New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Preview
At 1:05 PM ET, the Red Sox and Yankees face off in an AL East matchup. This one is being played at Yankee Stadium in New York, and the Yankees are the heavy favorite on the money line at -188. The Red Sox have a money line payout of +158, and they will be looking to end a two-game losing streak.
MLBN will be televising Saturday’s Red Sox vs. Yankees game, and Gerrit Cole will be on the mound for the Yankees, as they are 86-62 overall. The Red Sox are 74-74 and will start Brayan Bello.
Check out BetCoco for New York Yankees – Boston Red Sox odds
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Trends and Key Stats
- The Red Sox are 0-5 in their five most recent road games, including a 2-3 runline record.
- The Yankees, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 2-3 (SU) and 2-3 record.
- Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Yankees have won 6-4 straight-up, and have a 3-7 record vs. the runline.
- Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Red Sox have a 2-8 straight-up record and a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
New York picked up a 5-4 win over the Red Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a huge 7th inning, scoring five of their five runs. As for the Red Sox, they scored two runs in the 6th and added two more in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Yankees were favored at -175 on the money line.
Clarke Schmidt got the start for the Yankees, going just 5 2/3 innings while giving up two runs and striking out five. Mark Leiter Jr. got the win out of the bullpen, and Luke Weaver got the save. Richard Fitts only went five innings for the Red Sox but didn’t give up a run.
Aaron Judge and Anthony Rizzo each had two hits and drove in two runs for the Yankees’ offense. Trevor Story and Masataka Yoshida each had two hits and two RBIs for the Red Sox.
New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
Boston is at an even 74-74 this season, and they trail the Yankees by 12 games in the AL East. Currently, they are 3rd in the division and have gone 20-21 in AL East games. The Red Sox have dropped two straight games, and this came after taking two in a row.
At home, the Red Sox are 35-40 this season compared to 39-34 on the road. As the underdog, Boston has dropped seven straight games, and they are 24-29 as the road underdog this season. So far, they have been the favorite, Boston has gone 41-33. The Red Sox’ overall series record is 22-18-6, and they have won two straight series.
When it comes to run line betting, the Boston Red Sox have been a solid choice on the road this season, going 42-31 against the run line. They are currently on a two-game run line win streak on the road and have a run line record of 70-78 overall. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.9, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.9.
The Boston Red Sox are on the road against the New York Yankees today, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for their games this season is 9.5 runs, and their over/under record is 74-66. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 25-15. Overall, 63 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, accounting for 42.6% of their contests.
Brayan Bello gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Yankees on the road. He has made 27 starts this season and has a record of 13-7 with a 4.70 ERA. Bello’s WHIP for the season is 1.39, and he has turned in 10 quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Bello picked up the win vs. the Orioles, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. Before that, he had allowed at least four earned runs in three straight starts. Bello’s ERA at home is 5.95, compared to 4.87 on the road.
Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are 7th in the league in home runs and have the league’s top batting average on balls in play, at .32. Overall, they are 5th in team batting average at .255. Boston’s offense is averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. The Red Sox have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest.
Rafael Devers and Tyler O’Neill have been the Red Sox’s top power hitters this season, with Devers leading the team with 81 RBIs and O’Neill’s 30 homers pacing the club. Devers is also 2nd on the team with 28 homers and is batting .277. O’Neill has been hot of late, going 10/36 with five homers in his last 10 games. Jarren Duran has also been a key piece for the Red Sox, hitting .288 with 21 homers.
The Yankees have taken the first two games of their series vs. the Red Sox and lead the AL East by three games over the Orioles. Currently, the Yankees overall record is 86-62, and they have gone 24-23 in divisional games this year. New York has won three straight games, and they are 6-4 over their last 10 contests.
At home, the Yankees are 41-32 this season and have been really good on the road at 45-30. As the favorite, the Yankees are 68-55 this year and 18-7 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 27-15-4, and they have won two straight series.
When the Yankees are favored, they have a losing run line record, but when they are underdogs, they have been a great bet. They are 21-4 on the run line when getting points. Their overall run line record is 76-72, and their average run margin is +0.9 runs per game.
The New York Yankees are at home today against the Boston Red Sox, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Yankees games this season is 9.2 runs, and their over/under record is 79-64. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 32-20, and 34.5% of their games have had higher lines than 8.5 runs.
Gerrit Cole will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Cubs, as he gets the start for the Yankees vs. the Red Sox today. Against the Cubs, he took the loss, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts. Cole has made 14 starts this year and has a record of 6-4 with a 3.36 ERA. Opponents are batting .229 vs. Cole this year, and his WHIP for the season is 1.24. The right-hander has a BB/9 figure of 2.88 compared to 10.2 strikeouts per nine innings.
Heading into today’s game, the Yankees have the league’s best home run total and are 2nd in the league in runs per game at 5. This is being driven by their 5.2 runs per game on the road, which is also 2nd in the league. As a team, they are batting .250 (8th) and have the league’s top offense in terms of RBIs.
Aaron Judge has been on a tear for the Yankees, as he leads the league with 130 RBIs and is also 1st in the league with 52 home runs. He is batting .321 for the season and has gone 7/24 with a homer over his last seven games. Juan Soto is also having a strong season for the Yankees, as he is 2nd on the team with 39 homers and is batting .287.
With the Red Sox being our predicted winner, we really like the value you can get by taking them on the money line at +158. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Red Sox, giving you a few different ways you could look to bet this one.
If you’re looking for a player prop, Gerrit Cole is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the fourth-best among today’s starters. As for Brayan Bello, he is projected to finish with five K’s, and the Red Sox are projected to finish with 10 as a team.
New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Betting Tips
- We like the Red Sox on the moneyline (+158)
- The Red Sox are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
New York Yankees Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| DJ LeMahieu | Out | Hip |
| Tyler Lyons | Out | Personal |
| Cody Poteet | Out | Tricep |
| Lou Trivino | Out | Elbow |
| Jonathan Loáisiga | Out | Elbow |
| JT Brubaker | Out | Elbow |
| Kenlly Montas | Out | Personal |
Boston Red Sox Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Luis García | Out | Elbow |
| James Paxton | Out | Calf |
| Liam Hendriks | Out | Elbow |
| Rob Refsnyder | Questionable | Wrist |
| Lucas Giolito | Out | Elbow |
| Lucas Sims | Out | Lat |
| Brennan Bernardino | Out | Forearm |
| Bryan Mata | Out | Lat |
| Tanner Houck | Questionable | Arm |
| Garrett Whitlock | Out | Elbow |
| Isaiah Campbell | Out | Elbow |
| Chris Murphy | Out | Elbow |
| David Hamilton | Out | Finger |
