Minnesota Twins vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction & Betting Tips 9/13/2024

Minnesota Twins vs Cincinnati Reds Preview

Friday’s Reds vs. Twins interleague matchup has a first pitch set for 8:10 PM ET from Target Field in Minneapolis. The Twins are the heavy favorite on the money line at -221, while the Reds are sitting at +183. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and the forecast calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the low 80s.

Julian Aguiar will start for the Reds, and he will be facing off against Bailey Ober. Cincinnati is 71-77 this season, and they are 5th in the NL Central. The Twins have won two straight and are 3rd in the AL Central with an overall record of 78-68.

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Minnesota Twins vs. Cincinnati Reds Trends and Key Stats

• The Reds are 3-2 across their last five road games. They have gone 4-1 vs. the runline.
• The Twins, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 1-4 (SU) and 0-5 record.
• Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Twins have won 5-5 straight-up, and have a 2-8 record vs. the runline.
• When playing as the underdog, the Reds have won 6-4 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 7-3 against the runline.

Minnesota Twins vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction

The Reds will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Cardinals with a 6-1 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 7th inning before the Cardinals scored two runs in the bottom of the 7th. Cincinnati was the +123 underdog on the money line going into the game.

Jakob Junis put together a good start for the Reds, going five innings and giving up just one earned run while striking out three. However, the Cincinnati bullpen couldn’t close things out, and the Reds took the loss. Carson Spiers was charged with the loss out of the bullpen.

Cincinnati is 71-77 overall and trails the Brewers by 14 games in the NL Central. The Reds are also 14.0 games behind the Cardinals for the second Wild Card spot. The Reds lost the final two games of their series vs. the Cardinals and are 21-25 in divisional games this year.

At home, the Reds are 36-39 and have gone 35-38 on the road. As the underdog, the Reds are 38-44 this season and 33-33 when favored. Heading into today’s game, the Reds have an overall series record of 18-27-3.

When betting on the Reds’ run line this season, it’s been a better play to take them on the road. Cincinnati has gone 45-28 against the run line when away from home, including a 1-0 run line record in their last game. The Reds’ average run differential on the road is +0.5 runs per game, compared to -0.3 runs per game at home.

The Cincinnati Reds are on the road to face the Minnesota Twins, and the over/under line for today’s game is set at 8 runs. The combined run average in Reds games this season is 8.6 runs per game, and their over/under record is 67-74. The average over/under line for Reds games this season is 9 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 7-12. The majority of Reds games this season have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, with 69.6% of their games having lines set above that mark. The under has hit in the last six Reds games.

Julian Aguiar will be making his 4th start of the season for the Reds, and it will be his 2nd road start. He picked up a win in his first road start against the Pirates, and is coming off a no-decision in his last outing, where he went 4 2/3 innings and struck out 2 against the Mets.

Elly De La Cruz has been one of the Reds’ most consistent hitters this season, as he is batting .259 with a team-leading 23 home runs. However, he has struggled of late, hitting just .143 over his last eight games. Overall, he is 2nd on the team with 65 RBIs. Spencer Steer has also been a good source of power for the Reds, as he is batting just .229 but has 19 homers, which is 3rd on the team.

As a team, the Reds are 15th in the league in scoring at 4.4 runs per game. This is also where they are at in terms of home runs, as they are 13th in the league. Overall, the Reds are batting just .231, which is 19th in the MLB.

Matt Wallner and the Twins’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Angels, closing out their series with a 6-4 win. Wallner went only 3 1/3 innings, but the Twins scored three runs in the 4th to pick up the win. He also issued just two walks and struck out five Angels batters. The Twins’s offense was carried by Royce Lewis, who went 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.

Zebby Matthews got the start for the Twins, going 3 1/3 innings, and picked up the win. He did run into some trouble, giving up two earned runs on five hits. Cole Sands closed things out in the 9th, picking up the save, and the Twins were at -215 at home going into the game.

Minnesota is 78-68 overall and 3rd in the AL Central, trailing the Guardians by 5.5 games. The Twins are 28-20 against other teams in the AL Central. They have won two straight games, and this came after taking two of three from the Angels in their most recent series.

At home, the Twins are 41-31 this season, and they are an even 37-37 on the road. As the favorite, Minnesota has gone 62-39 this season and 16-29 as the underdog. The Twins’ overall series record is 26-17-4 this year.

Minnesota is 31-41 against the run line at home this season, but the Twins have covered in two straight games at Target Field. Their average run differential at home is +0.5 runs per game, compared to +0.1 runs per game on the road. Minnesota’s overall run line record is 68-78, and they have been favored in 101 games, going 45-56 against the run line in those contests.

The Minnesota Twins will be hosting the Cincinnati Reds at Target Field today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs, which is right in line with their season average of 8 runs per game. The Twins have gone over the total in 13 of their 36 games with an O/U line of 8 runs, and the over has hit in two straight games.

Right-hander Bailey Ober gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Reds at home. He has made 27 starts this year and has a record of 12-6 with a 3.77 ERA. Ober’s WHIP for the season is currently .98. In his 27 appearances, he has turned in 17 quality starts and is averaging 9.41 strikeouts per nine innings. Ober’s most recent outing came against the Royals, where he went seven innings, giving up no earned runs and coming away with a no-decision. He has not taken a loss since August 26th, where he gave up nine earned runs in two innings of work.

Carlos Santana has been on a tear of late for the Twins, going 8/26 in his last eight games with three homers and six RBIs. Kyle Farmer has also hit three homers in his last eight games while hitting .471. For the season, Santana leads the Twins with 21 homers, and he is also the team’s leader in RBIs, with 63. Ryan Jeffers and Willi Castro are also near the top of the Twins’ home run leaderboard, with 20 and 11 homers, respectively.

As a team, the Twins are 8th in batting average and are averaging 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are 9th in home runs and have the 7th best slugging percentage in the league.

Our prediction for this Reds vs. Twins matchup is to take the over, with the line currently sitting at 8 runs. We actually have the Twins winning this one 6-5, but with the payout for a Twins win at -221, we see more value in taking the over.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Bailey Ober is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is 11th among all starters today. As for Julian Aguiar, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which has him right in the middle of the pack.

Minnesota Twins vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Tips

• Take the Twins on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Reds (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Minnesota Twins Injury Report

Cincinnati Reds Injury Report