Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction & Betting Tips 9/13/2024

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers Preview

At 9:40 PM from Chase Field in Phoenix, we have an NL matchup between the Brewers and Diamondbacks. Milwaukee is currently 84-62 and they are 1st in the NL Central, while the Diamondbacks are 82-64 and have won three straight. Arizona is 2nd in the NL West.

The money line odds have the Brewers at -105 compared to the Diamondbacks at -114, and the over/under line is currently 8.5 runs. BSWI will be televising Friday’s game.

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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers Trends and Key Stats

• Across their last five road games, the Brewers are 3-2. This includes going 1-4 vs. the runline.
• Conversely, the Diamondbacks have achieved a 2-3 (SU) record and 3-2 record in their last five home games.
• In their previous ten games, Brewers have won 6-4 as favorites and 5-5 as underdogs.
• 8-2 is the record of the Diamondbacks as the favorite, while their record as the underdog stands at 3-7.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

The Brewers’s offense was carried by Jackson Chourio in their most recent game vs. the Giants. Chourio went only 1/4, but his one hit was a home run, and he drove in two of the Brewers’s three runs. Milwaukee also got a good start from Frankie Montas, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued only two walks and struck out eight Giants batters.

Devin Williams closed things out in the 8th inning, and the Brewers picked up the 3-0 win. Williams didn’t give up a run, but he did issue two walks. Milwaukee’s other run came in the 7th, as the Brewers were able to add some insurance runs. Going into the game, the Brewers were the slight favorite at -133 on the money line.

Milwaukee is leading the NL Central by nine games over the Cubs as they are 84-62 heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Diamondbacks. The Brewers are 30-19 against other teams in the NL Central. They picked up a series win in their most recent series, taking two of three from the Giants. So far, they have gone 42-29 at home and 42-33 on the road.

As the favorite, the Brewers have gone 50-36 this season and 34-26 as the underdog. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 26-17-4, and they have won three straight series on the road. Their series home losing streak is at two games.

When betting the run line on the Brewers, it is important to note that they have a winning record against the run line overall, but they have been better on the road than at home. Milwaukee has a run line record of 40-35 when playing away from Miller Park, compared to 34-37 at home. The Brewers have also been a better bet against the run line as the underdog, with a record of 40-20 compared to 34-52 as the favorite.

The Milwaukee Brewers are on the road today against the Arizona Diamondbacks, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Brewers have played in 30 games this season with over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, and their record in those games is 27-22. Their combined run average for the season is 8.7 runs per game, and their overall over/under record is 75-62.

Freddy Peralta is looking to bounce back from a rough outing, as he gets the start for the Brewers today. The right-hander is coming off a start in which he gave up three earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up two homers. Before that, Peralta had put together back-to-back scoreless outings. His ERA for the season is 3.81, along with a record of 10-8. Peralta’s WHIP for the season is 1.22. Opposing batters are hitting .217 off Peralta this season.

William Contreras has been swinging a good bat for the Brewers of late, going 7/26 in his last eight games, including one home run. Overall, he is batting .280 with 21 homers, which is 3rd on the team. Willy Adames has been the team’s top power threat, as his 30 homers are 11th in the league and leads the Brewers. He also has 102 RBIs, which is 4th in the MLB.

As a team, the Brewers are 6th in the league at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the best teams in terms of drawing walks and have the 5th best on-base percentage in the league.

The Diamondbacks’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Rangers, closing out their series with a 14-4 win. After allowing one run to the Rangers in the top of the first, the Diamondbacks responded with three runs of their own. Arizona went on to add another three runs in the 4th inning.

Starting for the Diamondbacks was Merrill Kelly, who picked up the win. He went four innings, giving up three earned runs on four hits. Arizona’s offense scored 14 runs on jsonly 16 hits and didn’t hit a home run.

Arizona is currently five games behind the Dodgers in the NL West as they are 82-64 overall. The Diamondbacks will host the Brewers today with a record of 41-31 at home compared to 41-33 on the road. They have won three straight games, and they closed out their series vs. the Rangers with two straight wins.

As the favorite, the Diamondbacks are 47-26 this year and 35-38 as the underdog. At home, they are 7-14 when not favored. Arizona’s overall series record is 26-17-4 this year.

Arizona has been a solid run line bet overall this season, going 77-69, but they have been better on the road (43-31) than at home (34-38). They have been a profitable run line bet as the underdog (45-28) compared to when they are favored (32-41). Their average run differential in winning games is +4.2, while it is -3.8 in losses.

The Diamondbacks have been involved in high-scoring games this season, as their combined run average is 10.3 runs per game. Their over/under record is 84-55, and their games have averaged an over/under line of 9 runs. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over in 31 of 48 games (64.6%).

Arizona is starting Eduardo Rodriguez today vs. the Brewers, and he comes into the game with a record of 2-2 and an ERA of 5.83. Looking back at his last outing, Rodriguez took the loss, giving up four earned runs in four innings of work vs. the Astros. He has given up at least one homer in three straight starts. In his six appearances, Rodriguez has a WHIP of 1.53 and batting average allowed of .287. So far, he has allowed a total of four homers. Per nine innings, Rodriguez has 5.52 strikeouts and 3.07 walks.

Arizona’s offense has been the best in the league this season, averaging 5.5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.7 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks are also the league’s top home run hitting team and have the league’s best team on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS.

Over his last nine games, Eugenio Suarez has been on fire, going 17/33 with six homers and seven RBIs. For the season, he is batting .256 with 28 homers and 92 RBIs. Ketel Marte is hitting .295 for the season and has gone deep 31 times, which is 10th in the MLB right now. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is batting .274 and is 4th on the team with 70 RBIs.

Our prediction for today’s Brewers vs. Diamondbacks game is to take the Diamondbacks on the money line at -114. We have the Diamondbacks winning this one by a score of 5-4. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also look to the over/under, and we would take the over at 8.5.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Freddy Peralta finishing with eight strikeouts compared to Eduardo Rodriguez with six. However, Rodriguez has a better chance of picking up the win, as he is projected to go six innings, compared to Peralta at 5.2 innings.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Tips

• We like the Diamondbacks on the moneyline (-114)
• The Diamondbacks are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Arizona Diamondbacks Injury Report

Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report