Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction & Betting Tips 9/9/2024

Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays Preview

The Phillies are the heavy favorite on the money line today, as they are at -200 compared to the Rays, who are at +166. This interleague matchup is set for 6:40 PM ET from Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, and the forecast calls for temperatures in the mid-70s with partly cloudy skies.

Philadelphia comes in with a record of 85-58 and are 1st in the NL East, while the Rays are 4th in the AL East with an overall record of 71-72. Tampa Bay will be looking to extend their two-game winning streak. NSPPH will be televising today’s game.

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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Tampa Bay Rays Trends and Key Stats

• 3-2 is the record of Rays in their last five road games. They have also gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
• On the opposing side, the Phillies have a 3-2 (SU) record, along with a 3-2 record in their last five home contests.
• The Phillies have a straight-up record of 7-3 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
• Looking at the Rays’ previous ten games as the underdog they are 5-5 straight-up and 8-2 vs. the runline.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

The Rays’s offense was carried by Jonny DeLuca in their most recent game vs. the Orioles. DeLuca went 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs. The Rays really only needed one big inning, as they scored two runs in the 6th to pick up the 2-0 win. Tampa Bay’s other run came from a Zack Littell single in the 6th.

Littell started for the Rays, going five innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out four Orioles batters. Edwin Uceta picked up the save out of the bullpen, and Tampa Bay’s other relievers closed things out in the 8th and 9th.

Tampa Bay is currently 71-72 overall, putting them 4th in the AL East. They are 11 games behind the Yankees for the division lead. The Rays head into Philadelphia having won two straight games and went 2-1 in their series vs. the Orioles.

On the road, the Rays are 34-34 this season compared to a 37-38 mark at home. As the underdog, Tampa Bay is 36-42 this year, and they have won two straight as the underdog. The Rays have been the favorite in 65 games, going 35-30 in those games. They are 22-18-6 in series this year and have an overall record of 22-18-6.

The Rays have been a good bet on the run line this season, going 73-70 overall. They are 39-29 against the run line on the road and have covered in their last two road games. They have been a much better bet as the underdog, going 49-29 against the run line in those games.

The Rays are on the road against the Phillies today. The combined run average in their games this season is 8.1, and their over/under record is 64-71. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 16-19-1. In 46 of their games this season, the over/under line has been set higher than 8 runs, which accounts for 32.2% of their games. In 61 games, the over/under line has been set lower than 8 runs, which accounts for 42.7% of their games.

Tampa Bay is sending Cole Sulser to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 0-0 and ERA of 4.36. So far, he has made one start and seven appearances. Sulser’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.35. In his 10 1/3 innings of work, he has a BB/9 figure of 5.23 compared to 9.58 strikeouts per nine innings. The right-hander most recently pitched on September 4th, where he went two innings, giving up one hit and one walk. He didn’t allow a run in that outing. Sulser has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three appearances.

For the season, the Rays are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and team batting average. However, they do have the 8th fewest strikeouts in the league and have been good at drawing walks. As a team, they have a collective on-base percentage of just .305.

Yandy Diaz is the team’s top hitter this season, batting .279 with 14 homers and a team-leading 64 RBIs. He has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/23 in his last six games. Christopher Morel comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak but is batting just .198 for the season.

Heading into their last game vs. the Marlins, the Phillies closed out the series with a 10-1 loss. Philadelphia was actually the slight favorite on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Marlins scored seven times in the third.

Seth Johnson got the start for the Phillies and took the loss. He only lasted 2 1/3 innings, giving up nine earned runs. Offensively, the Phillies only had one fewer hit than the Marlins but scored just one run. Bryce Harper was 2/4 with a double and a run scored.

With an overall record of 85-58, the Phillies lead the NL East by seven games over the Mets. The Phillies lost two straight games and are playing the Rays at home today. So far, they have gone 25-17 against other teams in the NL East.

As the favorite, the Phillies are 72-43 this year and 13-15 as the underdog. At home, the Phillies are 47-25 compared to 38-33 on the road. Heading into today’s game, the Phillies have won two straight games at home, and they are 46-22 as the home favorite this year. The Phillies’ overall series record is 25-16-7, and they split their most recent series vs. the Marlins.

When the Phillies win, they do so by an average of 4.0 runs per game, which is why they have a run line record of 70-73. They have been a favorite in 115 games, going 55-60 against the run line. They are 33-39 at home against the run line and have lost two straight run line bets as the favorite.

The Philadelphia Phillies have an over/under record of 67-69 this season, and their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, they have gone 17-16-1. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs this season, and 49.7% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs. The over has hit in three straight games for the Phillies.

Phillies starter Cristopher Sánchez has a record of 10-9 and an ERA of 3.45. In his 27 starts, he has pitched two complete games and has one shutout. Sánchez has turned in 15 quality starts this year. His most recent outing was a good one, as he picked up the win vs. the Blue Jays, going seven innings and giving up just two earned runs. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts. The left-hander has been much better at home, coming in with a 7-3 record and 2.46 ERA compared to 3-6 with a 5.61 ERA on the road.

As a team, the Phillies are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 5th in the league. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, the Phillies are 4th in batting average and have the 7th most home runs in the league. Philadelphia has also been very good at avoiding strikeouts this season.

Kyle Schwarber has been on a tear of late, going 13/34 with five homers over his last eight games. For the season, he is hitting .250 with 33 homers, which is the best mark in the league. His 93 RBIs are also the best in the MLB. Bryce Harper is 2nd on the team with 26 homers and is batting .285 for the season.

The best bet in this Rays vs. Phillies matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8 runs. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Phillies, giving us some wiggle room on the over/under line.

If you’re looking for a money line pick, the payout for a Phillies win is -200, and we do have them coming out on top. Offensively, our projections have the Phillies finishing with just eight hits, compared to the Rays, who we have finishing with nine.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays Betting Tips

• Take the Phillies on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Rays (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report

Tampa Bay Rays Injury Report