Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction & Betting Tips 9/16/2024

Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies Preview

At 7:40 PM ET, the Phillies and Brewers square off in an NL matchup. Monday’s matchup is being held at American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Phillies are currently on a two-game winning streak. The Brewers lead the NL Central with a record of 86-63, while the Phillies are 1st in the NL East at 90-59.

Philadelphia is the slight money line favorite for Monday’s game, with the odds sitting at -119 compared to the Brewers at +101. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs. Aaron Civale is starting for the Brewers, and he is facing off against Ranger Suarez for the Phillies. The game can be seen on BSWI.

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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Trends and Key Stats

• 3-2 is the record of Phillies in their last five road games. They have also gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
• Conversely, the Brewers have achieved a 3-2 (SU) record and 4-1 record in their last five home games.
• In their last ten games as the favorite, the Phillies have a straight-up record of 7-3 and a runline record of 4-6.
• Over their last ten games as the underdog, the Brewers have gone 4-6 vs. the runline and 6-4 straight-up.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

The Phillies’s offense was carried by Cristopher Sánchez in their most recent game vs. the Mets. He went seven innings, giving up just one run on six hits and striking out seven. However, the Phillies could only score two runs, and Sánchez’s performance didnjson’t pick up the win.

Philadelphia’s bullpen closed things out, and the Phillies picked up a 2-1 win. José Ruiz got the save, and the Phillies’s offense scored their only two runs in the 4th inning. Heading into this game, the Phillies were favored at -134 at home.

Philadelphia is on the road today, taking on the Brewers with an overall record of 90-59, which has them leading the NL East by nine games over the Mets. The Phillies have won two straight games, and they closed out their series vs. the Mets with a win. So far, they have gone 27-18 against other teams in the NL East.

At home, the Phillies have been strong this year, going 52-26, and they have gone 38-33 on the road. As the favorite, the Phillies are 77-44 this year and 13-15 as the underdog. Philadelphia’s overall series record is 27-16-7, and they have won two straight series.

When betting the run line on the Phillies, it’s important to note that they have a winning run line record overall at 72-77, but they are below .500 at home at 35-43. They have a positive run differential overall, but it’s slightly higher on the road at 0.5 compared to 1.1 at home. As the underdog, the Phillies have been profitable at 15-13, while as the favorite, they are just 57-64.

The Philadelphia Phillies are on the road against the Milwaukee Brewers today. The O/U line is set at 8 runs, which is right around their season average of 8.9 combined runs per game. The Phillies’ O/U record is 70-72 this season, and when the line is set at 8 runs, they are 17-18-1. Overall, 49.0% of their games have had O/U lines set higher than 8 runs.

Left-hander Ranger Suárez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Brewers on the road. He has made 24 starts this season and has a record of 12-6 with a 3.05 ERA. Suárez most recent outing came on September 10th, where he finished with a no-decision. In that start, he went 5 1/3 innings, giving up four earned runs, 12 hits, and two homers. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts. Suárez has one complete game shutout this season and 11 quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.7 strikeouts and just 2.14 walks.

Heading into today’s game, the Phillies are 5th in the MLB in runs scored, averaging 4.9 runs per game. At home, they have been even better, putting up 5 runs per contest, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. As a team, they are batting .258, which is the 4th best in the league, and they have the 6th fewest strikeouts in the league.

Bryce Harper has been hot of late, going 8/22 in his last six games, with two homers and four runs scored. For the season, he is batting .289 with 28 homers and 82 RBIs. Kyle Schwarber has a team-high 35 homers but has just three hits in his last five games.

Milwaukee is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 11-10 loss to the Diamondbacks, Jackson Chourio went 3/6 with a homer and five RBIs. The Brewers also scored three runs in the 5th inning. However, it was all for nothing, as they still lost the game.

DL Hall got the start for the Brewers and took the loss. He only lasted three innings, giving up five earned runs. Offensively, the Brewers had 13 hits but only scored 10 runs. Eric Haase was hot at the plate, going 3/5 with a homer and two RBIs.

Milwaukee is 86-63 overall this season, good for 1st place in the NL Central. They hold a 10-game lead over the Cubs for the division lead. The Brewers will be hosting the Phillies today, and they are 2-1 so far on their current homestand.

The Brewers have been good in the NL Central this year, putting up a record of 30-19 against the division. At home, they are 42-29 this season and 44-34 on the road. Milwaukee has been really good as the favorite this year, going 50-36, and they are 36-27 as the underdog.

When the Brewers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.6 runs per game. They’ve also been a good bet to cover the run line, with a record of 77-72 on the season. They’ve been especially good against the run line as the underdog, going 43-20. They’ve also been a good bet on the run line on the road, going 43-35.

The Brewers are at home against the Phillies today, with the over/under line set at 8 runs. Their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 77-63. When the line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 11-11-4. Overall, 55% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs, and their current over streak is at 2 games.

Milwaukee is starting right-hander Aaron Civale today vs. the Phillies, and he comes into the game with a record of 6-8 and an ERA of 4.57. This year, he has made 28 starts and seven of them have been quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Civale picked up the win vs. the Giants. In that start, he went 5 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, and he allowed one homer in the outing. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts. Civale’s ERA on the road is 6.61 compared to 3.56 at home.

So far this season, the Brewers are 4th in the league in runs per game, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per game. As a team, the Brewers are batting .250, which is 8th in the league, and they are also 8th in team OPS. Milwaukee’s offense has been very good at avoiding strikeouts this season, as they are 20th in the league in strikeouts.

Willy Adames has been a key power bat for the Brewers this season, as his 32 homers are 8th in the league, and he is also 2nd in the league in RBIs (109). Adames is also on a four-game hitting streak. William Contreras comes into the game with a batting average of .280 and has 22 homers. Rhys Hoskins has 24 homers but has struggled with a batting average of just .207.

Our pick for this Phillies vs. Brewers matchup is to take the Brewers on the money line, with the payout sitting at +101. We actually have the Brewers coming out on top by a score of 6-5, meaning you could also look to take the over, as the line is set at 8 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Aaron Civale actually has a better chance of picking up a win than Ranger Suarez. However, we have Civale finishing with six strikeouts compared to Suarez with five.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Tips

• We like the Brewers on the moneyline (+101)
• On the run line we like Brewers (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report

Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report