Miami Marlins vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview
SNLA will be televising Tuesday’s Dodgers vs. Marlins matchup, which gets started at 6:40 PM ET from loanDepot Park in Miami, FL. The Dodgers are 89-61 and they have won two straight, while the Marlins are 55-95 and they have lost three in a row. Los Angeles is the heavy favorite on the money line (-195), and the over/under line is 9.5 runs.
First place in the NL West is on the line for the Dodgers, while the Marlins are in 5th place in the NL East. Bobby Miller will start for the Dodgers, while the Marlins are going with Darren McCaughan.
Check out BetCoco for Miami Marlins – Los Angeles Dodgers odds
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Trends and Key Stats
- 2-3 is the record of Dodgers in their last five road games. They have also gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
- The Marlins, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 1-4 (SU) and 2-3 record.
- Over their last ten games, the Dodgers have a 5-5 straight-up record when playing as the favorite, along with a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
- As the underdog, the Marlins have gone 2-8 vs. the runline and 4-6 straight-up.
Miami Marlins vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction
Los Angeles closed out their series vs. the Braves with an impressive 9-0 win. Heading into the game, the Dodgers were the slight favorite at -136 on the money line. It was a six-run 3rd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Braves could only score two runs in the 4th.
Evan Phillips put together a good start for the Dodgers, going four innings and not giving up a run. Los Angeles’s offense was carried by Freddie Freeman, who went 1/3 with a homer and three RBIs.
Los Angeles is on the road today to take on the Marlins, with the Dodgers’ overall record at 89-61. They lead the NL West by 3.5 games over the Padres and have gone 24-19 in divisional games this year. The Dodgers have won two straight games, and they are 5-5 over their last ten.
At home, the Dodgers have gone 48-27 this year, and they are 41-34 on the road. As the favorite, the Dodgers are 84-49 this year and 5-12 as the underdog. Los Angeles’ overall series record is 28-18-4, and they split their most recent series with the Braves.
When the Dodgers are on the road, they have a run line record of 37-38, with an average run margin of 0.7. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 68-65 against the run line as the favorite this season.
The Dodgers are on the road against the Marlins today, with the over/under line set at 9.5 runs. Their combined run average this season is 9.2, and their over/under record is 82-65. Their over/under record when the line is set at 9.5 runs is 6-7, and they have hit the over in three straight games.
Right-hander Bobby Miller gets the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Marlins on the road. Miller has made 12 starts this season and has a record of 2-4 with an ERA of 8.17. Looking at his overall numbers, he has a WHIP of 1.69 and has issued 4.83 walks per nine innings compared to 8.33 strikeouts. Miller’s last outing came against the Cubs, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up six earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts.
Shohei Ohtani has been a major run producer for the Dodgers this season, as his 108 RBIs are 3rd in the league and lead the team. Ohtani is also 2nd in the league with 47 homers. He is batting .288 for the season and has a strong on-base percentage of .373. Teoscar Hernandez has also been a big power threat for the Dodgers, as his 29 homers are 2nd on the team and 12th in the league.
Tommy Edman has been swinging a hot bat for the Dodgers, going 13/34 with five homers over his last nine games. Overall, the Dodgers are the 2nd ranked scoring offense in the league, averaging 5 runs per game. They also have the league’s 3rd best home run total and have the 2nd best slugging percentage in the MLB.
Miami closed out their series vs. the Nationals with a 4-3 loss. The Marlins were the +149 underdog on the road. Things started off well for the Marlins, as they got on the board with a run in the 3rd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Nationals scored twice in the bottom of the 3rd.
Adam Oller got the start for the Marlins and took the loss. He only lasted five innings, giving up three earned runs on six hits. Miami’s offense scored their other two runs in the 3rd inning and added one more in the 9th but couldn’t complete the comeback.
Miami is 5th in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 35 games for the division lead. Overall, the Marlins are 55-95, and they have dropped three straight games heading into today’s matchup vs. the Dodgers. This season, they are just 17-32 in divisional games.
At home, the Marlins are 28-47 while going 27-48 on the road. So far, they are just 4-14 when favored and 24-33 as the home underdog. Miami’s overall series record is 11-28-9, and they lost the series to the Nationals 3-1.
When it comes to betting the run line on the Marlins, it’s been a mixed bag. They are 70-80 on the run line this season, but just 32-43 at home. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 38-37 on the run line on the road. They have been an underdog in most games this season, and their run line record as an underdog is 68-64. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.8, while it’s -3.8 in losses.
The Miami Marlins are playing the Los Angeles Dodgers at home today, and the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs. The combined run average for Marlins games this season is 8.9 runs, and their over/under record is 79-66. The average over/under line for Marlins games is 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9.5 runs is 2-3. Only 2.7% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs, and their current under streak is at 3 games.
Miami is starting right-hander Darren McCaughan today vs. the Dodgers. He has made three starts and eight appearances this season and has a record of 0-0 with a 7.06 ERA. McCaughan’s WHIP for the season is 1.81. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going five innings and giving up three earned runs on six hits. One of the hits he allowed was a home run. McCaughan has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Per nine innings, he has 4.6 strikeouts and 3.68 walks.
Miami’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 3.8 runs per game. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.4 runs per contest. The Marlins are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and have the worst team on-base percentage in the league.
Jake Burger and Jesús Sánchez come into the game with identical batting averages of .244, with Burger leading the team with 25 homers and 62 RBIs. Sánchez is 2nd on the team with 17 homers and 59 RBIs. Over his last seven games, Connor Norby has gone just 4/27 with two homers.
Our predictions have the Marlins picking up a 6-5 win over the Dodgers, and with the Marlins sitting at +163 on the money line, that is the direction we would recommend going.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Darren McCaughan finishing with five strikeouts, which would have him as the fifth-lowest among starters. As for Bobby Miller, his projected strikeout total is five, which has him finishing 20th among starters.
Miami Marlins vs Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Tips
- We like the Marlins on the moneyline (+163)
- On the run line we like Marlins (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Miami Marlins Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Sandy Alcantara | Out | Elbow |
| Derek Hill | Out | Shoulder |
| Braxton Garrett | Out | Elbow |
| Jesús Luzardo | Out | Back |
| Sixto Sánchez | Out | Shoulder |
| Vidal Bruján | Out | Shoulder |
| José Devers | Questionable | Hand |
| Ryan Weathers | Out | Finger |
| Dane Myers | Out | Ankle |
| Max Meyer | Out | Shoulder |
| John McMillon | Out | Elbow |
| Eury Pérez | Out | Elbow |
| Calvin Faucher | Out | Shoulder |
| Andrew Nardi | Out | Elbow |
Los Angeles Dodgers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Kelly | Out | Shoulder |
| Clayton Kershaw | Out | Toe |
| Tyler Glasnow | Out | Elbow |
| Austin Barnes | Out | Toe |
| Anthony Banda | Out | Hand |
| Dustin May | Out | Elbow |
| Tony Gonsolin | Out | Arm |
| Connor Brogdon | Out | Foot |
| Gavin Stone | Out | Shoulder |
| River Ryan | Out | Elbow |
| Emmet Sheehan | Out | Elbow |
