Colorado Rockies vs Miami Marlins Preview
Both the Marlins and Rockies are 5th in their respective divisions, as the Marlins are 48-85 overall, and the Rockies are 50-84. Today’s matchup is set for 3:10 PM from Coors Field in Denver, and the Rockies are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -125. The money line odds for a Marlins win are at +106. The over/under line is currently at 11.5 runs.
Bradley Blalock is set to start for the Rockies, while the Marlins will send Valente Bellozo to the mound. This game will be televised on BSFL.
Check out BetCoco for Colorado Rockies – Miami Marlins odds
Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlins Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Marlins are 2-3. This includes going 2-3 vs. the runline.
- In the Rockies’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 1-4 (SU) with 1-4 against the spread.
- Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Rockies have won 3-7 straight-up, and have a 2-8 record vs. the runline.
- When playing as the underdog, the Marlins have won 3-7 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 3-7 against the runline.
Thanks to a six-run 6th inning for the Rockies’ offense, they cruised to an easy 8-2 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Rockies were favored at -137 on the money line.
Both teams scored one run in the 1st inning, and the Marlins could only muster one more run in the 4th inning. As for the Rockies, they scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 5th, and their offense exploded for six more in the 6th. After that, they didn’t score another run.
Kyle Freeland pitched well for the Rockies in this one, going six innings and giving up just two earned runs. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued four walks. Max Meyer struggled on the mound for the Marlins, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work.
Colorado Rockies vs Miami Marlins Prediction
Miami is 48-85 overall, putting them 5th in the NL East, 30 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 13-26 against other teams in the NL East. The Marlins are on a three-game losing streak in series, and their overall series record is 10-26-6 this year.
At home, the Marlins are 25-44 this year compared to a 23-41 mark on the road. This season, the Marlins are just 4-13 when favored and 44-72 as the underdog. Miami has dropped three of their last four games and are just 3-7 over their last 10.
The Marlins have been a solid run line team this season, going 61-72 overall. They have been a better bet on the road, where they are 32-32 against the run line. They have been an underdog in most games, and that has been a profitable angle, as they are 59-57 against the run line in those games. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.8, while it drops to -3.8 in losses.
The Miami Marlins are on the road against the Colorado Rockies today. The O/U line for the game is set at 11.5 runs. The Marlins have played 129 games this season, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game. Their O/U record for the season is 73-56. The average O/U line for their games this season has been set at 8 runs. When the O/U line has been set at 11.5 runs this season, the over is 1-0. This is the first game this season where the O/U line has been set at 11.5 runs.
Miami is sending right-hander Valente Bellozo to the mound today as he faces the Rockies on the road. Bellozo has made seven starts this year and has a record of 2-2 with a 3.35 ERA. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had put together three straight scoreless outings. Bellozo’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.25, and opponents are batting .234 off him this year. Per nine innings, he is averaging 6.69 strikeouts and 3.11 walks.
For the season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.7 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and have the worst walk rate in the MLB. As a team, they are batting .240, which is 12th in the league.
Jake Burger has been the Marlins’ top power threat this season, as his 25 homers are 12th in the league. Burger is also batting .248 and has driven in 59 runs, which is also the top mark on the team. Jesús Sánchez has also been a solid power threat, with 17 homers and 56 RBIs. Sánchez has gone 5/13 in his last four games, with two homers and eight RBIs.
Colorado is 50-84 overall and trail the Dodgers by 29.5 games in the NL West. So far, they have gone just 15-28 in divisional games. The Rockies are closing out the series vs. the Marlins today with a 2-1 series lead, and they are 5-5 across their last 10 games.
At home, the Rockies are 31-34 this year compared to just 19-50 on the road. So far, the Rockies have really struggled as the underdog, going 48-83 this year. Colorado’s overall series record is 10-29-3, and they have dropped two straight series.
The Rockies have been a solid bet on the run line this season, as they are 67-67 overall. They have been a better bet at home, where they are 35-30 on the run line. In games where they are the underdog, they are 66-65 on the run line. Their average run margin for the season is -1.5 runs per game.
Colorado Rockies games have averaged 10.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 67-64. The average over/under line in their games this season has been 9 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 11.5 runs is 4-5. Only 4.5% of their games this season have had over/under lines set at 11.5 runs, with the majority of their games having lower lines.
Bradley Blalock is getting the start for the Rockies today as they take on the Marlins. This is his 3rd start of the season, and he has a win and a no-decision so far. He got the win in his last outing against the Yankees, going 5 1/3 innings and striking out 5. In his first start, he went 5 2/3 innings, giving up 1 run on 6 hits.
Colorado’s offense has been a lot better at home this season, averaging 5 runs per game compared to just 3.6 runs per game on the road. Overall, they are 18th in the league at 4.3 runs per contest. The Rockies are batting .244 as a team, which is right around the league average, and they have the 10th ranked on-base percentage in the league.
One thing to watch in this game will be the Rockies’ team leaders in home runs, as Ezequiel Tovar, Brenton Doyle, and Michael Toglia are all tied for the team lead with 21 homers. Tovar has been hot of late, going 7/19 in his last four games with two homers and six RBIs. Doyle has also been swinging a hot bat, going 8/20 in his last five games.
Our predictions for this one have the Rockies picking up a 5-4 win over the Marlins, and we will be going with the Rockies on the money line at -125. Offensively, we actually have the Rockies finishing with the 15th most runs in the league today, and we have them finishing with just nine hits.
As for the Marlins, they are projected to finish with just four runs and will finish with the second-fewest hits in the league. If you are looking for a player prop, Bradley Blalock has the highest strikeout projection among starters with seven.
Colorado Rockies vs Miami Marlins Betting Tips
- Take the Rockies on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Marlins (+1.5)
- Our MLB model projects 9 runs, and we suggest taking the under
Colorado Rockies Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Bard | Out | Forearm |
| Kris Bryant | Out | Back |
| Germán Márquez | Out | Elbow |
| Antonio Senzatela | Out | Elbow |
| Dakota Hudson | Out | Elbow |
| Victor Vodnik | Out | Bicep |
| Lucas Gilbreath | Out | Shoulder |
Miami Marlins Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Sandy Alcantara | Out | Elbow |
| Braxton Garrett | Out | Elbow |
| Jesús Luzardo | Out | Back |
| Sixto Sánchez | Out | Shoulder |
| Xavier Edwards | Out | Back |
| Ryan Weathers | Out | Finger |
| Dane Myers | Out | Ankle |
| Anthony Bender | Out | Undisclosed |
| Eury Pérez | Out | Elbow |
| Josh Simpson | Out | Elbow |
| Andrew Nardi | Out | Elbow |
