Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees Prediction & Betting Tips 9/17/2024

Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees Preview

From T-Mobile Park in Seattle, we have the Yankees and Mariners facing off in an AL matchup. This one gets started at 9:40 PM ET and is being televised on YES. The Yankees are 1st in the AL East and have an overall record of 87-63, while the Mariners are 2nd in the AL West with a record of 77-73.

New York is currently favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -119 compared to the Mariners at +101. The over/under line is at 7 runs, and the Mariners will be looking to extend their three-game win streak. Tuesday’s starting pitching matchup features Luis Gil for the Yankees and Bryan Woo for the Mariners.

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Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees Trends and Key Stats

• The Yankees are 2-3 in their five most recent road games, including a 2-3 runline record.
• On the other side, the Mariners have gone 4-1 (SU) and 4-1 in their previous five home contests.
• The Yankees have a 7-3 straight-up record in their last ten games as the favorite, and 4-6 against the runline.
• When playing as the underdog, the Mariners have gone 5-5 against the runline, with a straight-up record of 6-4 over their last ten games.

Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees Prediction

New York closed out their series vs. the Red Sox with a 5-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -176. It was a big 3rd inning for the Yankees, as they scored three runs in the inning. The Red Sox could only score two runs, both of which came in the 4th.

Carlos Rodon put together a good start for the Yankees, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up just two earned runs, and picking up the win. New York’s offense was carried by Gleyber Torres, who went 2/5 with a homer and two RBIs.

The Yankees lead the AL East by three games over the Orioles as they are 87-63 overall this season. New York is 25-24 against other teams in the AL East. They will be on the road today, taking on the Mariners with an overall series record of 28-16-4, and they have won three straight series.

At home, the Yankees are 42-33 this year, and they have been really good on the road, putting together a mark of 45-30. As the favorite, the Yankees are 69-56 this year, and they are 18-7 as the underdog.

When the Yankees win, they win big, with an average run differential of +4.0 runs per game. That’s a big reason why they are 77-73 on the run line this season. They’ve been especially good on the run line on the road, going 44-31, compared to 33-42 at home. They are also 21-4 on the run line as an underdog, compared to 56-69 as the favorite.

The New York Yankees are on the road today against the Seattle Mariners. The over/under line for the game is set at 7 runs, which is lower than their average line of 9 runs. The Yankees have gone over the total in 79 of their 145 games this season, and their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game. Their games have been set at an over/under line of 7 runs just twice this season, and both games went over the total.

New York is sending Luis Gil to the mound today vs. the Mariners, and he comes in with a record of 13-6 and an ERA of 3.18. Out of his 26 starts, Gil has turned in 10 quality starts and is averaging 10.35 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Gil finished with a no-decision, going five innings and giving up one earned run on five hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Gil has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 7-3 and an ERA of 3.77 compared to 6-3 with a 5.87 ERA at home.

Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are the top home run hitting team in the league and are also near the top of the league in runs per game, averaging 5 runs per contest. The Yankees are also the league’s top scoring team, averaging 5.2 runs per game on the road. Overall, they are batting .249 as a team, which is 8th in the league.

Aaron Judge has been on a tear for the Yankees, as he leads the league with 53 homers and has a league-high 132 RBIs. He is also batting .321 for the season. In his last six games, Judge has gone 6/20 with two homers. Gleyber Torres has also gone deep twice in his last six games, going 7/26 in that stretch.

Mitch Garver had a big game for the Mariners in their 7-0 win over the Rangers to close out their series. He went 3/5 with three RBIs and a homer. The Mariners really broke things open with a three-run 1st inning and added another three runs in the 4th.

George Kirby started for the Mariners, going seven innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out three Rangers batters. Seattle’s offense was carried by Mitch Garver, who went 3/5 with a homer and three RBIs.

Seattle is four games behind the Astros in the AL West as they are 77-73 overall. The Mariners have won three straight games, and they closed out their series vs. the Rangers with a win. This year, they are 25-18 in divisional games.

At home, the Mariners are 45-30 this season compared to a 32-43 mark on the road. Seattle has won three straight games at home, and they are 9-6 as home underdogs this year. As for their overall record as the underdog, the Mariners are 21-26. They have won two straight games as the underdog.

Seattle is 64-86 on the run line this season, and their average run margin is +0.4 runs per game. They are 32-43 on the run line at home, where their average run margin is +0.7 runs per game. As the underdog, the Mariners are 23-24 on the run line, including a current streak of two straight covers.

Seattle is 70-71 on the over/under this season, and the over has hit in four straight games. The Mariners’ games have averaged 7.9 runs per game this season, and their average over/under line is 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 7 runs, Seattle is 15-19-7 on the over/under this season. The over has hit in 64% of their games this season, with 96 games having over/under lines set at over 7 runs, and 13 games having lines set at under 7 runs.

Seattle is sending right-hander Bryan Woo to the mound today vs. the Yankees. He has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 8-2. Woo’s ERA is an impressive 2.38, along with a WHIP of .82. In his 19 appearances, he has turned in 10 quality starts and is averaging 6.98 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his most recent outing, Woo picked up the win vs. the Padres, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. He only allowed one homer in that outing. Before that, he had given up a homer in three straight starts.

Seattle’s offense comes into today’s game with the league’s worst batting average at .222 and are also last in the league in strikeouts. However, they have been a very patient team at the plate, as they are 4th in the league in walks. The Mariners are also 13th in home runs, and Julio Rodriguez and Luke Raley have been swinging the bat well of late, with each of them having three homers in their last 10 games. Rodriguez has gone 14/45 in that stretch, while Raley is 12/34.

Cal Raleigh has been a big run producer for the Mariners this season, as his 93 RBIs are 13th best in the league. He also leads the team with 30 homers, but is batting just .213. Seattle’s team leader in homers is Randy Arozarena, who is 2nd on the team with 57 RBIs.

We see the Mariners as a great value pick today, as they are currently listed at +101 on the money line. With this payout, you could also look to take the Mariners on the run line, as we have them winning by a score of 6-5.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Luis Gil going 6 innings and finishing with 6 strikeouts. As for Bryan Woo, we have him going 5 innings and finishing with 5 K’s.

Offensively, the Yankees are projected to hit two home runs compared to the Mariners, who we have finishing with just one. However, the Mariners are actually the better option in terms of payout, and we would recommend taking them on the money line.

Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees Betting Tips

• We like the Mariners on the moneyline (+101)
• On the run line we like Mariners (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Seattle Mariners Injury Report

New York Yankees Injury Report