Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction & Betting Tips 9/16/2024

Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Preview

At 8:40 PM ET, the Diamondbacks and Rockies face off in an NL West matchup. This one is taking place at Coors Field in Denver, and the Diamondbacks are the heavy favorites on the money line (-169). The Rockies are +143 on the money line, and the over/under line is at 11 runs.

Antonio Senzatela will be going for the Rockies, while the Diamondbacks are starting Merrill Kelly. Arizona is currently 3rd in the NL West, while the Rockies are 5th in the division.

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Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Trends and Key Stats

• Over the course of their previous five away games, the Diamondbacks have recorded a 2-3 record, with a 3-2 performance on the runline.
• On the other side, the Rockies have gone 2-3 (SU) and 2-3 in their previous five home contests.
• Looking back on their last ten games as the favorite, the Diamondbacks are 7-3 straight-up and 5-5 vs. the runline.
• Over their last ten games as the underdog, the Rockies have gone 2-8 vs. the runline and 2-8 straight-up.

Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

Heading into their last game vs. the Brewers, the Diamondbacks closed out the series with an 11-10 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -164. Things got tense at the end, as the Brewers pulled to within one run after scoring two in the top of the 10th, but the Diamondbacks were able to close things out and pick up the win.

Zac Gallen got the start for the Diamondbacks, going five innings and giving up three earned runs on six hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and took the no-dejson. The Diamondbacks’s offense was carried by Josh Bell, who went 2/3 with a double, two RBIs, and a run scored. Corbin Carroll also had a big game, going 2/5 with a run scored.

Arizona is on the road today to take on the Rockies, and they are five games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. Overall, the Diamondbacks are 83-66, and they are 25-18 in divisional games this year. The Diamondbacks are just above .500 on the road, coming in with a record of 41-33.

So far, the Diamondbacks have been the favorite in 76 of their games, and they have gone 48-28 in those games. As the underdog, they are 35-38 this year, and they are 13-9 as the road favorite. Arizona is coming off a series loss, dropping two of three games vs. the Brewers.

When the Diamondbacks win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.2 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 77-72, with a run line record of 43-31 on the road. They have a run line record of 45-28 as the underdog and 32-44 as the favorite.

The Diamondbacks are on the road today against the Rockies, with the over/under line set at 11 runs. Arizona’s games have averaged 10.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 86-56. Their games have typically had lower over/under lines, with an average of 9 runs per game, and they are 0-2 in games with an over/under line of 11 runs this season. Their games have gone over the line in two straight games.

Right-hander Merrill Kelly gets the start for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Rockies on the road. He has made 10 starts this year and has a record of 4-0 with an ERA of 4.26. Kelly’s WHIP for the season is 1.25, and he has turned in four quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Kelly finished with a no-decision against the Rangers, giving up three earned runs in four innings of work. He has not taken a loss since August 15th. Per nine innings, Kelly is averaging 6.95 strikeouts and 2.53 walks.

Arizona comes into today’s game as the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.8 runs per game. Not only do they lead the league in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS, but they also have the league’s best team batting average at .264.

Over the team’s last seven games, Eugenio Suarez has been on fire, going 14/27 with four homers and eight RBIs. For the season, Suarez is batting .256 with 28 homers and 95 RBIs. Ketel Marte is 2nd on the team with a .293 batting average and has gone deep 31 times this season, which is 9th in the league.

The Rockies will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Cubs with a 6-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Cubs scored three runs in the top of the 9th. Colorado was the +116 underdog at home going into the game.

Cal Quantrill had a rough outing, giving up two earned runs on four hits and issuing three walks. He also only lasted json>2 1/3 innings, taking the loss. The Rockies’s offense was carried by Jacob Stallings, who went 1/3 with a homer and two RBIs.

With an overall record of 57-93, the Rockies are 5th in the NL West and trail the Dodgers by 31.5 games. So far, they have gone just 15-28 in divisional matchups. Colorado will take on the Diamondbacks at home today, and they are 34-38 at home this season.

Colorado has really struggled on the road this year, going 23-55. The Rockies have had a tough time as the underdog this season, as their record is 55-91. When favored, the Rockies are 2-2 this year, and they are 12-31-4 in series this year.

Despite being a below .500 team on the run line overall, the Rockies have been a solid bet at home with a 38-34 mark. They have been a run line underdog in the vast majority of their games and have a 73-73 record in those contests. Their average run differential in losses is -4.1 runs, while it is +2.8 runs in wins.

Colorado’s games have averaged 9.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 73-74. The average over/under line in their games is 9 runs, and when the line is set at 11 runs, they have a 7-9-1 record. Only 11.3% of their games have had lines set at 11 runs or higher, and 77.3% have had lines set lower than 11 runs.

Antonio Senzatela is coming off a season in which he made two starts and finished with an ERA of 4.70. He finished with a record of 0-1 and gave up three home runs. His WHIP for the season was 1.17, and his FIP was 8.08. Senzatela’s batting average allowed was .241, and his on-base percentage allowed was .290. He finished the season with zero quality starts and averaged 4.7 strikeouts per nine innings.

Colorado’s offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game this season, which is 21st in the league. However, they have been much better at home, putting up 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .242, which is 14th in the league, and have the 2nd best BABIP in the league. The Rockies have been one of the league’s worst teams at avoiding strikeouts and walks.

Michael Toglia comes into the game as the Rockies’ leader in home runs, but he is batting just .219 for the season. Ezequiel Tovar and Brenton Doyle are both batting .264 for the season, with Tovar being 2nd on the team with 23 homers and Doyle being 3rd with 22.

Our predicted final score for this Diamondbacks and Rockies matchup is 6-4 in favor of the Diamondbacks. With the money line payout for the Diamondbacks at -169, we see this as a solid payout and would recommend locking in this bet.

Another option would be to take the under, as the line is currently sitting at 11 runs. We have this game going under, and with a payout of -107, this would be a good way to increase your payout.

Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Tips

• Take the Diamondbacks on the moneyline
• The Diamondbacks should also cover at -1.5
• Our MLB model projects 10 runs, and we suggest taking the under

Colorado Rockies Injury Report

Arizona Diamondbacks Injury Report