Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees Prediction & Betting Tips 9/19/2024

Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees Preview

At 4:10 PM ET, the Yankees and Mariners face off in an AL matchup. Thursday’s matchup is taking place at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, and the Mariners are slight favorites on the money line (-108 vs. -110 for the Yankees).

Thursday’s forecast doesn’t look great in Seattle, as there is rain in the forecast. Clarke Schmidt will start for the Yankees, and the Mariners will be looking to Logan Gilbert to help them win and keep pace with the Astros in the AL West. Gilbert is 2-2 with a 5.94 ERA in 2019.

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Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees Trends and Key Stats

• 4-1 is the record of Yankees in their last five road games. They have also gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
• On the opposing side, the Mariners have a 4-1 (SU) record, along with a 4-1 record in their last five home contests.
• The Yankees are 7-3 in their last ten games as the favorite and 5-5 as the underdog.
• The Mariners have a 6-4 record when favored, while their record as the underdog is 2-8.

New York picked up a 2-1 win over the Mariners in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a one-run lead heading into the 8th inning, and the Mariners could only muster one run in the 8th. As for the Yankees, they scored the game’s first run in the 2nd and didn’t score another run until putting up the game-winner in the top of the 10th.

Nestor Cortes started for the Yankees and went six innings while giving up just one run and striking out six. He picked up a win in the game, while Ian Hamilton got the save. Bryce Miller only went six innings for the Mariners but gave up just one run on two hits.

Anthony Rizzo and Justin Turner each homered for their respective teams. Rizzo, Aaron Judge, and Gleyber Torres were the only three Yankees hitters to have more than one hit.

Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees Prediction

The Yankees are 89-63 overall this season, putting them 1st in the AL East. They lead the Orioles by five games for the top spot in the division. New York is on a three-game winning streak, and they have taken the first two games of this series vs. the Mariners.

At home, the Yankees are 42-33 this season, and they have gone 47-30 on the road. The Yankees have been good as the favorite this season, putting together a mark of 71-56. As for their record as the underdog, they are 18-7 this season. New York’s overall series record is 28-16-4, and they have won three straight series.

When the Yankees win, they win big, as their average run margin in victories is 4.1 runs per game. They are 78-74 against the run line this season, and their average run margin overall is +0.9 runs per game. They are 45-32 against the run line on the road, where their scoring margin is +1.3 runs per game. They are 33-42 against the run line at home, where their scoring margin is +0.4 runs per game. They are 57-70 against the run line as the favorite and 21-4 against the run line as the underdog.

The New York Yankees are on the road against the Seattle Mariners today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Yankees have played in 133 games this season with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 87.5% of their games. Their combined run average for the season is 9.1 runs per game, and their over/under record is 80-67 overall.

New York is sending right-hander Clarke Schmidt to the mound today vs. the Mariners. He has made 13 starts this season and has a record of 5-3 with a 2.41 ERA. Overall, Schmidt has made two quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow an earned run. Against the Red Sox on September 13th, he went 5 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, five hits, and one homer. Schmidt has a WHIP of 1.13 and is averaging 9.38 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed seven homers and is walking 2.79 batters per nine innings.

Heading into today’s game, the Yankees offense is leading the league in home runs and is 3rd in runs scored, averaging 5 runs per contest. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per game. Overall, they are 7th in batting average and have the league’s 2nd best on-base percentage. New York has also been very patient at the plate, as they have the fewest strikeouts in the league.

Aaron Judge is not only the league’s home run leader, but he also leads the MLB in RBIs. Judge is batting .321 for the season and has gone 8/27 over his last eight games, with two homers. Juan Soto is also near the top of the league in home runs, as his 40 homers is 4th best in the league. However, he has struggled a bit of late, batting just .214 over his last eight games.

Seattle is 77-75 overall, putting them five games behind the Astros in the AL West. The Mariners have dropped two straight games, and this is part of a series vs. the Yankees, which they trail 2-0. In the AL West, the Mariners are 25-18 in divisional games this year.

At home, the Mariners are 45-32 and 32-43 on the road. So far, they have been the underdog in 49 games, going 21-28 in those matchups. As the favorite, the Mariners are 56-47 this year. Seattle’s overall series record is 21-23-4, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games overall.

The Mariners have been a good team to bet on the run line this season, as they are 65-87 overall. They are 33-44 at home and 32-43 on the road. Their average run margin is +0.3 runs per game, and they have a run line record of 41-62 as the favorite and 24-25 as the underdog.

The Seattle Mariners are hosting the New York Yankees today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Mariners games this season is 7.9 runs, and their over/under record is 71-72. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 20-23. Overall, 54 of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 35.5% of their games.

Seattle is sending right-hander Logan Gilbert to the mound today vs. the Yankees. He has made 30 starts this season and has a record of 7-11 with an ERA of 3.24. Gilbert’s WHIP for the season is .89, and opponents are batting .190 this season. In his 30 appearances, Gilbert has turned in 22 quality starts and is averaging 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings. Gilbert’s last outing came on September 14th vs. the Rangers, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had given up four earned runs in three straight outings.

Julio Rodríguez and Luke Raley have been two of the Mariners’ top hitters this season, with Rodriguez batting .266 and Raley at .243. Over his last 10 games, Rodriguez has gone 14/45 with two homers and eight RBIs, while Raley has also been swinging a hot bat, going 9/29 with three homers in that stretch. Cal Raleigh leads the team with 30 homers and 93 RBIs, but he is batting just .213 for the season.

Overall, the Mariners are just 25th in the league in runs per game at 4.1. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.7 runs per game. As a team, the Mariners are batting just .221, which is the worst mark in the league. However, they do come into the game with the 4th fewest strikeouts in the league.

Our prediction for today’s Yankees vs. Mariners game is to take the Mariners on the money line at -108. We have the Mariners winning this one by a final score of 6-5. With the over/under sitting at 7.5 runs, there isn’t a lot of room for error, but we do see this one going over.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Logan Gilbert is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the highest among all starters today. As for Clarke Schmidt, he is projected to finish with seven K’s as well, which would have him as the fourth-best among starters.

Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees Betting Tips

• Take the Mariners on the moneyline
• The Mariners should also cover at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Seattle Mariners Injury Report

New York Yankees Injury Report