Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction & Betting Tips 9/15/2024

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers Preview

From Chase Field in Phoenix, we have the Brewers and Diamondbacks facing off in an NL matchup. This one gets started at 4:10 PM ET, and the Brewers are on a three-game winning streak, which has them 1st in the NL Central. The Diamondbacks are favored on the money line (-156) and have an overall record of 82-66, putting them 3rd in the NL West.

DL Hall is slated to start for the Brewers, while Zac Gallen will go for the Diamondbacks. The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and this game can be seen on ESPN+.

Check out BetCoco for Arizona Diamondbacks – Milwaukee Brewers odds

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers Trends and Key Stats

• 4-1 is the record of Brewers in their last five road games. They have also gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
• On the opposing side, the Diamondbacks have a 2-3 (SU) record, along with a 3-2 record in their last five home contests.
• Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Diamondbacks have won 7-3 straight-up, and have a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
• The Brewers have a 6-4 straight-up record and a 8-2 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.

It was all Milwaukee in the last game of this series, as the Brewers took down the Diamondbacks by a score of 15-8. The Brewers offense only had two more hits than the Diamondbacks and struck out four more times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +131 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Tobias Myers for the Brewers and Brandon Pfaadt for the Diamondbacks. Myers only went six innings but gave up just one hit and three earned runs. On the other side, Pfaadt was tagged for eight runs in just 1 2/3 innings of work.

Milwaukee’s two-through-six hitters all had big games. Willy Adames, William Contreras, Garrett Mitchell, and Brice Turang each had two hits and combined for nine RBIs. Jackson Chourio also had a two-hit game and drove in two runs.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

Milwaukee is on a three-game winning streak, and they lead the NL Central with an overall record of 86-62. Currently, they hold an 11-game lead over the Cubs for the division lead. The Brewers have gone 30-19 against other teams in the NL Central this year.

The Brewers have taken the first two games of this series vs. the Diamondbacks, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games. At home, the Brewers are 42-29 this year, and they have gone 44-33 on the road. As the road underdog, the Brewers have put together a record of 27-17 this year, and their overall record as the underdog is 36-26.

The Brewers have been a good bet against the run line this season, going 76-72 overall. They are 42-35 vs. the run line on the road, where they have a run differential of +1.1 runs per game. They have covered the run line in three straight road games and are 42-20 as underdogs.

When the Milwaukee Brewers are on the road, the over/under line is typically set at 8 runs. However, in their 30 games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, the over has hit 28 times. Overall, the Brewers’ games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 76-63.

Left-hander DL Hall is starting for the Brewers today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. Hall has made six starts and one of them was a quality start. His ERA for the season is 4.01, and opponents are batting .263 off him this year. Hall’s record for the season is 1-1, and he most recently pitched on September 10th out of the bullpen. In that outing, he went 1 2/3 innings, giving up one hit, one walk, and no runs. Hall finished with a no decision in that appearance. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight outings.

William Contreras has been swinging a hot bat for the Brewers of late, going 9/27 in his last eight games, including two homers and eight RBIs. For the season, he is batting .280 with 22 homers, which is 3rd on the team. Willy Adames has been a strong run producer for the Brewers, as his 107 RBIs is 2nd in the league, and he also leads the team with 32 homers.

As a team, the Brewers are 6th in the league in runs per game at 4.8, and they have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .250 as a team, which is 7th in the league.

With an overall record of 82-66, the Diamondbacks are 3rd in the NL West, five games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. The Diamondbacks have dropped two straight games, and they are looking to avoid losing three straight for the first time since mid-August. So far, they have gone 25-18 against other teams in the NL West.

At home, the Diamondbacks are 41-33 this season, and they are also 41-33 on the road. As the favorite, Arizona is 47-28 this year, and they are 35-38 as the underdog. Arizona has an overall series record of 26-17-4 this year.

Arizona has a run line record of 77-71 this season, and they have a run line record of 34-40 at home. The Diamondbacks have a run line record of 43-31 on the road, with an average run margin of 0.6 runs per game. Their average run margin in winning games is 4.2 runs per game, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.8 runs per game. Arizona has failed to cover the run line in their last two home games, and they have a run line record of 32-43 as the favorite and 45-28 as the underdog.

Arizona is 32-18 in games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs this season. The Diamondbacks have played 54 games with an over/under line higher than 8.5 runs, which accounts for 36.5% of their games. Their games have averaged 10.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 85-56 overall.

Through 25 starts, Zac Gallen has a record of 12-6 and an ERA of 3.54. This season, he has turned in 11 quality starts and is averaging 9.07 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Gallen pitched well, going five innings and picking up the win. He didn’t allow a run in the outing and gave up just two hits. Looking back further, he has won three straight starts and hasn’t taken a loss since August 15th. Gallen has been much better at home this season, coming in with a record of 7-3 and an ERA of 3.71.

Arizona’s offense has been the best in the league this season, averaging 5.5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.7 runs per game. The Diamondbacks are also the league’s top home run hitting team, and their team batting average of .263 is the 2nd best mark in the league.

Ketel Marte and Eugenio Suarez have been the team’s top power threats this season, with Marte leading the team with 31 homers and Suarez right behind him at 28. Suarez has been especially hot of late, going 12/22 in his last six games with four homers. Geraldo Perdomo is currently on a five-game hitting streak for the Diamondbacks.

Our prediction for today’s Brewers vs. Diamondbacks matchup is that the Diamondbacks will pick up the win at home by a score of 6-5. Given that they are at -156 on the money line, this is the route we recommend going, as there is a lot of value in this payout.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Zac Gallen finishing with seven strikeouts, which is good for fourth among all starters today. As for the Brewers starter, DL Hall, he is projected to finish with seven K’s as well, which is second best. However, we have Hall going five innings, while Gallen is projected to go the longest of all starters.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Tips

• Take the Diamondbacks on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Brewers (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Arizona Diamondbacks Injury Report

Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report