Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins Prediction & Betting Tips 9/18/2024

Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins Preview

The Guardians are hosting the Twins today at Progressive Field in Cleveland and will be looking to extend their lead in the AL Central, as they are 87-65. However, they come into the game as the slight money line underdog (-117), while the Twins are at -101. The money line odds have the over/under line at 7.5 runs.

First pitch for this one is set for 6:40 PM ET, and the forecast calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the upper 70s. Tanner Bibee is starting for the Guardians, while the Twins are going with Bailey Ober. Minnesota is currently 3rd in the AL Central, and they have a record of 80-71.

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Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins Trends and Key Stats

• 1-4 is the record of Twins in their last five road games. They have also gone 1-4 vs. the runline.
• The Guardians, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 3-2 (SU) and 3-2 record.
• The Twins are 4-6 in their last ten games as the favorite and 4-6 as the underdog.
• The Guardians are 7-3 (favorite) and 3-7 (underdog).

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Twins vs Guardians series. Minnesota went into the matchup as +118 underdogs and squeaked out a 4-1 win. Both teams scored one run in the first inning, and the Guardians could only muster one more run in the 4th inning. As for the Twins, they scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 5th, and added two insurance runs in the 8th.

Gavin Williams got the start for the Guardians, going five innings and giving up two earned runs on five hits. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued two walks. As for the Twins, Zebby Matthews only went 4 2/3 innings but gave up just one earned run on five hits.

Minnesota’s two biggest offensive performances came from Willi Castro and Matt Wallner. Castro went 2/4 with a home run, while Wallner also had two hits and drove in two runs. Lane Thomas hit the game’s only other home run while going 1/3.

Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins Prediction

Minnesota is 80-71 overall this season, and they are 6.5 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. So far, they have gone 29-21 in divisional games. The Twins are on the road today, and they are 38-38 as the road team this year.

As the favorite, the Twins have gone 63-42 this season, and they are 17-29 as the underdog. Minnesota is 26-17-4 in series this year, and they are 4-6 over their last 10 games overall.

Minnesota has a run line record of 70-81 this season, with an average run differential of +0.2 runs per game. They are 38-38 against the run line on the road, and their overall run line record is 46-59 as the favorite and 24-22 as the underdog. In their wins, they have an average run differential of +3.7 runs per game, while in their losses, they have an average run differential of -3.7 runs per game.

Minnesota’s games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 76-69. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, the Twins are 19-18. Overall, 64.2% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs. Their current under streak is at two games.

Twins starter Bailey Ober will be looking to rebound from a rough outing vs. the Reds, as he gave up five earned runs in 6 2/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up two home runs. Before that, he had turned in a solid performance, going seven innings vs. the Royals and not giving up a run. Ober’s ERA for the season is 3.90, along with a record of 12-7. Opponents have hit .202 off Ober this season. He has one complete game and 17 quality starts this year. Ober’s ERA on the road is 6.82, compared to 6.01 at home.

Carlos Santana comes into the game as the Twins’ leader in home runs, with 22, and also leads the team in RBIs, with 65. He is also on a seven-game hitting streak and has gone 6/17 in his last four games, including a home run. Willi Castro has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 6/16 in his last five games, including a home run. For the season, Castro is batting .250 with 12 homers.

As a team, the Twins are averaging 4.7 runs per game and are 8th in the league in team batting average at .249. They are also one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams, coming in at 9th in the league. Overall, they have been a good power-hitting team, as their isolated power (ISO) of .171 is 5th in the league.

Cleveland is hosting the Twins today with an overall record of 87-65, which has them leading the AL Central by five games. So far, they have gone 28-22 against other teams in the AL Central. The Guardians have been good at home this year, going 46-28, and they are just above .500 at 41-37 on the road.

The Guardians have an overall series record of 26-15-6 this year, and they are 61-33 as the favorite. As the underdog, the Guardians are 26-32, and they are 6-7 as the home underdog. Cleveland has gone 6-4 across their last ten games and are currently tied with the Twins in their series.

When betting the run line in Cleveland Guardians games this season, the underdog has been the way to go, as the Guardians have covered the run line in 57% of games as the underdog. They are just 36-38 on the run line at home this season, compared to 41-37 on the road. The Guardians are 44-50 on the run line as the favorite this season.

When the Cleveland Guardians host the Minnesota Twins, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. This season, the Guardians have played in 106 games with higher over/under lines, and their games have averaged 8.3 runs per game. Cleveland has a 66-75 over/under record on the season, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game.

Tanner Bibee will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Rays, as he gets the start for the Guardians today. In that September 13th start, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Looking back over his last three outings, Bibee has given up at least two earned runs in each. For the season, he has made 29 starts, has a record of 11-8, and his ERA is 3.60. Opponents are batting .229 off Bibee this season. One positive note is that he has turned in 10 quality starts this year.

So far this season, the Guardians are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. At home, they have been even better, putting up 4.7 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .238, which is 15th in the league, and are also 11th in the league in home runs. One area they have struggled in is their collective BABIP of .27, which is the worst in the MLB.

Jose Ramirez is not only the Guardians’ top home run hitter this season, but his 107 RBIs are also the best mark in the league. He is also batting .273 for the season and has gone 8/23 in his last six games. Ramirez is also currently on a 10-game hitting streak. Josh Naylor is 2nd on the team with 29 homers and has a batting average of .243.

Our prediction for this Twins vs. Guardians matchup is to take the Twins on the money line, with a payout of -101. We have the Twins taking this one by a score of 5-4. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also look to take the Twins on the money line and look for the Twins to hit more home runs than the Guardians.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Tanner Bibee finishing with six strikeouts compared to Bailey Ober with five. However, we have Bibee finishing with a higher ERA than Ober, and we have him going just four innings.

Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins Betting Tips

• We like the Twins on the moneyline (-101)
• The Twins are also our pick on the spread at -1.5
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Cleveland Guardians Injury Report

Minnesota Twins Injury Report