St. Louis Cardinals vs San Diego Padres Prediction & Betting Tips 8/26/2024

St. Louis Cardinals vs San Diego Padres Preview

The forecast from St. Louis on Monday calls for broken clouds and temperatures near 100 degrees. First pitch for this NL matchup is set for 7:45 PM ET from Busch Stadium. San Diego is 3rd in the NL West with a record of 74-58, while the Cardinals are 2nd in the NL Central at 65-65.

Kyle Gibson will start for the Cardinals, while the Padres are sending Randy Vasquez to the mound. The over/under line is currently at 9.5 runs, and the Padres are slight money line favorites, with their odds sitting at -109 compared to the Cardinals at -110.

Check out BetCoco for St. Louis Cardinals – San Diego Padres odds

St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres Trends and Key Stats

• Across their last five road games, the Padres are 2-3. This includes going 1-4 vs. the runline.
• In the Cardinals’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 2-3 (SU) with 2-3 against the spread.
• The Padres are 5-5 in their last ten games as the favorite and 5-5 as the underdog.
• The Cardinals have a 4-6 record when favored, while their record as the underdog is 5-5.

St. Louis Cardinals vs San Diego Padres Prediction

The Padres’s offense was carried by Jurickson Profar in their most recent game vs. the Mets. They picked up a 3-2 win and Profar went 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs. The Padres really needed this win, as they had lost three of their last four games. San Diego was the slight favorite at -121 at home going into the game.

Martin Perez got the start for the Padres, going 3 2/3 innings, and picked up the win. He only gave up one run on four hits and issued just three walks. The Padres’s bullpen was excellent, as Robert Suarez closed things out in the 9th, and the Padres also got a scoreless 8th inning from their relievers.

San Diego is on the road today vs. the Cardinals, and they are 74-58 overall, putting them 3rd in the NL West. The Padres are 4.5 games behind the Dodgers for the lead in the NL West and are 20-20 in divisional matchups this year. The team split their series with the Mets and are 5-5 over their last 10 games.

At home, the Padres have gone 37-32 this year while going 37-26 on the road. San Diego’s overall series record is 26-14-4, and they are 47-36 as the favorite compared to 27-22 as the underdog. As the road favorite, the Padres have gone 17-12 this year.

San Diego has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 68-64 overall. They have been especially profitable on the road, where they are 41-22 on the run line. The Padres have been a better bet as the underdog, going 34-15 on the run line in those games. Their average run differential in wins is +3.7, while it is -3.6 in losses.

San Diego Padres games have gone over the total in 71 of 131 games this season, and their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game. Today’s over/under line of 9.5 runs is the eighth time this season the Padres have had a line that high, and they are 6-2 in those games. Overall, the average over/under line in Padres games this season is 8 runs per game.

Right-hander Randy Vásquez gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Cardinals on the road. Vásquez has made 17 starts this year and has a record of 3-6 with an ERA of 4.63. So far, he has turned in four quality starts and is averaging just 5.84 strikeouts per nine innings. Vásquez’s ERA on the road is 7.99, compared to 3.52 at home. In his most recent outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. The Padres would likely be happy with a similar outing today.

San Diego comes into today’s game with the league’s top batting average at .265, and they are also the top home run hitting team in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. The Padres have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest.

Jurickson Profar has been the Padres’ top power threat this season, as his 21 homers lead the team and are 14th in the league. Profar is also batting .291 overall and has gone 7/23 with two homers over his last six games. Manny Machado is also a big power threat in the lineup, as he has 20 homers this season and is batting .270.

Heading into their last game vs. the Twins, the Cardinals closed out the series with a 3-2 win. St. Louis was the +121 underdog on the money line going into this matchup. It was the Cardinals’s offense that carried them to the win, as they scored their three runs on eight hits and only hit one home run.

Erick Fedde put together a good start for the Cardinals, going six innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. He also issued only three walks and struck out seven Twins batters. Victor Scott II was the big hitter for the Cardinals, going 1/4 with a homer and scoring the team’s other two runs.

St. Louis is at an even 65-65 this season, and they are 10 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Cardinals are 19-23 in divisional games this season and have an overall series record of 21-18-4. St. Louis has won two straight series and closed out their series vs. the Twins with a win.

At home, the Cardinals are 34-30 this season and 31-35 on the road. As the underdog, the Cardinals have gone 33-32 this season compared to 32-33 as the favorite.

Despite being under .500 against the run line overall, the Cardinals have been a profitable team to back at home, where they have gone 32-32 vs. the run line. They have covered in two straight games at home and have been a better bet as the underdog, going 43-22 vs. the run line in those games.

The Cardinals have been a consistent under team this season, with an average combined run total of 8.6 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 61-66, and their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 9.5 runs, the Cardinals have gone 3-4 to the over. Only 1.5% of their games this season have had a higher line than 9.5 runs, and their current under streak is at 4 games.

Cardinals starter Kyle Gibson will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Reds, where he gave up six earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up two homers. Against the Padres, Gibson will look to replicate his outing vs. the Rays on August 8th, where he went six innings, giving up just two earned runs and coming away with a no-decision. Gibson’s ERA for the season is 4.22, along with a record of 7-5. For the year, he has allowed 18 homers and is averaging 3.43 walks per nine innings.

St. Louis comes into the game with the 24th ranked scoring offense in the league, averaging 4.1 runs per game. Their home and road splits are very similar, with the Cardinals averaging 4.3 runs per game at home and 3.9 on the road. As a team, they are batting .245, which is 10th in the league, and have the 10th fewest strikeouts in the MLB this season.

Right fielder Alec Burleson has been the Cardinals’ top power hitter this season, as his 21 home runs lead the team and are 14th in the league. He is also the team’s leading run producer, with 70 RBIs. Nolan Arenado has also been a big power threat for the Cardinals, as he has 14 homers and is batting .273 this season. Arenado has been hot of late, going 11/33 in his last eight games with two homers.

With the Padres taking on the Cardinals, we like the Padres to pick up the win on the road. If you’re looking to take this game on the money line, you can get the Padres at -109. We actually have the Padres winning this one by a score of 6-5.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Randy Vásquez going seven innings and finishing with five strikeouts. As for Kyle Gibson, he is projected to go five innings and finish with four K’s.

St. Louis Cardinals vs San Diego Padres Betting Tips

• We like the Padres on the moneyline (-109)
• The Padres are also our pick on the spread at -1.5
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

St. Louis Cardinals Injury Report

San Diego Padres Injury Report