Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cleveland Guardians Preview
The Guardians and Dodgers will face off in an interleague matchup at 4:10 PM ET on Sunday. This one is being played at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, and the Guardians are 81-61, while the Dodgers are 85-57.
SNLA will be televising this game, and the Dodgers are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -158 compared to the Guardians at +134. Sunday’s over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and Jack Flaherty is starting for the Dodgers, while the Guardians are going with Tanner Bibee.
Check out BetCoco for Los Angeles Dodgers – Cleveland Guardians odds
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cleveland Guardians Trends and Key Stats
- The Guardians are 3-2 across their last five road games. They have gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
- Conversely, the Dodgers have achieved a 3-2 (SU) record and 3-2 record in their last five home games.
- Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Dodgers have a straight-up record of 6-4, while going 5-5 against the runline.
- When playing as the underdog, the Guardians have won 3-7 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 5-5 against the runline.
It was all Los Angeles in the last game of this series, as the Dodgers took down the Guardians by a score of 7-2. The Dodgers offense only had two more hits than the Guardians and struck out eight times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -151 on the money line.
Cleveland got off to a fast start in the game, scoring two runs in the first and not getting on the board again until adding one more run in the 4th. As for the Dodgers, they scored six of their seven runs in the 1st and added an insurance run in the 4th.
Ryan Brasier only went one inning for the Dodgers but didn’t give up a hit or an earned run. He finished the game with just one strikeout and allowed two walks. Brent Honeywell got the win out of the bullpen. Gavin Williams had a rough outing for the Guardians, giving up five earned runs in just two-thirds of an inning of work.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction
Cleveland is on the road today, taking on the Dodgers, and they are 81-61 overall this season. The Guardians lead the AL Central by 3.5 games over the Royals and are 24-21 in divisional matchups. So far, they have been good at home, going 43-25, and they are just above .500 at 38-36 on the road.
This year, the Guardians have really thrived as the favorite, going 56-30, and they are 25-31 as the underdog. Cleveland’s overall series record is 26-14-5, and they have won two straight series. So far, they have gone 6-4 over their last 10 games.
When betting the run line, the Guardians are a .500 team overall, but they have been a better bet on the road, where they are 38-36. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 32-24, compared to 39-47 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.3, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.2.
The Cleveland Guardians are on the road facing the Los Angeles Dodgers today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is exactly the average number of runs the Guardians and their opponents have combined to score in their games this season. Cleveland’s over/under record for the season is 65-66, and their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, the Guardians’ over/under record is 20-19. Overall, 28 of Cleveland’s games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 19.7% of their games this season.
Cleveland is sending right-hander Tanner Bibee to the mound today vs. the Dodgers. He has made 27 starts this season and has a record of 11-6 with a 3.56 ERA. So far, Bibee has turned in nine quality starts, and opponents are batting .225 this season. In his last outing, Bibee picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run. Looking back further, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight starts before that. Bibee’s ERA at home is 4.96 compared to 2.79 on the road.
Coming into today’s game, the Guardians are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. At home, they have been even better, averaging 4.9 runs per contest, which is 6th in the MLB. Cleveland is also 12th in home runs this season and have done a good job of avoiding strikeouts, as they are 3rd in the league in this category. One area they have struggled is with their team batting average of .238, which is 16th in the league.
Andrés Giménez has been swinging a hot bat for the Guardians, going 8/25 in his last six games with two homers. Lane Thomas has also been hitting well, going 8/20 in his last six games. Both players come into the game on a hitting streak, with Giménez’s streak at six games and Thomas’ at three. For the season, José Ramirez is hitting .271 with 34 homers and 106 RBIs, while Josh Naylor is batting .243 with 29 homers and 100 RBIs.
With an overall record of 85-57, the Dodgers lead the NL West by five games over the Padres. The Dodgers are 24-19 in divisional games this season and have gone 45-25 as the home favorite. So far, they are 39-32 on the road and have been good at home, putting together a mark of 46-25.
Los Angeles has gone 7-3 across their last ten games and are currently tied with the Guardians in their series. This season, the Dodgers have gone 80-46 as the favorite, compared to 5-11 as the underdog. So far this year, their series record is 27-17-3.
Los Angeles has a run line record of 36-35 at home this season, and they have an average run margin of 1.0 runs per game at Dodger Stadium. Their overall run line record is 71-71, with an average run margin of 0.8 runs per game.
The Los Angeles Dodgers are playing host to the Cleveland Guardians today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Dodgers have played in 55 games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs this season, and their record in those games is 32-23. The combined run average in their games this season is 9.2 runs per game, and the average over/under line for their games is 9 runs.
Jack Flaherty will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in 5 2/3 innings of work. In that outing vs. the Diamondbacks, he only gave up five hits and issued three walks. Flaherty finished with seven strikeouts in that outing. Looking back over his last four outings, he has given up at least two home runs in two of those starts. For the season, Flaherty has a record of 11-6 and an ERA of 3.01. His WHIP for the season is 1.04. Opponents are batting .216 off Flaherty this year.
Shohei Ohtani has been a force in the Dodgers lineup this season, as he is batting .289 with 45 home runs and 100 RBIs, which is 4th in the league. Ohtani’s 45 home runs are 2nd in the league and the best mark on the Dodgers. Teoscar Hernandez is also having a strong season, with 28 homers and 87 RBIs, which is 2nd on the team.
Los Angeles comes into the game as one of the league’s top offenses, as they are 3rd in scoring at 5 runs per game. They are also one of the league’s top home run hitting teams and have the 5th best team batting average. Over their last six games, Freddie Freeman is hitting .333 with two homers, while Mookie Betts has gone 9/20 with two homers and eight RBIs. Betts also comes into the game on a seven-game hitting streak.
Given that the payout for a Dodgers win is -158, we would recommend locking that in on the money line. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Dodgers, giving you some room to take the over if you would like, as the line is currently sitting at 8.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Jack Flaherty is projected to finish with eight strikeouts compared to Tanner Bibee with seven. Flaherty is also projected to give up fewer runs than Bibee, and we have him as the starter with the third-best chance of picking up a win.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Tips
- Take the Dodgers on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Guardians (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Los Angeles Dodgers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Kelly | Out | Shoulder |
| Clayton Kershaw | Out | Toe |
| Tyler Glasnow | Out | Elbow |
| Teoscar Hernández | Doubtful | Foot |
| Dustin May | Out | Elbow |
| Brusdar Graterol | Out | Hamstring |
| Tony Gonsolin | Out | Arm |
| Connor Brogdon | Out | Foot |
| Gavin Stone | Out | Shoulder |
| River Ryan | Out | Elbow |
| Emmet Sheehan | Out | Elbow |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | Out | Rotator Cuff |
Cleveland Guardians Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Carrasco | Out | Hip |
| Alex Cobb | Questionable | Finger |
| Sam Hentges | Out | Shoulder |
| Shane Bieber | Out | Elbow |
| Trevor Stephan | Out | Elbow |
| James Karinchak | Out | Shoulder |
