Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction & Betting Tips 9/14/2024

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers Preview

Both the Brewers and Diamondbacks are sending a pitcher to the mound on Saturday that is making their MLB debut. Milwaukee will be starting Tobias Myers, while the Diamondbacks have Brandon Pfaadt on the mound. Arizona is currently favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -137 compared to the Brewers at +117. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.

First pitch from Chase Field is set for 8:10 PM ET, and the game will be televised on BSWI. The Brewers are currently on a two-game winning streak, and their record of 85-62 has them in 1st place in the NL Central. The Diamondbacks are 3rd in the NL West with a record of 82-65.

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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers Trends and Key Stats

• The Brewers are 3-2 in their five most recent road games, including a 2-3 runline record.
• On the opposing side, the Diamondbacks have a 2-3 (SU) record, along with a 3-2 record in their last five home contests.
• Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Diamondbacks have won 8-2 straight-up, and have a 7-3 record vs. the runline.
• When playing as the underdog, the Brewers have won 5-5 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 7-3 against the runline.

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Brewers vs Diamondbacks series. Milwaukee went into the matchup as +108 underdogs and squeaked out a 2-1 win. Both teams scored one run in the first inning, and the Diamondbacks could only muster one more run in the 5th inning. As for the Brewers, they scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 4th, and both offenses went silent after that.

Joey Ortiz was the only Brewers hitter to have more than one hit, as he went 2/4 with an RBI. Rhys Hoskins provided the game’s biggest hit, as he homered in the 1st inning. As for the Diamondbacks, Eduardo Rodriguez gave up just two earned runs in five innings of work but took the loss.

Freddy Peralta pitched well for the Brewers in this one, going five innings and striking out five without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Devin Williams closed things out.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

Milwaukee is 85-62 overall this season, putting them 1st in the NL Central. They currently lead the Cubs by 10 games. The Brewers have won two straight games, and they are 5-5 across their last 10.

At home, the Brewers are 42-29 this season, and they have gone 43-33 on the road. As the favorite, Milwaukee is 50-36, and they are 35-26 as the underdog this year. The Brewers are also 26-17 as the road underdog this season.

When the Brewers are on the road, they have been a good bet on the run line, going 41-35. They have covered the run line in two straight road games and have an average run margin of +1.0 runs per game. As an underdog, they are 41-20 against the run line, but as a favorite, they are just 34-52.

When the Milwaukee Brewers are on the road this season, the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, which is higher than their season average of 8.0 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 75-63, and their combined run average is 8.7 runs per game. The under has hit in two straight games for the Brewers.

Milwaukee is sending right-hander Tobias Myers to the mound today vs. the Diamondbacks. Myers has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 7-5 with a 2.92 ERA. So far, he has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Myers picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run on 11 hits. Before that, he had three straight outings in which he finished with a no-decision. Myers has been especially tough at home, coming in with a record of 3-0 and 3.47 ERA compared to 4-5 with a 3.04 ERA on the road.

William Contreras has been a big surprise for the Brewers this season, as he is batting .279 with 21 homers and 84 RBIs. Willy Adames is also having a strong season, as he is 5th in the league with 102 RBIs and has a team-high 30 homers. However, Adames is batting just .249 this season. Rhys Hoskins is 2nd on the team with 24 homers but has struggled with a batting average of just .207.

Over the team’s last 10 games, Jackson Chourio has gone 8/33 with three homers. Currently, Gary Sanchez is on a three-game hitting streak.

Arizona is 3rd in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by five games. Overall, they are 82-65, and they are 25-18 against other teams in the NL West. The Diamondbacks are looking to bounce back after dropping the first game of their series vs. the Brewers.

So far, the Diamondbacks have been good both at home and on the road, as they are 41-32 at home and 41-33 on the road. As the favorite, the Diamondbacks are 47-27 this year and 34-18 as the favorite at home. Their overall series record is 26-17-4, and they have gone 5-5 over their last ten games.

When the Diamondbacks win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.2 runs per game. That’s helped them to a run line record of 77-70 on the season. They’ve been particularly good against the run line on the road, going 43-31. Their overall run line record is just 34-39 at home, where they have a scoring margin of 0.8 runs per game.

The Diamondbacks are playing at home today against the Brewers, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Arizona’s games this season is 10.2 runs, and their over/under record is 84-56. The average over/under line for their games is 9 runs, and their record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 31-18. So far this season, 54 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, accounting for 36.7% of their games, while 44 games have had lines set lower than 8.5 runs, making up 29.9% of their games.

Brandon Pfaadt gets the start for the Diamondbacks today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Astros. In that start, he went 4 2/3 innings, giving up four earned runs, and taking the loss. Looking back further, he has given up at least four earned runs in three of his last four outings. Pfaadt’s ERA for the season is 4.42, along with a record of 9-8. Opposing batters are hitting .257 off the right-hander this season. Pfaadt has made 28 starts, and his WHIP for the season is 1.22.

Arizona comes into the game as the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.7 runs per game. The Diamondbacks also lead the league in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS. As a team, they are batting .263, which is the 2nd best mark in the league.

Ketel Marte is leading the Diamondbacks in batting average this season at .295, and Eugenio Suarez has gone 12/24 in his last six games, including four home runs. Suarez is batting just .254 for the season, but his 28 homers are the 2nd most on the team.

Our prediction for today’s Brewers vs. Diamondbacks matchup is to take the Diamondbacks on the money line at -137. We have the Diamondbacks winning this one by a score of 6-5. If you’re looking for a parlay, we also like the over, as the line is sitting at 8.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Brandon Pfaadt finishing with seven strikeouts compared to Tobias Myers with five. Pfaadt is also projected to give up fewer earned runs than Myers.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Tips

• Take the Diamondbacks on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Brewers (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Arizona Diamondbacks Injury Report

Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report