Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins Preview
Wednesday’s matchup between the Marlins and Pirates is set to get started at 12:35 PM ET from PNC Park in Pittsburgh. The money line odds have the Pirates at -178 compared to the Marlins at +150. The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs.
Miami will be looking to snap a two-game losing streak, as they are 54-91 and 5th in the NL East. Pittsburgh is 69-76 overall and has won three straight, putting them 5th in the NL Central. Jonathan Bermudez is starting for the Marlins, and he is facing off against Bailey Falter for the Pirates. SN PT is carrying this game on TV.
Check out BetCoco for Pittsburgh Pirates – Miami Marlins odds
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins Trends and Key Stats
- The Marlins are 2-3 across their last five road games. They have gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
- On the opposing side, the Pirates have a 3-2 (SU) record, along with a 3-2 record in their last five home contests.
- As the favorite, the Pirates are 7-3 over their last ten games, including going 6-4 vs. the runline.
- The Marlins have a 5-5 straight-up record and a 6-4 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.
Pittsburgh picked up a 6-4 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Pirates had a huge 5th inning, scoring four of their six runs. As for the Marlins, they scored their only run in the 5th and added their final run in the 9th.
Carmen Mlodzinski only went two innings for the Pirates but didn’t give up a run. He finished with just one strikeout and allowed two hits. Joey Wentz came out of the bullpen for the win, and Aroldis Chapman got the save.
Adam Oller had a rough outing for the Marlins, taking the loss after going five innings and giving up six runs. Jhonny Pereda did most of the damage for Miami, going 3/4 with an RBI.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins Prediction
Miami is 5th in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 33 games. Overall, the Marlins are 54-91 and have dropped two straight games. Their record in the NL East is 16-29 this season.
At home, the Marlins are 28-47 compared to 26-44 on the road. Miami has struggled as the favorite this year, going just 4-14. As for their record as the underdog, they are 50-77 this year. Miami has an overall series record of 11-26-9, and they are losing this series vs. the Pirates 0-2.
When betting the run line on the Miami Marlins, it’s been more profitable to take them as an underdog than as a favorite. The Marlins are 66-61 against the run line as an underdog this season compared to just 2-16 as a favorite. Miami’s overall run line record is 68-77, with an average scoring margin of -1.3 runs per game.
The Miami Marlins are on the road today against the Pittsburgh Pirates, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Marlins have played 141 games this season, and their combined run average is 9.0 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 79-62, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 28-23. So far this season, 26 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 17.9% of their games.
Jonathan Bermúdez is getting his first start of the season for the Marlins, and it comes on the road against the Pirates. Bermúdez has made two appearances out of the bullpen so far, and he has yet to record a decision. In his last outing, he went just one inning and gave up one run on one hit.
Over the Marlins’ last four games, Connor Norby has gone 5/17 with three homers, and seven RBIs. Otto Lopez has also been swinging a hot bat, going 10/21 in his last five games. Lopez also has a five-game hitting streak coming into today’s game. Josh Bell has a seven-game hitting streak, and Bryan De La Cruz is right behind him with a five-game streak.
For the season, the Marlins are the worst scoring team in the league, averaging just 3.8 runs per game. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and on-base percentage. As a team, they are batting .241, which is 12th in the league. Jake Burger is the team’s home run leader, with 25, and he also leads the team with 61 RBIs.
Pittsburgh is 69-76 overall and trail the Brewers by 14.5 games in the NL Central. Currently, they are 5th in the division, just a half-game behind the Reds for 4th place. The Pirates have won three straight games, and they have an NL Central division record of 22-20.
At home, the Pirates are 36-38 this season, and they are 33-38 on the road. So far, they have gone 21-20 as the home favorite. Pittsburgh’s overall series record is 19-21-6, and they are up 2-0 in the series vs. the Marlins heading into today’s game.
The Pirates are 80-65 against the run line this season, and they are 37-37 vs. the run line at home. Their average run margin is -0.3 runs per game, and they have a run line record of 43-28 on the road. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.2 runs per game, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.6 runs per game.
The Pittsburgh Pirates have played to an over/under record of 72-71 this season, with an average combined run average of 8.8 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over the total in 30 of 52 games. This season, only 14.5% of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s 8.5-run mark.
Bailey Falter gets the start for the Pirates today vs. the Marlins and is coming off a solid outing vs. the Nationals. In that September 5th start, he went 5 innings, picking up the win and giving up 3 earned runs. Looking back at his last three outings, Falter has finished with a no-decision in two straight starts. He has a record of 7-7 this season and an ERA of 4.45. Opposing batters are hitting .263 off Falter this season. The left-hander has made 24 starts, and his ERA at home is 4.83 compared to 5.43 on the road.
Andrew McCutchen has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Pirates, going 5/14 in his last four games with two homers and four RBIs. McCutchen is 2nd on the team with 20 homers and is 5th on the team with 50 RBIs. Overall, he is batting just .241 for the season. Bryan Reynolds has been the Pirates’ top hitter this season, batting .277 with a team-high 83 RBIs and 22 homers.
As a team, the Pirates are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and slugging percentage. Overall, they are batting just .236. Currently, McCutchen, Isiah Kiner-Falefa, Jared Triolo, and Nick Gonzales are all on three-game hitting streaks.
Our predicted final score for this Pirates vs. Marlins matchup is 5-4 in favor of the Pirates. However, at -178, the payout isn’t great for a money line bet. Instead, we recommend taking the over, as the line is sitting at 8.5 runs, and we have the teams combining for nine runs.
If you’re looking for some player props, Bailey Falter is predicted to finish with four strikeouts. As for the Marlins, they are projected to finish with seven as a team, and the Pirates are projected to finish with eight.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins Betting Tips
- Take the Pirates on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Marlins (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Pittsburgh Pirates Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Johan Oviedo | Out | Elbow |
| Marco Gonzales | Out | Forearm |
| Ke’Bryan Hayes | Out | Back |
| Ben Heller | Out | Shoulder |
| Daulton Jefferies | Out | Elbow |
| Dauri Moreta | Out | Elbow |
| Henry Davis | Out | Hand |
| Hunter Stratton | Out | Knee |
| Endy Rodríguez | Out | Elbow |
Miami Marlins Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Sandy Alcantara | Out | Elbow |
| Derek Hill | Out | Shoulder |
| Braxton Garrett | Out | Elbow |
| Jesús Luzardo | Out | Back |
| Sixto Sánchez | Out | Shoulder |
| Vidal Bruján | Out | Shoulder |
| José Devers | Questionable | Hand |
| Ryan Weathers | Out | Finger |
| Dane Myers | Out | Ankle |
| Max Meyer | Out | Shoulder |
| Eury Pérez | Out | Elbow |
| Connor Norby | Questionable | Foot |
| Calvin Faucher | Out | Shoulder |
| Andrew Nardi | Out | Elbow |
