New York Yankees vs Kansas City Royals Preview
From Yankee Stadium in New York, we have the Royals and Yankees facing off in an AL matchup. The forecast for Tuesday’s game calls for clear skies and temperatures near 80 degrees. First pitch is set for 7:05 PM ET.
Kansas City is 79-66 and Seth Lugo is starting on Tuesday, while the Yankees are starting Marcus Stroman. New York is favored on the money line, and their odds are at -143 compared to the Royals at +121. The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the game can be seen on YES.
Check out BetCoco for New York Yankees – Kansas City Royals odds
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals Trends and Key Stats
- The Royals are 0-5 across their last five road games. They have gone 1-4 vs. the runline.
- On the other side, the Yankees have gone 2-3 (SU) and 2-3 in their previous five home contests.
- The Yankees have a straight-up record of 5-5 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
- Looking at the Royals’ previous ten games as the underdog they are 2-8 straight-up and 3-7 vs. the runline.
New York cruised to a 10-4 win over the Royals in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a huge 4th inning, scoring eight of their ten runs. As for the Royals, they scored their final run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Yankees were favored at -185 on the money line.
Carlos Rodón got the win for the Yankees, going six innings and giving up three earned runs. James McArthur took the loss for the Royals, giving up three earned runs in just two innings of work.
At the plate, the Yankees were led by Austin Wells and Alex Verdugo, as they were the only two Yankees hitters to have more than one hit. Wells, Gleyber Torres, and Aaron Judge each homered for New York’s offense.
New York Yankees vs Kansas City Royals Prediction
Kansas City is 79-66 overall and 3.5 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. So far, they have gone 33-16 in divisional games. The Royals have dropped six straight on the road, and they are 34-36 overall as the visiting team.
As the favorite, the Royals have gone 46-26 this year, and they are 33-40 as the underdog. Kansas City’s overall series record is 21-23-2, and they have gone 4-6 across their last ten games overall.
When the Royals are on the road, they have a run line record of 37-33, but they have failed to cover the run line in their last three road games. They have an average run margin of 0.6 runs per game this season, and their average run margin in winning games is 4.0 runs per game.
The Kansas City Royals are on the road today against the New York Yankees. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Royals have played in 49 games this season with over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher, and their over/under record in those games is 16-25. The combined run average in their games this season is 8.8 runs per game.
Seth Lugo gets the start for the Royals today as he faces off against the Yankees on the road. So far this season, he has made 29 starts and has a record of 15-8 to go along with an ERA of 3.05. Lugo’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.11, and opponents are batting .229 off the right-hander this year. In his 29 appearances, Lugo has turned in 20 quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he went seven innings, giving up just one earned run. He has only allowed one earned run in each of his last three outings.
For the season, the Royals are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .253, which is 7th in the MLB, and have the 2nd fewest strikeouts in the league. Kansas City’s offense is also one of the best home run-hitting teams in the league, with a total of 160 homers.
Bobby Witt Jr. has been one of the league’s top hitters this season, with a batting average of .335 to go along with 30 home runs and 98 RBIs. Salvador Perez is also having a strong season, hitting .275 with 26 homers. Witt Jr. has gone just 7/30 in his last eight games, while Perez has gone 7/29 in that stretch.
The Yankees are 83-61 overall this season, which has them leading the AL East by 1.5 games over the Orioles. New York is 22-23 against other teams in the AL East. The Yankees took the first game of their series vs. the Royals and have an overall series record of 26-16-4 this year.
At home, the Yankees are 38-31 this year, and they have been really good on the road at 45-30. So far, the Yankees have been the favorite in most of their games, where they are 65-54. As the underdog, New York is 18-7 this season. Looking at their overall mark, the Yankees are 5-5 over their last 10 games.
The Yankees have been a solid team to bet on when they are the underdog, as they are 21-4 on the run line in those games. However, they have not been as good when they are the favorite, going just 55-64 on the run line. Their overall run line record is 76-68, with an average run margin of +0.9 runs per game.
The Yankees have played 49 games this season with over/under lines higher than 8.5 runs, the highest percentage of any team in the league. Their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game, and their over/under record is 79-61 overall. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over the total in 32 of 51 games.
New York is sending Marcus Stroman to the mound today vs. the Royals, and he is coming off a rough outing vs. the Rangers. In that start, he took the loss and gave up five earned runs in 3 2/3 innings of work. Before that outing, Stroman had won two straight starts. His record for the season is 10-7, and his ERA is 4.03. Stroman’s WHIP for the season is 1.42. Looking at his home/away splits, he is 5-5 at home with a 5.79 ERA compared to 5-2 on the road with a 3.81 ERA.
Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are the league’s top-scoring offense, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. New York’s offense has been led by their league-leading home run total and an elite on-base percentage of .334. So far, they have been able to avoid a lot of strikeouts, as they are just 9th in the league in this category.
Over his last seven games, Gleyber Torres has gone 12/29, but he is still looking for his first home run during this stretch. Aaron Judge and Juan Soto are the team’s top two home run hitters, and both have been swinging the bat well, with Judge leading the team with a .322 batting average and Soto is right behind him at .292.
Our prediction for this Yankees vs. Royals matchup is that the Yankees will pick up a 6-5 win at home. Given that the payout for a Yankees win is -143, this is the bet we would recommend making.
Looking at some potential player props, we have Marcus Stroman finishing with five strikeouts, which would have him finishing as the fourth-worst among all starters today. As for Seth Lugo, his projection is for five strikeouts, which would have him as the seventh-worst.
New York Yankees vs Kansas City Royals Betting Tips
- Take the Yankees on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Royals (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
New York Yankees Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| DJ LeMahieu | Out | Hip |
| Tyler Lyons | Out | Personal |
| Cody Poteet | Out | Tricep |
| Lou Trivino | Out | Elbow |
| Jonathan Loáisiga | Out | Elbow |
| JT Brubaker | Out | Elbow |
| Kenlly Montas | Out | Personal |
Kansas City Royals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Will Smith | Out | Back |
| Michael Lorenzen | Out | Hamstring |
| Hunter Harvey | Out | Back |
| Josh Taylor | Out | Biceps |
| Kyle Wright | Out | Shoulder |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | Out | Thumb |
