San Francisco Giants vs San Diego Padres Preview
First pitch for Friday’s matchup between the Padres and Giants is set for 10:15 PM ET. This one is being played at Oracle Park in San Francisco, and the Padres are favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -112 compared to the Giants at -108. The over/under line is currently at 6.5 runs.
San Diego will be starting Dylan Cease, while the Giants are set to go with Logan Webb. Heading into the game, the Padres are 82-65, while the Giants are 72-75. This puts the Padres 3rd in the NL West, while the Giants are 4th.
Check out BetCoco for San Francisco Giants – San Diego Padres odds
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Padres are 3-2. This includes going 2-3 vs. the runline.
- In the Giants’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 2-3 (SU) with 2-3 against the spread.
- The Padres are 4-6 in their last ten games as the favorite and 6-4 as the underdog.
- 7-3 is the record of the Giants as the favorite, while their record as the underdog stands at 2-8.
San Francisco Giants vs San Diego Padres Prediction
The Padres will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Mariners with a 5-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 3rd inning before the Mariners scored three runs in the inning. San Diego was the -111 favorite on the money line going into the game.
Michael King had a rough outing, giving up four earned runs on four hits and issuing two walks. The Padres also wasted a big game from Fernando Tatis Jr., who homered in the 1st inning but went just 1/4.
San Diego will be on the road today vs. the Giants, and they are 82-65 overall, putting them 3rd in the NL West. Currently, they trail the Dodgers by 5.5 games for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 21-22 in divisional games.
The Padres have been good on the road this year, coming in with a mark of 42-30 compared to 40-35 at home. As the favorite, the Padres have gone 52-41 and 30-24 as the underdog. San Diego’s overall series record is 28-14-6, and they split their most recent series vs. the Mariners.
The Padres have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 74-73 overall. They have been especially profitable on the road, where they are 45-27 ATS. San Diego’s average run differential on the season is +0.5, but they have been even better on the road, outscoring opponents by 1.1 runs per game.
The San Diego Padres are on the road today to face the San Francisco Giants. The over/under line for the game is set at 6.5 runs, which is significantly lower than their combined run average of 9.0 runs per game this season. The Padres have a strong over/under record of 79-65 on the year, with the average over/under line for their games set at 8 runs. Interestingly, this is the first time this season that the over/under line for a Padres game has been set at 6.5 runs, as all 147 of their previous games have had higher lines.
Dylan Cease will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Giants as he gets the start for the Padres today. In that September 7th start, Cease took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Looking at his overall numbers, Cease has made 30 starts, and his record for the season is 12-11. Cease’s ERA is 3.71, along with a WHIP of 1.09. This year, Cease has one complete game shutout and 14 quality starts. Per nine innings, Cease is averaging 10.85 strikeouts. For the year, Cease has allowed 18 homers and is averaging 3.18 walks per nine innings.
San Diego comes into today’s game as the top hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .264. They also have the fewest strikeouts in the league and are near the top of the league in both on-base percentage and slugging. Overall, they are 7th in the league in runs per game at 4.8 runs per contest.
Over his last nine games, Luis Arraez has gone 17/40, and he is currently on a 10-game hitting streak. For the season, he is batting .317 and is 2nd on the team in on-base percentage. Manny Machado is also swinging a hot bat right now, as he has three homers in his last nine games and has driven in 11 runs during that stretch.
The Giants will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Brewers with a 3-0 loss. San Francisco was the +114 underdog at home going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Giants, as they got a couple of hits in the 1st inning but didn’t score. The Brewers’s offense was quiet until the 7th, when they scored two runs, and added another two in the 8th to close things out.
Hayden Birdsong got the start for the Giants and took the loss. He only lasted five innings, giving up no runs, but the Giants offense scored just three runs. Jerar Encarnacion was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with a double.
San Francisco is 72-75 overall and 15.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. So far, they have gone 24-22 in divisional games. The Giants are coming into today’s game with the Padres having lost two straight games as the underdog. Their overall series record is 21-21-4 and have dropped three straight series at home.
At home, the Giants are 41-34 compared to 31-41 on the road. San Francisco has been the favorite in 77 games, going 45-32 in those games. As for playing as the underdog, they are 27-43 this season. Their most recent series came vs. the Brewers, and they lost the series 2-1. Currently, they are 4-6 over their last 10 games.
San Francisco is 73-74 against the run line this season, with a -0.1 run differential per game. They have been a better bet on the road, going 40-32 against the run line, compared to 33-42 at home. The Giants have been a better bet as an underdog, going 41-29 against the run line in those games. In games they have won, they have outscored their opponents by an average of 3.2 runs per game, while in losses, they have been outscored by an average of 3.2 runs per game.
San Francisco Giants games have gone over the total 74 times this season, compared to 67 unders. The Giants have played 144 games with over/under lines set higher than 6.5 runs, but only two games with lines set lower than 6.5 runs. The average over/under line for a Giants game this season has been 8 runs, and the combined run average in their games is 8.7 runs per game.
Giants starter Logan Webb finished with a no-decision in his most recent outing, going six innings vs. the Padres and giving up three earned runs. He did pitch well in that outing, giving up just two homers. Webb’s record for the season is 12-9, and his ERA is 3.46. So far, he has made 30 starts, one of which was a complete game shutout. Webb has turned in 19 quality starts this year and is averaging 7.45 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking at his home/road split, Webb is 7-4 at home with a 3.04 ERA compared to 5-5 with a 4.91 ERA on the road.
For the season, the Giants are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They have been an average offensive team in terms of home runs, batting average, and on-base percentage. San Francisco’s lineup is led by Matt Chapman and Heliot Ramos in terms of home runs, and they are also the team’s top two run producers.
Matt Chapman has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/26 in his last eight games, including two home runs. Jerar Encarnacion is also swinging a hot bat, going 5/13 in his last three games, with two homers. LaMonte Wade Jr. has a three-game hitting streak for the Giants, and Encarnacion has a seven-game streak.
Our predicted final score for this Giants and Padres matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Giants. Given that you can get the Giants at -108 on the money line, this is the bet we recommend making.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we do like Dylan Cease’s strikeout potential, as he is projected to finish with seven K’s. As for Logan Webb, he is projected to finish with four strikeouts, which is the second lowest among today’s starters.
San Francisco Giants vs San Diego Padres Betting Tips
- We like the Giants on the moneyline (-108)
- The Giants should also cover at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
San Francisco Giants Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Ray | Out | Hamstring |
| Wilmer Flores | Out | Knee |
| Tom Murphy | Out | Knee |
| Jordan Hicks | Out | Shoulder |
| Tyler Fitzgerald | Questionable | Back |
| Kyle Harrison | Out | Shoulder |
| Randy Rodríguez | Out | Elbow |
| Keaton Winn | Out | Elbow |
| Jung Hoo Lee | Out | Shoulder |
San Diego Padres Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Martín Pérez | Out | Personal |
| Jay Groome | Out | Suspension |
| Ha-Seong Kim | Out | Shoulder |
| Luis Patiño | Out | Elbow |
| Stephen Kolek | Out | Forearm |
