New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Preview
Jose Quintana will be starting for the Mets, as they are looking to extend their two-game winning streak. The Nationals, who are 68-83, will be starting DJ Herz. Washington is 4th in the NL East, while the Mets are 2nd.
Wednesday’s matchup is set for 7:10 PM ET from Citi Field in New York. The money line odds have the Mets at -170 compared to the Nationals at +144. The over/under line is currently 7.5 runs, and MASN will be televising this NL East matchup.
Check out BetCoco for New York Mets – Washington Nationals odds
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals Trends and Key Stats
- The Nationals are 2-3 in their five most recent road games, including a 3-2 runline record.
- On the opposing side, the Mets have a 2-3 (SU) record, along with a 3-2 record in their last five home contests.
- Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Mets have a straight-up record of 7-3, while going 5-5 against the runline.
- When playing as the underdog, the Nationals have won 3-7 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 4-6 against the runline.
New York cruised to a 10-1 win over the Nationals in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 3rd inning, scoring four of their ten runs. As for the Nationals, they scored their only run in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -171 on the money line.
Tylor Megill started for the Mets and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued two walks. Mitchell Parker only went 3 2/3 innings for the Nationals, giving up five earned runs on seven hits.
Pete Alonso and Luisangel Acuna each homered for the Mets. Alonso, Jose Iglesias, Tyrone Taylor, and Starling Marte each had two RBIs for New York’s offense.
New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Prediction
With an overall record of 68-83, the Nationals are 4th in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 23 games. Currently, they are on a two-game losing streak, having dropped the first two games of this series vs. the Mets. Washington’s record vs. other NL East teams is 23-25 this season.
At home, the Nationals are 36-39 this season, and they are 32-44 on the road. As the underdog, Washington is 53-70 this season, and they are 15-13 when favored. Looking at their overall series record, the Nationals are 19-22-6 and have lost the series to the Mets.
Washington has a run line record of 84-67 this season, including a 44-32 mark on the road. The Nationals have an average run differential of -0.6 runs per game, and they have covered the run line in 13 of 28 games as the favorite. Washington’s average run differential in wins is +3.3 runs per game, while it’s -3.8 runs per game in losses.
The Washington Nationals are on the road today against the New York Mets. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their average combined run average of 8.9 runs per game. The Nationals’ over/under record for the season is 71-74, and when the line has been set at 7.5 runs, they have gone over 17 times and under 10 times. Overall, 80.8% of their games this season have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.
Washington is sending DJ Herz to the mound today vs. the Mets, and he comes in with a record of 4-7 and an ERA of 3.70. So far this year, Herz has made 17 starts, and opponents are batting .214. Per nine innings, Herz is averaging 10.98 strikeouts and 3.36 walks. In his last outing, Herz picked up the win, going five innings and giving up one earned run. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts. Herz has made two quality starts this year. At home, his ERA is 4.19, compared to 4.13 on the road.
Washington’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, as they are averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 23rd in the MLB. They have also struggled in the power department, as their 127 home runs are 24th in the league. As a team, they are batting .243, which is 11th in the league, and are 5th in the league in fewest strikeouts per game.
CJ Abrams and Luis Garcia Jr. are the Nationals’ top two home run hitters this season, but both players are batting under .250 for the season. Abrams is hitting just .240, and Garcia Jr. is batting .280. Abrams and Garcia Jr. are also the team’s top two RBI guys. Over his last five games, Dylan Crews is 5/20, and James Wood has two homers in that stretch but is just 4/19.
The Mets are eight games behind the Phillies in the NL East but have an overall record of 83-68, which is good for 2nd place in the division. New York is 2-0 so far in this series vs. the Nationals and have an overall series record of 25-17-8 this season. At home, the Mets are 42-34 this season.
As the favorite, the Mets have gone 55-37 this season and 28-31 as the underdog. New York has been good on the road, putting together a record of 41-34. Looking at their overall record, the Mets have gone 6-4 over their last 10 games.
Despite a run line record of 76-75, the Mets have been a better bet on the road, where they are 42-33. They have a run line record of 34-42 at home, where they are 41-51 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.7, while it is -3.4 in losses.
Today’s game between the New York Mets and Washington Nationals has an over/under line of 7.5 runs. The Mets have played in 105 games this season with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 69.5% of their games. Their games have had an average combined run total of 9.0 runs, and their over/under record for the season is 75-71.
Jose Quintana gets the start for the Mets today and is coming off a great outing vs. the Phillies. In that September 13th outing, he went seven innings, picking up the win and not giving up a run. Looking back over his last three outings, Quintana has picked up the win in each one. His record for the season is 9-9, and he has an ERA of 3.91. Opposing batters are hitting .237 off Quintana this season. Overall, he has made 29 starts, 11 of which were quality starts. Quintana’s ERA at home is 4.45, compared to 4.91 on the road.
Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been two of the Mets’ top power threats this season, as they are 2nd and 1st on the team in home runs, respectively, and are both near the top of the league in RBIs. Alonso has a team-high 86 RBIs, while Lindor is batting .271 and has gone deep 31 times. Over his last eight games, Lindor has three homers and is 6/25, while Jose Iglesias has been hot, going 13/30 in that stretch.
As a team, the Mets are 7th in runs scored at 4.8 per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are 5th in home runs and have the 9th best team batting average in the MLB.
We see the Mets coming away with a 5-4 win in this one, and with the money line payout sitting at -170, we could see this being a good parlay piece for a two-leg parlay. However, our preferred bet for this game is to take the over, with the line sitting at 7.5 runs.
If you are looking for a starting pitcher to rack up some strikeouts, you’ll want to look at the Nationals’ starter, as our projections have him finishing with eight K’s compared to the Mets’ starter, who we have finishing with four.
New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Betting Tips
- Take the Mets on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Nationals (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
New York Mets Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Brooks Raley | Out | Elbow |
| Francisco Lindor | Questionable | Back |
| Jeff McNeil | Out | Wrist |
| Paul Blackburn | Out | Back |
| Sean Reid-Foley | Out | Shoulder |
| Drew Smith | Out | Elbow |
| Kodai Senga | Out | Calf |
| Ronny Mauricio | Out | Knee |
| Dedniel Núñez | Out | Forearm |
| Christian Scott | Out | Elbow |
| Christopher Larez | Out | Personal |
Washington Nationals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Trevor Williams | Out | Hip Flexor |
| Alex Call | Out | Foot/Ankle |
| Mason Thompson | Out | Elbow |
| Luis García Jr. | Questionable | Wrist |
| Josiah Gray | Out | Elbow |
| Joan Adon | Out | Shoulder/Biceps |
| Cade Cavalli | Out | Elbow |
