Atlanta Braves vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction & Betting Tips 9/6/2024

Atlanta Braves vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview

Max Fried and the Braves (76-64) will look to keep their winning streak alive, as they have won three straight and are 5th in the NL East. The Blue Jays (67-74) will send Kevin Gausman to the mound, and they are 5th in the AL East. This interleague matchup has the Braves as the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -178. The Blue Jays are +150 underdogs. First pitch from Truist Park in Atlanta is set for 7:20 PM ET. BSSE will be televising Friday’s Braves-Blue Jays matchup.

Currently, the over/under line is at 8 runs, and the forecast for Friday’s game calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the mid-70s. Toronto has lost three straight, while the Braves have won three in a row.

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Atlanta Braves vs. Toronto Blue Jays Trends and Key Stats

• The Blue Jays are 2-3 in their five most recent road games, including a 3-2 runline record.
• In the Braves’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 2-3 (SU) with 4-1 against the spread.
• As the favorite, the Braves are 8-2 over their last ten games, including going 7-3 vs. the runline.
• Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Blue Jays have a 3-7 straight-up record and a 5-5 record vs. the runline.

Atlanta Braves vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

The Blue Jays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Phillies with a 4-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Phillies scored three runs in the top of the 9th. Toronto was the +109 underdog at home going into the game.

Bowden Francis put together a good start for the Blue Jays, going six innings and giving up just three earned runs, and striking out six. However, the Blue Jays couldnjson’t close things out, and Francis took the loss. Toronto’s offense scored their only two runs in the 2nd inning and didn’t have a hit after the 2nd.

The Blue Jays are 67-74 overall and trail the Orioles by 14 games in the AL East. Currently, they are in 5th place in the division and are 20-26 against other AL East teams. Toronto is on a three-game losing streak heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Braves.

So far, the Blue Jays have dropped two straight games as the road underdog. They are 33-39 on the road this year compared to a 34-35 mark at home. As the underdog, the Blue Jays are 26-46 this year and 41-28 when favored. Looking at their overall series record, the Blue Jays are 16-23-6 and lost two straight series.

The Blue Jays have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 71-70 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, where they are 46-26. They have covered the run line in their last two road games and have a scoring margin of -0.1 runs per game away from home.

Today’s over/under line of 8 runs is right in line with the average for the Toronto Blue Jays this season, as their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game. Overall, the Blue Jays have gone over the total in 74 of their 138 games this season, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, they have gone over in 23 of 38 games. Their games have had an over/under line set at 8 runs in 70 of their 141 games this season, which is 49.6% of their games.

Toronto is sending right-hander Kevin Gausman to the mound today as he faces the Braves on the road. Gausman has made 27 starts this year and has a record of 12-10 with a 4.07 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Gausman has a WHIP of 1.23 and opponents are batting .234 this year. He has turned in 13 quality starts, along with two complete games and one shutout. In his last outing, Gausman took the loss, giving up two earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

For the season, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. They have been a bit below average in terms of power, as their 145 home runs is 19th in the MLB. As a team, they are batting .242, which is 13th in the league. Toronto’s offense has been led by Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who is batting .328 for the season with 28 homers and 92 RBIs.

Guerrero Jr. has been especially hot of late, going 13/30 in his last seven games. Daulton Varsho has also been swinging a hot bat, but he is hitting just .207 in his last seven games. Varsho does have three homers in that stretch, though. Varsho and Guerrero Jr. are both on three-game hitting streaks.

The Braves will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rockies with a 3-1 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Rockies scored three runs in the top of the 9th. Atlanta was the -280 favorite at home going into the game.

Reynaldo Lopez was excellent for the Braves, going six innings and giving up just two hits and one earned run while striking out 11. However, the Braves couldnjson’t close things out, and Lopez took the loss. Marcell Ozuna was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with a run scored.

With a record of 76-64, the Braves are 3rd in the NL East and trail the Phillies by eight games for the division lead. Atlanta is 23-21 against other teams in the NL East. The Braves are playing at home today, where they are 38-29 this season.

Atlanta has gone 38-35 on the road this season. As the favorite, the Braves have gone 64-48 and 12-16 as the underdog. They closed out their series vs. the Rockies with a win and are 6-4 over their last 10 games. So far this year, they have an overall series record of 25-16-5.

When the Braves win, they win big. Their average run differential in victories is +3.6, but they have been outscored by an average of -3.2 runs in their losses. Overall, their run differential is +0.5 runs per game, and they are 67-73 against the run line. They are 28-39 against the run line at home and 39-34 on the road.

Today’s over/under line for the Atlanta Braves game against the Toronto Blue Jays is set at 8 runs. The Braves have a combined run average of 8.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 51-84. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 8-15-1. The over has hit in 57.1% of their games this season, and they are currently on a five-game under streak.

Max Fried is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Phillies, as he gets the start for the Braves vs. the Blue Jays today. In that start vs. the Phillies, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in seven innings of work. Looking back over his last four outings, Fried has given up three earned runs in three of them. Fried’s record for the season is 8-8, and his ERA is 3.52. Out of his 24 starts, Fried has 12 quality starts, two complete games, and one shutout. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.32 strikeouts and 3.2 walks.

Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ top hitter this season, as he is batting .307 with 37 home runs and 98 RBIs, which are both good for 5th in the league. Ozuna is also currently on a four-game hitting streak. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 25 homers but is batting just .231 overall and has gone 6/26 in his last seven games.

Overall, the Braves are 4th in home runs and are averaging 4.3 runs per game. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.6 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .241 and are 12th in slugging percentage.

There are a few ways you could look to bet on this Blue Jays and Braves matchup, but we like the over, with the line being set at 8 runs. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Braves, giving us some wiggle room on the over/under line.

If you are looking for a money line pick, the payout for a Braves win is -178, and we have them winning this one. If you are looking for a parlay, you could pair a Braves win with the over.

Atlanta Braves vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Tips

• Take the Braves on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Blue Jays (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Atlanta Braves Injury Report

Toronto Blue Jays Injury Report