Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners Preview
From Globe Life Field in Arlington, we have the Mariners and Rangers facing off in an AL West matchup. This one gets started at 8:05 PM ET and is being televised by BSSW.
Seattle is 2nd in the AL West with a record of 78-75, while the Rangers are 3rd in the division at 73-80. Texas comes into the game as the slight money line favorite, with their odds sitting at -116. The money line odds for the Mariners are at -102. The over/under line is currently at 7 runs, and Jacob deGrom is the Rangers’ starter. The Mariners are going with George Kirby.
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Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners Trends and Key Stats
- 4-1 is the record of Mariners in their last five road games. They have also gone 4-1 vs. the runline.
- Conversely, the Rangers have achieved a 1-4 (SU) record and 2-3 record in their last five home games.
- In their previous ten games, the Mariners have recorded a 7-3 record as the favorite, while they have a 2-8 record as the underdog.
- The Rangers have a 6-4 record when favored, while their record as the underdog is 4-6.
Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners Prediction
Seattle is coming off a game in which they closed out their series vs. the Yankees with a 3-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -122 on the money line. It was a good start for the Mariners, as they got on the board with three runs in the 1st inning and didn’t give up the lead. The Yankees could only score two runs, both of which came in the 3rd.
Logan Gilbert put together a good start for the Mariners, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up just two earned runs, and picking up the win. Seattle’s offense was carried by Luke Raley, who went 2/3 with a run scored.
Seattle is five games behind the Astros in the AL West as they are 78-75 overall. The Mariners are 25-18 against other teams in the AL West. They have an overall series record of 20-24-4 this season, and they lost their most recent series vs. the Yankees.
At home, the Mariners have gone 46-32 this year, and they are just below .500 at 32-43 on the road. Seattle has won three straight games as the favorite, and they are 57-47 when favored this year. As the road favorite, the Mariners have gone 20-23 this season.
The Mariners have a run line record of 65-88 this season, with an average run margin of +0.3 runs per game. They have gone 32-43 against the run line on the road, where they have an average scoring margin of 0.0 runs per game. As the favorite, their run line record is 41-63, while as the underdog, it is 24-25.
Seattle Mariners games have had an average combined run total of 7.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 71-73. When the line is set at 7 runs, their over/under record is 16-20-7. Overall, 63.4% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7 runs. Currently, they are on a two-game under streak.
Seattle is sending right-hander George Kirby to the mound today vs. the Rangers. He has made 31 starts this season and has a record of 12-11 with a 3.62 ERA. Kirby’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.08. In his 31 appearances, he has turned in 18 quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Kirby pitched well, picking up the win and going seven innings. He didn’t give up a run in the outing. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts. Kirby has been much better at home this year, coming in with a 4.56 ERA on the road compared to 3.80 at home.
Julio Rodríguez has been swinging a hot bat for the Mariners, going 12/31 in his last seven games with two homers and five RBIs. Overall, he is hitting .265 with 16 homers and 54 RBIs. Catcher Cal Raleigh is leading the team in homers (30) and RBIs (93) but has a batting average of just .213.
As a team, the Mariners are 25th in scoring at 4.1 runs per game. They are also the worst team in the league in terms of strikeouts. Overall, they are batting just .222, which is the worst mark in the league. However, they do have a good team on-base percentage and are 13th in home runs.
The Rangers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Blue Jays with a 4-0 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Blue Jays scored three runs in the top of the 9th. Texas was the -134 favorite at home going into the game.
Kumar Rocker was excellent for the Rangers, going three innings and giving up just one earned run while striking out five. However, the Rangers couldnjson’t close things out, and Rocker took the loss. Texas’s offense was also held to just two hits and didn’t score a run.
Texas will open their series vs. the Mariners at home, and they are 3rd in the AL West, 10 games behind the Astros. So far, they are 20-23 in divisional matchups. Overall, the Rangers are 73-80 this season, and they are 43-35 at home.
As for their record on the road, the Rangers have gone just 30-45 this season. Texas is the underdog today, and they are 24-45 as the underdog overall. At home, they are 7-12 as the underdog. Texas’ overall series record is 21-26-1, and they won their most recent series vs. the Blue Jays. The Rangers come in 4-6 across their last 10 games.
When the Rangers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.4 runs per game. When they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.8 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 65-88, with a run line record of 33-45 at home and 32-43 on the road. As the favorite, they are 29-55 vs. the run line, while they are 36-33 as the underdog.
The Texas Rangers have had a high-scoring season, with a combined run average of 8.7 runs per game. Their over/under record is 71-77, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs per game. When the line is set at 7 runs, their record is 4-4. Overall, 92.8% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7 runs, with just 2% of their games having lower lines. They are currently on a 2-game under streak.
Jacob deGrom is getting the start for the Rangers at home against the Mariners. In his first start of the season, deGrom went 3 2/3 innings and struck out 4, allowing 4 hits but no runs.
For the season, the Rangers are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. This is also their team’s home and road scoring averages. As a team, they are batting .236, which is 15th in the league, and are 19th in home runs. Texas is also near the bottom of the league in OPS and isolated power.
Adolis Garcia has been the team’s top power threat this season, with 23 homers, and he is also the team’s leader in RBIs. However, he is batting just .217. Corey Seager is batting .278 and has gone deep 30 times. Marcus Semien has 22 homers but is batting just .234 for the season. Over his last seven games, Semien is just 4/27.
Our prediction for today’s Mariners vs. Rangers game is to take the Rangers on the money line, with the payout being -116. We have the Rangers winning this one by a final score of 6-5.
If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also look to pair a Rangers win with an over pick, as the over/under line is sitting at 7 runs. However, we see this one finishing with just 11 runs, giving us some room to take the under.
Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners Betting Tips
- We like the Rangers on the moneyline (-116)
- The Rangers are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Texas Rangers Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Corey Seager | Out | Hip |
Jon Gray | Out | Foot |
José Ureña | Out | Shoulder |
Tyler Mahle | Out | Shoulder |
Josh Sborz | Out | Shoulder |
Cole Winn | Out | Shoulder |
Grant Anderson | Out | Ankle |
Evan Carter | Out | Back |
Carson Coleman | Out | Elbow |
Seattle Mariners Injury Report
Player | Status | Injury |
---|---|---|
Yimi García | Out | Elbow |
Victor Robles | Questionable | Hand |
Luis Castillo | Out | Hamstring |
Sam Haggerty | Out | Achilles |
Gregory Santos | Out | Biceps |
Jackson Kowar | Out | Elbow |
Matt Brash | Out | Elbow |