Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres Preview
San Diego heads into Tuesday’s interleague matchup vs. the Mariners looking to snap a two-game losing streak, as they are 81-64 overall. Seattle is 2nd in the AL West and has a record of 73-71. George Kirby is starting for the Mariners, and the Padres are going with Yu Darvish. San Diego is the betting favorite on the money line (-112), while the Mariners are at -107.
The over/under line is currently at 7 runs, and this one is being televised on MLBN. First pitch from T-Mobile Park in Seattle is set for 9:40 PM ET.
Check out BetCoco for Seattle Mariners – San Diego Padres odds
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres Trends and Key Stats
- The Padres are 2-3 in their five most recent road games, including a 1-4 runline record.
- In the Mariners’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 4-1 (SU) with 4-1 against the spread.
- The Padres are 5-5 in their last ten games as the favorite and 5-5 as the underdog.
- The Mariners hold a 5-5 record as the favorite and a 2-8 record as the underdog.
Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres Prediction
The Padres will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Giants with a 7-6 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 4th inning before the Giants scored six runs in the top of the 4th. San Diego’s offense scored their six runs on eight hits and two home runs.
Joe Musgrove had a rough outing, giving up six earned runs on eight hits and issuing three walks. He also only lasted jsonly 4 1/3 innings, taking the loss. Xander Bogaerts and Jackson Merrill homered for the Padres, but it wasn’t enough to pick up the win.
Heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Mariners, the Padres are 81-64 overall, putting them 2nd in the NL West, 5.5 games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. The Padres have dropped two straight games, losing the final two games of their series vs. the Giants. So far, they are 21-22 in divisional games.
At home, the Padres are 40-35 this season, and they have gone 41-29 on the road. As the road favorite, the Padres have put together a record of 19-13 this season, and they are 52-40 when favored overall. The Padres have an overall series record of 28-15-5 this year.
When the Padres are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 44-26. They have covered the run line in two straight games as the favorite, but overall, they are just 37-55 against the run line when favored. However, they are 36-17 against the run line as the underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.6, while in losses, it is -3.5.
The Padres are on the road facing the Mariners in a game with an over/under line of 7 runs. The combined run average for their games this season is 9.0 runs per game, and their over/under record is 78-65. Their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 7 runs, their record is 10-2-1. The over has hit in two straight games for the Padres.
Yu Darvish gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Mariners on the road. He has made 12 starts this season and has a record of 4-3 with a 3.51 ERA. Darvish’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.12. Looking at his overall numbers, Darvish has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 8.69 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in 2 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had lost two straight starts.
As a team, the Padres are the league’s top-hitting team, batting .265, and they also have the fewest strikeouts in the league. Overall, they are 8th in runs scored (4.8) and have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per game. San Diego’s offense has also been a threat to go deep, as they are 10th in the league in home runs and have the best slugging percentage in the league.
Over the team’s last eight games, Luis Arraez has been on fire, going 15/34. For the season, he is batting .315 with four homers and 42 RBIs. Manny Machado and Jackson Merrill are the team’s top power threats, with Machado leading the team with 25 homers and Merrill right behind him at 23. Machado’s 90 RBIs are 8th in the league.
The Mariners’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Cardinals, closing out their series with a 10-4 win. Seattle scored five times in the first inning and added another two runs in the 2nd. After the Cardinals scored two runs in the 2nd to cut into the lead, the Mariners scored another two runs in the top of the 2nd.
Seattle’s big 1st inning was thanks in part to a big game from Randy Arozarena, who went 2/5 with a homer and two RBIs. The Mariners also had three other players with two hits.
Seattle hosts the Padres with an overall record of 73-71, which has them 2nd in the AL West, 4.5 games behind the Astros for the division lead. So far, they have gone 22-17 in divisional games. The Mariners are coming off a series win vs. the Cardinals, taking two of three games.
At home, the Mariners are 41-28 this season compared to a 32-43 mark on the road. One area where they have struggled is as the underdog, as they have dropped seven straight games when not favored. As for their overall record as the underdog, they are 19-26. Seattle has an overall series record of 20-23-3 this season.
Seattle has been a solid run line bet at home this season, going 29-40, but they have been even better on the road at 32-43. Overall, the Mariners are 61-83 vs. the run line. They have been favored in 99 games and have gone 40-59 in those contests. When they are the underdog, they are 21-24.
The Seattle Mariners are playing host to the San Diego Padres today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7 runs. The combined run average in Mariners games this season is 7.8 runs, and their over/under record is 65-71. When the over/under line is set at 7 runs, their record is 12-19-6. Overall, 66.7% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7 runs.
Seattle is sending right-hander George Kirby to the mound today vs. the Padres. He has made 29 starts this season and has a record of 11-10 with a 3.61 ERA. Kirby’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.11, and opponents are batting .242 off him this year. In his last outing, Kirby picked up the win, going six innings and giving up two earned runs on six hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Kirby has made 17 quality starts this year and is averaging 8.73 strikeouts per nine innings.
Heading into today’s game, the Mariners are batting just .219 as a team, which is the worst mark in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in runs per game, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. However, they do a good job of working the count and are 4th in the league in walks. Seattle’s team batting average is even worse at home, where they are averaging just 3.7 runs per game.
Cal Raleigh has been a big run producer for the Mariners this season, as his 90 RBIs is good for 8th in the league and leads the team. He also has a team-high 29 home runs but is batting just .213 this season. Over his last five games, Raleigh has gone 7/21 with a homer and six RBIs. Julio Rodriguez is on an 11-game hitting streak and is batting .262 for the season.
With the Mariners at -107 on the money line, this is a great payout for a team we have winning 6-5. The Mariners are projected to finish with 10th most strikeouts in the league today, and they have a higher projected run total than the Padres.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Yu Darvish finishing with seven strikeouts, which is good, but he is also projected to give up the fourth-most earned runs of any starter today. As for George Kirby, we have him finishing with six strikeouts and picking up the win, giving him the fourth-best chances of getting a win.
Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres Betting Tips
- Take the Mariners on the moneyline
- On the run line we like Mariners (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Seattle Mariners Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Yimi García | Out | Elbow |
| Victor Robles | Questionable | Elbow |
| Luis Castillo | Questionable | Hamstring |
| Sam Haggerty | Out | Achilles |
| Gregory Santos | Out | Biceps |
| Jackson Kowar | Out | Elbow |
| Matt Brash | Out | Elbow |
San Diego Padres Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jay Groome | Out | Suspension |
| Ha-Seong Kim | Out | Shoulder |
| Luis Patiño | Out | Elbow |
| Stephen Kolek | Out | Forearm |
