Cleveland Guardians vs Texas Rangers Preview
From Progressive Field in Cleveland, we have a Rangers-Guardians matchup. This one gets started at 7:10 PM ET, and it is being televised by BSGL. The Guardians are favored on the money line (-139), while the Rangers are 3rd in the AL West with a record of 59-69.
The forecast for Friday’s game calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the mid-70s. Texas will be sending Nathan Eovaldi to the mound, while the Guardians have Tanner Bibee. Cleveland is currently on a two-game losing streak, but they are 1st in the AL Central with a record of 73-54.
Check out BetCoco for Cleveland Guardians – Texas Rangers odds
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers Trends and Key Stats
- The Rangers are 2-3 in their five most recent road games, including a 4-1 runline record.
- In the Guardians’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 1-4 (SU) with 2-3 against the spread.
- The Guardians have a straight-up record of 7-3 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
- Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Rangers have a straight-up record of 3-7 and a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
Cleveland Guardians vs Texas Rangers Prediction
Heading into their last game vs. the Pirates, the Rangers closed out the series with a 1-0 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -153. Offensively, the Rangers only scored one run on six hits and didn’t hit a home run.
Andrew Heaney got the start for the Rangers, going five innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out eight Pirates batters. Kirby Yates picked up the save out of the bullpen, and the Rangers’s offense scored their only run in the 3rd inning.
Texas will be on the road today vs. the Guardians with an overall record of 59-69, putting them 10.5 games behind the Astros for the AL West lead. So far, they have gone 14-18 in AL West matchups. The Rangers closed out their series vs. the Pirates with two straight wins to take the series 2-1.
At home, the Rangers have gone 34-31 this season, and they are just under .500 at 25-38 on the road. As the favorite, the Rangers have gone 39-31 this season, and they are 20-38 as the underdog. Texas’ overall series record is 16-24-1 this season, and they are 4-6 over their last 10 games.
The Rangers have been a poor bet on the run line this season, as they are just 53-75. They have been particularly bad at home, going 25-40. They have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 31-27, compared to just 22-48 as the favorite. Their average run differential in games they’ve won is +3.7, while it’s -3.7 in games they’ve lost.
The Texas Rangers are on the road today against the Cleveland Guardians with the over/under line set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Rangers games this season is 8.7 runs, and their over/under record is 56-67. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 6-7. Overall, 85.2% of their games this season have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, and they are currently on a 3-game under streak.
Texas is sending right-hander Nathan Eovaldi to the mound today vs. the Guardians. Eovaldi has made 22 starts this year and has a record of 8-7 with a 3.76 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Eovaldi has a WHIP of 1.09 and has turned in 11 quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.72 strikeouts compared to just 2.06 walks. Eovaldi has lost each of his last three starts, most recently giving up three earned runs in seven innings of work vs. the Twins. Before this stretch, he had won three straight starts.
Corey Seager has been one of the Rangers’ top power threats this season, as he is 1st on the team with 28 homers and is batting .271. However, he has struggled of late, hitting just .217 over his last six games. Marcus Semien has been swinging the bat well, going 9/30 in his last seven games, including one home run.
As a team, the Rangers are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. They have been a bit better on the road, averaging 4.4 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting just .238 and have the 15th most home runs in the league. Currently, their team batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage are all below the league average.
Cleveland closed out their series vs. the Yankees with a 6-0 loss. Heading into the game, the Guardians were the +164 underdog on the money line. Things really got away from the Guardians in the 4th inning, as the Yankees scored four runs in the inning. Cleveland’s offense scored their only run in the 2nd.
Gavin Williams got the start for the Guardians and took the loss. He only lasted 4 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs. Cleveland’s offense was held to just one hit and scored their only run on a New York error. The Guardians also issued six walks.
Cleveland is hosting the Rangers with an overall record of 73-54, which has them leading the AL Central by 2 games over the Royals. The Guardians head into today’s game having dropped two straight, losing the final two games of their series vs. the Yankees. So far, they have gone 21-17 in divisional games.
At home, the Guardians are 38-20 this season and have gone 35-34 on the road. As the favorite, Cleveland has gone 50-26 this season and 23-28 as the underdog. They have won three straight games at home, and their overall series record is 23-13-5.
When the Guardians win, they tend to win by an average of 3.3 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.2 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 62-65, and they have been a better bet on the run line on the road than at home, going 35-34 vs. 27-31. They have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 29-22 vs. 33-43 as the favorite.
The Cleveland Guardians are at home today against the Texas Rangers, with the over/under line set at 7.5 runs. The Guardians have played 87 games this season with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, which is 68.5% of their games. Their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 60-58. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 16-17, and the average over/under line for their games this season is 8 runs.
Tanner Bibee gets the start for the Guardians today and comes into the game with a record of 10-5 and an ERA of 3.33. So far this year, he has made 24 starts, and opponents are batting .220 off the right-hander. Bibee’s last outing came on August 17th, where he took the loss, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. In his 24 starts, Bibee has turned in eight quality starts and is averaging 9.79 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed 16 home runs.
Over his last nine games, Jhonkensy Noel has been swinging a hot bat for the Guardians, going 8/28 with four homers and seven RBIs. For the season, José Ramirez and Josh Naylor are the team’s top home run hitters, with 32 and 27 homers, respectively. Ramirez’s 101 RBIs are 2nd in the league, while Naylor is 7th in the MLB with 89 RBIs.
As a team, the Guardians are averaging 4.5 runs per game and are one of the league’s top home run-hitting clubs. They have been a better offensive team at home this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game. Overall, they are batting just .236 (18th) and have the league’s worst BABIP at .27. Cleveland comes into the game as one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts.
Our predicted score for this one is 6-5 in favor of the Rangers, which would make a money line bet at +118 a great value. We actually have the Rangers’ offense finishing with the most hits in all of baseball today, and they are also projected to hit the most home runs.
As for the Guardians, they are projected to finish with the seventh-most strikeouts in the league today, and their starter, Tanner Bibee, is projected to finish with six K’s. However, we have Bibee finishing with the seventh-worst ERA among starters today.
Cleveland Guardians vs Texas Rangers Betting Tips
- We like the Rangers on the moneyline (+118)
- The Rangers are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Cleveland Guardians Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Carrasco | Out | Hip |
| Alex Cobb | Out | Finger |
| Sam Hentges | Out | Shoulder |
| Shane Bieber | Out | Elbow |
| Trevor Stephan | Out | Elbow |
| James Karinchak | Out | Shoulder |
Texas Rangers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Max Scherzer | Out | Shoulder |
| Jacob deGrom | Out | Elbow |
| Tyler Mahle | Out | Shoulder |
| Josh Sborz | Out | Shoulder |
| Cole Winn | Out | Shoulder |
| Evan Carter | Out | Back |
| Carson Coleman | Out | Elbow |
| Jacob Latz | Out | Forearm |
