Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins Prediction & Betting Tips 9/7/2024

Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins Preview

At 7:15 PM ET, the Twins and Royals will face off in an AL Central matchup. This one is being played at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, and the forecast calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-70s. Minnesota is 76-65, while the Royals are 77-65.

The money line odds have the Twins at -141 compared to the Royals at +120, and the over/under line is currently at 8 runs. FOX will be televising this one, and Alec Marsh is starting for the Royals, while the Twins are going with Bailey Ober.

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Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Trends and Key Stats

• Across their last five road games, the Twins are 2-3. This includes going 0-5 vs. the runline.
• The Royals, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 0-5 (SU) and 1-4 record.
• In their last ten games as the favorite, the Twins have a straight-up record of 5-5 and a runline record of 2-8.
• When playing as the underdog, the Royals have a 7-3 record against the runline and a 8-2 straight-up record in their last ten games.

Thanks to a five-run 5th inning for the Royals’ offense, they cruised to a 5-0 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Royals were favored at -141 on the money line.

Kansas City got to Twins starter Zebby Matthews, who gave up four earned runs in just five innings of work and took the loss. As for the Royals, they got a good outing from Cole Ragans, who gave up just four hits and no earned runs across six innings of work and got the win.

Michael Massey was the only Royals hitter to have more than one hit, as he went 3/3 with a home run. Hunter Renfroe also had a two-hit game and drove in two runs.

Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins Prediction

Minnesota is five games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead, and they trail the Royals by a half-game for the second spot in the division. So far, they have gone 28-18 against other teams in the AL Central. The Twins are 76-65 overall and have gone 4-6 over their last ten games.

At home, the Twins have gone 39-30 this season and are just above .500 at 37-35 on the road. As the favorite, the Twins have gone 60-37 this season and 28-14 as the favorite on the road. Minnesota’s overall series record is 24-16-4 this year.

Minnesota has been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 37-35. The Twins have an average run margin of 0.3 runs per game, and their overall run line record is 66-75. They have been a better bet on the road than at home, where they are 29-40 on the run line. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.7 runs per game, compared to -3.6 runs per game in losses. As the favorite, they are 43-54 on the run line, while they are 23-21 as the underdog.

Minnesota is on the road against the Royals today, and the O/U line is set at 8 runs. The Twins have been involved in high-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 9.1 runs per game. Their O/U record for the season is 71-65, and when the line is set at 8 runs, they are 12-17-4. Overall, 39.0% of their games this season have had O/U lines set higher than 8 runs.

Minnesota is starting right-hander Bailey Ober today vs. the Royals, and he comes in with a record of 12-6 and an ERA of 3.95. So far, he has made 26 starts, and opponents are batting .207 this season. Ober has turned in 16 quality starts and is averaging 9.43 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his last outing, Ober finished with a no-decision vs. the Blue Jays, giving up one earned run in six innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts.

Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers are tied for the team lead in home runs this season, with both players having gone deep 20 times. However, Santana is batting just .236 this season, and he has really struggled of late, hitting just .219 over his last 10 games. Jeffers is also batting under .240 for the season, coming in at .237.

Byron Buxton is batting .275 for the season and is 2nd on the team with 16 homers. Willi Castro is 3rd on the team with 52 RBIs and is batting .248 for the season. Jose Miranda has been hot of late, batting .333 over his last 10 games.

Kansas City is 77-65 overall and 4.5 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. The Royals have gone 31-16 in AL Central play this year. The Royals have won two straight games, but they are just 3-7 over their last 10 games.

At home, the Royals are 43-30 this year and 34-35 on the road. Kansas City has dropped six straight games as the underdog, and they are 32-39 as the underdog overall. As the favorite, the Royals are 45-26 this year. So far, the Royals have an overall series record of 20-22-2, and they have dropped two straight series.

The Royals have been a solid run line bet this season, going 78-64 overall. They have been especially good at home, where they are 41-32 against the run line. Their average run differential is +0.7 runs per game, and they have covered the run line in two straight games.

The Kansas City Royals are at home today, where they have an over/under record of 64-73. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 8 runs, which is right around their season average of 8.9 runs per game. When the line has been set at 8 runs this season, the Royals have gone over 14 times, under 12 times, and pushed three times. Their games have gone over the total in 62.0% of their contests this season, and they are currently on a two-game under streak.

Kansas City is starting right-hander Alec Marsh vs. the Twins today. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 7-8 with a 4.70 ERA. Marsh’s WHIP for the season is 1.24, and opponents are batting .242 off him this year. In his last outing, Marsh took the loss, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work vs. the Astros. He has allowed at least one homer in three straight outings. Marsh has made five quality starts this year and is averaging 8.11 strikeouts per nine innings.

For the season, the Royals are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are 5th in batting average and have the 2nd fewest strikeouts per game in the league. The Royals’ lineup has been very good at avoiding strikeouts but are just 26th in walks.

Over his last seven games, Bobby Witt Jr. is just 5/26, but he does have two homers in this stretch. For the season, he is batting .337 with 30 homers and 97 RBIs. Salvador Perez and Vinnie Pasquantino are also having strong seasons, with Perez batting .271 with 25 homers and Pasquantino at 19 homers and a batting average of .262.

Our pick for today’s Twins vs. Royals matchup is to take the Royals on the money line, with the payout sitting at +120. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Royals, and we see this as a great opportunity to take advantage of the higher payout.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Alec Marsh of the Royals has a better chance of picking up a win than Bailey Ober of the Twins. Marsh is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is 17th among starters, and Ober is predicted to finish with five K’s, which is eighth worst.

Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins Betting Tips

• We like the Royals on the moneyline (+120)
• The Royals are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Kansas City Royals Injury Report

Minnesota Twins Injury Report