Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction & Betting Tips 9/19/2024

Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Preview

From Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, we have an AL East matchup between the Red Sox and Rays. The Red Sox are currently favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -106 compared to the Rays at -114. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs.

First pitch for this one is set for 6:50 PM ET, and the game will be televised on BSSUN. Brayan Bello will go for the Red Sox, while the Rays are starting Zack Littell. Boston is 76-76, while the Rays are 74-78.

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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Trends and Key Stats

• 2-3 is the record of Red Sox in their last five road games. They have also gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
• The Rays, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 2-3 (SU) and 3-2 record.
• In the past ten games, when playing as the favorite, the Red Sox have a record of 5-5, while as the underdog, they have a record of 3-7.
• The Rays have a 5-5 record when favored, while their record as the underdog is 4-6.

Boston picked up a 2-1 win over the Rays in the most recent game of this series. The Red Sox had a late rally, scoring one run in the 6th and another in the 8th. As for the Rays, they scored their only run in the 2nd. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were the slight underdogs at -105.

Tanner Houck only went four innings for the Red Sox but gave up just one run and one hit. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued two walks. Justin Slaten got the win out of the bullpen, and Kenley Jansen got the save.

Ryan Pepiot had a good outing for the Rays, giving up just one run in six innings of work. He finished the game with 12 strikeouts but took the loss.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

Boston is at .500 with a record of 76-76 and is 13 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. The Red Sox are in 3rd place in the division and have gone 22-23 in divisional matchups this year. They will take on the Rays today, with the series tied 1-1.

At home, the Red Sox are just 35-40 this year, but they have been better on the road at 41-36. As the road favorite, the Red Sox have gone 15-6 this year, and they are 41-34 when favored overall. As for their record as the underdog, they are 35-42 this year.

The Red Sox have had a run line record of 72-80 this season, with a run differential of 0.0 runs per game. They have been a good bet on the run line on the road, going 44-33, but have struggled at home, going 28-47. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.9 runs per game, while it drops to -3.9 runs per game in losses.

Today’s over/under line of 7.5 runs for the Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays is the lowest of the season for the Red Sox. Boston has played in 129 games with lines higher than 7.5 runs, which is 84.9% of their games this year. The Red Sox have gone over the total in 75 of their 144 games this season, and their games have averaged 9.4 runs per game. Their over/under record is 75-69, and their average over/under line for the season is 9 runs.

Brayan Bello will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win vs. the Yankees. In that start, he went 5 1/3 innings and gave up just one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Bello has made 28 starts and has a record of 14-7. His ERA for the season is 4.60, along with a WHIP of 1.38. Opposing batters are hitting .250 off Bello this season. Out of his 28 starts, Bello has turned in 10 quality starts and is averaging 8.37 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has given up 19 home runs and is averaging 3.54 walks per nine innings.

The Red Sox offense is averaging 4.7 runs per game this season, which is 9th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per game. Boston has been one of the league’s best home run hitting teams this season and also have a team batting average of .254, which is 5th in the MLB. One of the things that has helped the Red Sox offense this season is their league-best BABIP of .32.

Rafael Devers has been the team’s top run producer this season, with 83 RBIs to go along with his 28 homers. Devers is also batting .274 for the season. Tyler O’Neill has 31 homers, which is 11th in the league, but he has really struggled at the plate of late, hitting just .107 over his last eight games.

The Rays are two games under .500 at 74-78 and are in 4th place in the AL East. Currently, they trail the Yankees by 15 games in the division. So far, they have gone 20-25 against other teams in the AL East. Tampa Bay will host the Red Sox today, and they are 1.5 games behind Boston in the AL East standings.

At home, the Rays are 38-39 this season and 36-39 on the road. Tampa Bay has been the favorite in 66 games, and they have gone 35-31 in those games. As the underdog, the Rays are 39-47 this season. So far, they have an overall series record of 22-18-7.

When the Rays win, they win big, with an average margin of victory of 2.8 runs. When they lose, they lose by an average of 3.4 runs. Overall, they have a run line record of 78-74, but they have been a better bet on the road, where they are 43-32. They have been an underdog in most of their games, and they have a run line record of 54-32 in those games.

The Tampa Bay Rays are hosting the Boston Red Sox in a game with an over/under line of 7.5 runs. The Rays have played 86 games this season with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 56.6% of their games. Their games have averaged 8.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 66-78 overall. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, their record is 23-28.

Tampa Bay is starting Zack Littell vs. the Red Sox today, and he comes into the game with a record of 7-9 and an ERA of 3.73. So far this year, he has made 27 starts, and opponents have put together a batting average of .268 vs. Littell. Looking back at his last outing, Littell didn’t allow a run in six innings of work vs. the Guardians. He gave up just two hits in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts. Littell has a total of 21 homers this year.

For the season, the Rays are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They are also one of the worst home run hitting teams in the league, coming in 23rd in that category. As a team, they are batting just .231, which is 19th in the league.

Yandy Diaz comes into the game as the Rays’ top hitter, with a batting average of .282, and his 65 RBIs are the best mark on the team. Brandon Lowe and Christopher Morel have been the team’s top power threats, with 19 and 21 homers, respectively. Over his last seven games, Lowe is 7/29 (.241) with two homers.

With the Red Sox being the underdog on the money line at -106, that is the direction we recommend going for today’s Red Sox vs. Rays matchup. We actually have the Red Sox winning this one by a score of 6-4, giving us some room to take them on the money line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Brayan Bello finishing with more strikeouts than Zack Littell, and we also have Bello going longer into the game. Our projections have Bello finishing with six K’s and Littell with just four.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Betting Tips

• Take the Red Sox on the moneyline
• The Red Sox are also our pick on the spread at -1.5
• Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over

Tampa Bay Rays Injury Report

Boston Red Sox Injury Report