Detroit Tigers vs Colorado Rockies Prediction & Betting Tips 9/11/2024

Detroit Tigers vs Colorado Rockies Preview

Casey Mize and the Tigers are looking for their fourth straight win, as they are 74-71 and are 4th in the AL Central. The Rockies, on the other hand, are 5th in the NL West with a record of 54-91. Colorado comes into the game as the money line underdog (+154), while the Tigers are favored at -183. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.

Wednesday’s interleague matchup is set for 6:40 PM ET from Comerica Park in Detroit. The forecast for the game calls for scattered clouds and temperatures in the mid-80s. Tanner Gordon is the Rockies’ starter, while the Tigers are sending Casey Mize to the mound.

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Detroit Tigers vs. Colorado Rockies Trends and Key Stats

• The Rockies are 3-2 across their last five road games. They have gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
• On the other side, the Tigers have gone 3-2 (SU) and 3-2 in their previous five home contests.
• Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Tigers have won 8-2 straight-up, and have a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
• Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Rockies have a 4-6 straight-up record and a 4-6 record vs. the runline.

Detroit cruised to an easy 11-0 win over the Rockies in the most recent game of this series. The Tigers had a huge 2nd inning, scoring four of their eleven runs. As for the Rockies, they had their best chance to score in the 6th, but could only muster three hits.

Keider Montero pitched a gem for the Tigers in this one, going nine innings and striking out five without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Bradley Blalock had a rough outing for the Rockies, taking the loss.

Parker Meadows was the only Tigers hitter to have a home run, but he was one of five Tigers hitters to have at least two hits and score three times. Riley Greene also had a good game at the plate, going 2/3 with three RBIs.

Detroit Tigers vs Colorado Rockies Prediction

Colorado is 54-91 overall, putting them 5th in the NL West, 32 games behind the Dodgers. Today, they are on the road, facing the Tigers and lost the first game of this series. So far, they have gone just 15-28 against other teams in the NL West.

As the underdog, the Rockies are 52-89 this year, including 22-54 as the road underdog. Colorado has really struggled on the road this year, coming in with a mark of 22-54. As the favorite, they are just 2-2 this season. The Rockies’ overall series record is 11-31-4.

When betting the Rockies on the run line this season, it’s been a better proposition to take them as the underdog. They’ve covered the run line in 70 of 141 games as the underdog compared to just one of four games as the favorite. Their overall run line record is 71-74, and their average run differential is -1.6. In their wins, they’ve won by an average of 2.8 runs per game, while in their losses, they’ve lost by an average of 4.1 runs per game.

When the Rockies are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. This season, the Rockies have played in games with an average of 9.9 runs per game. Overall, the over/under record for the Rockies this season is 70-72, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 8-10-1. In 71.7% of their games this season, the over/under line has been set at more than 8 runs.

Colorado is sending Tanner Gordon to the mound today vs. the Tigers, and he is looking to pick up his first win of the season. Gordon’s record is 0-5, and he has an ERA of 7.55. So far, he has made one quality start and is coming off a rough outing vs. the Nationals, where he gave up five earned runs in four innings of work. Opponents are batting .331 off Gordon this season. Per nine innings, he has 7.26 strikeouts and just 1.74 walks. Gordon has been hit hard on the road, with an ERA of 15.45 compared to 5.35 at home.

So far this season, the Rockies are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 23rd in the majors. However, they have been much better on offense at home, averaging 5 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .242, which is 11th in the league, and have the 12th best slugging percentage in the league.

Michael Toglia comes into the game as the Rockies’ leader in home runs, but he is batting just .219 for the season and has gone 8/36 in his last 10 games. Ezequiel Tovar and Brenton Doyle are both batting over .260 for the season and have 22 homers apiece. Tovar is 2nd on the team with 64 RBIs, while Doyle is the team’s current leader in RBIs.

Detroit is hosting the Rockies today with an overall record of 74-71, putting them 4th in the AL Central. Currently, they are nine games behind the Guardians for the division lead. The Tigers have gone 24-22 against other teams in the AL Central this year.

The Tigers have won three straight games, and they are 36-34 at home compared to 38-37 on the road. As the favorite, the Tigers are 34-23 this year and 40-48 as the underdog. Detroit has an overall series record of 21-20-5 this year.

The Tigers have been a good bet on the run line this season, going 76-69 overall. They are 30-40 on the run line at home and 46-29 on the run line on the road. Their average run margin for the season is +0.2, but they have been outscored by an average of 0.5 runs per game at home.

The Detroit Tigers are at home today against the Colorado Rockies, with the over/under line set at 8 runs. The Tigers and their opponents have combined to average 8.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 73-68. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, the Tigers’ over/under record is 16-18-2. Overall, 53 of their games have had over/under lines set at more than 8 runs, which accounts for 36.6% of their games.

Casey Mize will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he gave up three earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. In that outing vs. the Padres, he gave up one homer. Mize finished with a no-decision in that outing. Looking back further, Mize has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. The right-hander has made 18 starts this year and has a record of 2-6 to go along with a 4.30 ERA. Opponents are batting .277 off Mize this year, and his WHIP is 1.41. Mize has made six quality starts this year and is averaging 6.4 strikeouts per nine innings.

Heading into today’s game, Riley Greene has been swinging a hot bat for the Tigers, going 11/34 in his last nine games, including one home run and eight RBIs. For the season, he is batting .263 with a team-high 20 homers and 64 RBIs. Matt Vierling and Colt Keith have also been two of the Tigers’ top power threats, as Vierling has 16 homers and Keith has 12. Vierling is on a three-game hitting streak.

As a team, the Tigers are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. They have been better on the road than at home and are also just 20th in home runs. Overall, they are batting .234, which is 17th in the MLB.

We do like the Tigers to pick up a win in this one, and with the money line payout being -183, there is some value in taking the over at 8 runs. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Tigers, giving us plenty of wiggle room with the over/under line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Casey Mize finishing with six strikeouts, which has him 13th among starters in today’s slate. As for the Rockies starter, Tanner Gordon, we have him finishing with six K’s, which has him 15th among starters.

Offensively, we have the Tigers finishing with nine hits, which has them 18th in the league today. As for the Rockies, they are projected to finish with nine strikeouts, which is the eighth most in the league.

Detroit Tigers vs Colorado Rockies Betting Tips

• Take the Tigers on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Rockies (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Detroit Tigers Injury Report

Colorado Rockies Injury Report