jared Shuster, who went three innings, and didn’t give up a run.
Chicago is 36-117 overall, and they trail the Guardians by 52.5 games in the AL Central. The White Sox have really struggled against other AL Central teams, going 8-41 this year. This season, the White Sox are just 16-58 as the road underdog.
At home, the White Sox are only 20-58 compared to a 16-59 mark on the road. So far, they have dropped two straight games and are just 4-6 over their last 10. As the underdog, the White Sox are 31-114 this season and 5-3 when favored.
When betting the run line on the White Sox, it’s been a profitable proposition, as they are 62-91 against the run line this season. They are 31-47 against the run line at home and 31-44 against the run line on the road. They have been an underdog in most of their games, and their record as an underdog against the run line is 57-88.
Chicago White Sox games have gone over the total in 65 of their 145 games this season, and their games have averaged 8.2 runs per game. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs per game, and their games have had an average total of 8 runs per game.
Garrett Crochet is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Athletics, where he took the loss and gave up one earned run in four innings of work. In that outing, he gave up three hits, issued three walks, and gave up a homer. Crochet has taken the loss in each of his last three outings and has made 30 appearances this season. Crochet’s record for the season is 6-12, and his ERA is 3.78. Looking at his home/road splits, Crochet is 2-4 on the road with a 5.86 ERA compared to 4-8 at home with a 4.03 ERA.
Andrew Vaughn and Andrew Benintendi are tied for the White Sox team lead with 19 home runs apiece, with Vaughn also leading the team with 67 RBIs. Benintendi has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/25 in his last six games with three homers and seven RBIs. Lenyn Sosa has also been a bright spot in the lineup, hitting .391 over this stretch.
Chicago’s offense has been the worst in the league this season, averaging just 3.1 runs per game. They are also near the bottom of the league in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. Overall, the White Sox are 26th in home runs and have the worst isolated power figure in the league.
The Padres’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Astros, closing out their series with a 4-0 win. After allowing the first three batters to reach base, the Astros’s starter, Dylan Cease, really settled in, going 8 1/3 innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out five Astros batters.
San Diego’s big inning came in the 2nd, as they scored three runs. The Padres went on to add another run in the 6th inning, closing out the scoring. Manny Machado went 2/4 with two homers and three RBIs.
San Diego will host the White Sox with an overall record of 87-66, which has them four games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. So far, they have gone 24-22 in divisional games. The Padres have been good at home this year, going 42-36, and they are 45-30 on the road.
When playing as the favorite, the Padres are 57-42 this season, and they are 30-24 as the underdog. San Diego has been good in closing out series, as their overall record is 30-15-6, and they have won two straight series. Their most recent series win came against the Astros.
When the Padres win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.7 runs in their victories. However, when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.5 runs. Their overall run line record is 78-75, and they have been a better bet on the road, going 47-28 against the run line compared to 31-47 at home. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 37-17 against the run line in those games.
The Padres have played in just one game this season with an over/under line set at 7 runs, and they have gone over that total in 11 of their 16 games overall. The combined run average in their games this season is 8.9 runs, and their over/under record is 80-70. Their current under streak is at four games.
Joe Musgrove will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. In that start vs. the Giants, he went six innings and gave up just three hits. Looking back over his last four outings, Musgrove has allowed at least one homer in three of them. His ERA for the season is 4.22, along with a record of 6-5. Musgrove’s WHIP for the season is 1.23. Out of his 17 starts, he has eight quality starts and is averaging 8.86 strikeouts per nine innings.
Not only do the Padres lead the league in batting average, but they are also the top home run hitting team in the league. This has helped them to an average of 4.7 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. San Diego has been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. The Padres also do a great job of avoiding strikeouts, as they are the league’s top-ranked team in this category.
Manny Machado comes into the game as the league’s 8th ranked RBI man, with 104 runs batted in. He also leads the Padres with 29 homers. Machado is currently on a three-game hitting streak, and over his last seven games, he has four homers and six RBIs. Fernando Tatis Jr. has also been swinging a hot bat, going 10/28 in his last seven games.
Our prediction for the White Sox vs. Padres matchup is to take the Padres to pick up the win at home. However, with the money line payout for the Padres being -243, we recommend taking the over at 7 runs, with the payout being -112.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Joe Musgrove is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the second-best among starters today. As for Garrett Crochet, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, and his chances of picking up a win are right in the middle of the pack.
San Diego Padres vs Chicago White Sox Betting Tips
- Take the Padres on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the White Sox (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
San Diego Padres Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jay Groome | Out | Suspension |
| Ha-Seong Kim | Out | Shoulder |
| Luis Patiño | Out | Elbow |
| Stephen Kolek | Out | Forearm |
Chicago White Sox Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Max Stassi | Out | Hip |
| Dominic Leone | Out | Elbow |
| Mike Clevinger | Out | Neck |
| Michael Soroka | Out | Shoulder |
| Matt Foster | Out | Back |
| Jimmy Lambert | Out | Shoulder |
| Jesse Scholtens | Out | Elbow |
| Steven Wilson | Out | Back |
| Ky Bush | Out | Triceps |
| Jordan Leasure | Out | Shoulder |
| Drew Thorpe | Out | Forearm |
| Brooks Baldwin | Out | Wrist |
