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Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction 9/15/24

Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction & Betting Tips 9/15/2024

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Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers 9/15/24
  • We like the Braves on the moneyline (-110)
  • On the run line we like Braves (+1.5)
  • Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview

Walker Buehler will start for the Dodgers on Sunday, as they are on the road to face the Braves at Truist Park in Atlanta. The Braves are slight money line favorites, with their odds sitting at -110 compared to the Dodgers at -108. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs.

First pitch for this one is set for 7:10 PM ET, and ESPN will be carrying the TV rights for the NL matchup. The Dodgers are 1st in the NL West with an overall record of 87-61, while the Braves are 3rd in the NL East at 81-67.

Check out BetCoco for Atlanta Braves – Los Angeles Dodgers odds

Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Trends and Key Stats

  • 2-3 is the record of Dodgers in their last five road games. They have also gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
  • Conversely, the Braves have achieved a 2-3 (SU) record and 3-2 record in their last five home games.
  • In their previous ten games, Dodgers have won 4-6 as favorites and 5-5 as underdogs.
  • In their last ten games, the Braves have a record of 6-4 as the favorite and 6-4 as the underdog.

Atlanta cruised to an easy 10-1 win over the Dodgers in the most recent game of this series. The Braves had a huge 6th inning, scoring six of their ten runs. As for the Dodgers, they scored their only run in the 3rd. Heading into the game, the Braves were favored at -120.

Chris Sale got the win for the Braves, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued two walks. Jack Flaherty had a rough outing for the Dodgers, taking the loss after going just three innings and giving up four earned runs.

Whit Merrifield was the catalyst for the Braves’ offense, going 3/4 with an RBI and two runs scored. Both Matt Olson and Jorge Soler each drove in four for Atlanta’s lineup.

Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction

Los Angeles will be on the road for today’s game vs. the Braves, and they are 87-61 overall this season. The Dodgers lead the NL West by 3.5 games over the Padres and have gone 24-19 in divisional matchups. The Dodgers have lost two straight games overall and are 4-6 across their last 10 games.

This season, the Dodgers have been really good as the favorite, going 82-49, but they are just 5-12 as the underdog. Los Angeles has been strong at home, going 48-27, and they are 39-34 on the road, where they have dropped three straight games.

The Dodgers have a run line record of 73-75 this season, including a 35-38 mark on the road. Their average run margin for the year is +0.7 runs per game, but they have been outscored by an average of 3.5 runs in their losses. They have been favored in 131 games and have a run line record of 66-65 in those contests.

The Dodgers are on the road today against the Braves, with the over/under line set at 9 runs. The combined run average in their games this season is 9.2 runs per game, and their over/under record is 80-65. The average over/under line in their games is 9 runs, and when the line is set at 9 runs, their record is 12-9-3. So far this season, 22 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 9 runs, accounting for 14.9% of their games.

Walker Buehler will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Cubs, where he took the loss. In that start, he gave up five earned runs in five innings of work. Looking at his overall numbers, Buehler has a record of 1-5 and an ERA of 5.95. Out of his 13 starts, he has turned in just two quality starts and is averaging 7.47 strikeouts per nine innings. Buehler’s ERA on the road is 8.22 compared to 4.92 at home. Per nine innings, he is averaging 3.2 walks compared to 1.8 home runs.

Shohei Ohtani has been a force at the plate for the Dodgers this season, as he is batting .289 with a team-high 47 home runs and 104 RBIs. Teoscar Hernández is also having a strong season, hitting .268 with 28 homers, which is 13th best in the league. Hernández is also 2nd on the team with 87 RBIs. Tommy Edman has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/36 with four homers in his last 10 games.

As a team, the Dodgers are 3rd in scoring at 5 runs per game and are also near the top of the league in both on-base percentage and slugging. Overall, they are 2nd in OPS and 3rd in isolated power. Not only are the Dodgers one of the best home run hitting teams in the league, but they also have the 5th best team batting average in the league.

With an overall record of 81-67, the Braves are eight games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. Currently, they are 3rd in the division but are tied with the Mets for 2nd place. The Braves have won two straight games, and these two wins have come in their series vs. the Dodgers.

At home, the Braves are 42-31 this season and have gone 39-36 on the road. As the favorite, the Braves are 68-51 and 13-16 as the underdog. Atlanta’s overall series record is 26-17-6 this season, and they are 6-4 over their last 10 games.

When the Braves are at home, they have a run line record of 31-42, which is slightly below .500. However, they have covered the run line in two straight home games and are 18-11 against the run line as the underdog. Their average run margin in all games is +0.6 runs per game.

At 8.1 combined runs per game, the Braves and their opponents have averaged fewer runs than the 9-run over/under line for their games this season. Atlanta’s games have gone over the total just 54 times in 143 games (37.8%), and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 9 runs, the over has gone 10-14-3 in those games, and just 11.5% of their games have had a higher line than 9 runs.

Charlie Morton will be looking to bounce back from his last start, where he took the loss vs. the Reds. In that outing, he gave up one earned run in 6 2/3 innings of work. Looking back further, Morton has made 27 starts and has a record of 8-8 this season. His ERA is 4.11, along with a WHIP of 1.31. Opponents have a batting average of .243 vs. Morton this season. Out of his 27 starts, he has 11 quality starts and is averaging 9.36 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, Morton has allowed 21 home runs and is averaging 3.44 walks per nine innings.

Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ top hitter this season, batting .305 with 37 home runs and 98 RBIs. Matt Olson is also a power threat in the lineup, as he has 25 homers this season but is batting just .238. However, Olson has been hot of late, going 11/35 in his last nine games.

As a team, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game and are one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams. Overall, they are 13th in batting average and have the league’s 5th ranked offense. Currently, they have several players on a hitting streak, including Olson and Michael Harris II, who have both gone deep twice in their last nine games.

Our predicted final score for this Braves vs. Dodgers matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Braves. We are recommending taking the Braves on the money line, with the payout currently sitting at -110.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Walker Buehler finishing with around six strikeouts compared to Charlie Morton, who we have with seven. However, Buehler is predicted to finish with more strikeouts than Morton.

Offensively, our projections have the Dodgers finishing with nine hits compared to the Braves, who we have with eight. However, the Dodgers are predicted to finish with more home runs, with the Braves finishing with eight.

Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Tips

  • We like the Braves on the moneyline (-110)
  • The Braves are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
  • Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Atlanta Braves Injury Report

Player Status Injury
Ozzie Albies Out Wrist
Reynaldo López Out Shoulder
A.J. Minter Out Hip
Austin Riley Out Hand
Huascar Ynoa Out Elbow
Ronald Acuña Jr. Out Knee
Angel Perdomo Out Elbow
Ray Kerr Out Elbow
Spencer Strider Out Elbow

Los Angeles Dodgers Injury Report

Player Status Injury
Joe Kelly Out Shoulder
Clayton Kershaw Out Toe
Tyler Glasnow Out Elbow
Anthony Banda Out Hand
Dustin May Out Elbow
Tony Gonsolin Out Arm
Connor Brogdon Out Foot
Gavin Stone Out Shoulder
River Ryan Out Elbow
Emmet Sheehan Out Elbow

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