Washington Nationals vs Colorado Rockies Preview
Washington comes into this one with a record of 56-70 and are 4th in the NL East, while the Rockies are 5th in the NL West with an overall record of 47-79. Mitchell Parker is starting for the Nationals, and the Rockies are going with Tanner Gordon.
The Nationals are the heavy money line favorite for this one, with the odds sitting at -160 compared to the Rockies at +135. Wednesday’s over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and the game will be televised on MASN.
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Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies Trends and Key Stats
- The Rockies are 1-4 in their five most recent road games, including a 3-2 runline record.
- The Nationals, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 1-4 (SU) and 2-3 record.
- Over their last ten games as the favorite, the Nationals have a straight-up record of 4-6, while going 3-7 against the runline.
- When playing as the underdog, the Rockies have won 5-5 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 7-3 against the runline.
Colorado picked up a 3-1 win over the Nationals in the most recent game of this series. The Rockies offense got off to a fast start, scoring one run in the first and adding two more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Nationals got on the board with one run in the 5th and couldn’t muster any more offense.
Austin Gomber started for the Rockies and picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued two walks. As for the Nationals, DJ Herz got the start and took the loss, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs.
At the plate, the Rockies were led by Brenton Doyle, Ezequiel Tovar, and Ryan McMahon, as they were the only three Rockies hitters to have more than one hit. Doyle. Washington’s top hitter was CJ Abrams, who went 1/4 with a home run.
Washington Nationals vs Colorado Rockies Prediction
With an overall record of 47-79, the Rockies are 5th in the NL West, and they trail the Dodgers by 27.5 games for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 15-28 in divisional games. The Rockies have won two straight games, and they are 5-5 over their last 10.
Colorado has gone 29-33 at home this year, and they are just 18-46 on the road. As the road underdog, the Rockies are 18-46 this season, and they are 10-27-3 in series this year. This year, the Rockies are yet to win a series as the favorite.
Colorado is 65-61 against the run line this season, with a -1.5 run differential per game. The Rockies are 31-33 against the run line on the road, where they have a -2.2 run differential per game. They have covered the run line in two straight games as the underdog.
The Colorado Rockies are on the road today against the Washington Nationals, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average in Rockies games this season is 10.1, and their over/under record is 63-60. The average over/under line in their games is 9 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 8-9. Overall, 58.7% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs, and their current under streak is at 2 games.
Through six starts, Tanner Gordon has yet to pick up a win, as he is 0-4 with a 7.00 ERA. Opponents have hit .318 off the right-hander this season. Gordon’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.48. In his last outing, he lasted just two-thirds of an inning, giving up three earned runs, three hits, and two homers. He finished with the loss in that outing. Gordon has allowed at least one homer in three of his last four starts. The only time he had a quality start was August 3rd against the Padres.
Colorado’s offense has been good at home this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. Overall, they are 17th in the league at 4.3 runs per game. The Rockies are also near the top of the league in terms of batting average and have the 3rd best BABIP in the league. As a team, they are 12th in slugging percentage.
Michael Toglia, Brenton Doyle, and Ezequiel Tovar are all tied for the team lead in home runs this season. Toglia and Doyle are also 1st and 2nd on the team in RBIs. Tovar is batting .274 for the season, and Doyle comes in with a batting average of .269. Doyle has gone 9/27 in the team’s last seven games, while Brendan Rodgers has two homers in this stretch, batting .259.
Washington is 56-70 overall, and they are 17.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. So far, they have gone 17-18 in divisional games. The Nationals are coming off a loss in the first game of their series vs. the Rockies and have an overall series record of 16-21-3.
At home, the Nationals are 28-33 this season and 28-37 on the road. As the underdog, Washington is 46-59 this year and 10-11 when favored. Their overall record includes a mark of 6-8 as the favorite at home. Looking at their overall record, the Nationals have gone just 4-6 over their last 10 games.
Washington has a run line record of 70-56 on the season, including a 32-29 mark at home. They have a run line record of 38-27 on the road. They have failed to cover the run line in their last two home games, and are 3-9 against the run line as the favorite. They have a run line record of 61-44 as the underdog.
Washington has seen its games go over the total 63 times in 121 games this season. The average over/under line in Nationals games is 9 runs, but the line for today’s game against the Rockies is set at 8.5 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, Washington’s games have gone over 17 times and under 17 times. The combined run average in Nationals games this season is 9.0 runs per game.
Washington is sending left-hander Mitchell Parker to the mound today vs. the Rockies. He has made 22 starts this year and has a record of 6-7 with an ERA of 4.43. Parker’s WHIP for the season is 1.27, and opponents are batting .252 off him this year. In his last outing, Parker took the loss, giving up nine earned runs in three innings of work vs. the Phillies. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One positive note for Parker is that he has turned in eight quality starts this year. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.63 strikeouts and 2.41 walks.
Washington’s offense has been one of the league’s worst home run-hitting teams this season, and they are also near the bottom of the league in terms of isolated power. Overall, they are averaging just 4.2 runs per game this season, which is 18th in the league. However, they do have two of the league’s top home run hitters in CJ Abrams and Luis Garcia Jr.
CJ Abrams and Luis Garcia Jr. are the Nationals’ top two home run hitters and are also the top two players in terms of RBIs. Garcia Jr. comes into the game batting .294 and has 14 homers, while Abrams is batting just .248 but has gone deep 18 times. Alex Call has been hot of late, going 13/42 in his last 10 games.
Our prediction for today’s Rockies vs. Nationals game is that the Nationals will come out on top by a final score of 6-5. With the Nationals being at home, we like them on the money line, and you can get them at -160.
Looking at some of the starting pitcher projections, Mitchell Parker of the Nationals is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is good for sixth best among starters. As for Tanner Gordon, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is 20th best.
Offensively, we have the Rockies finishing with nine hits compared to the Nationals with nine. However, the Rockies are projected to finish with more strikeouts, and the Nationals are actually projected to hit fewer home runs.
Another reason we like the Nationals on the money line is that you can get them at -160, and we have them winning, which gives you a better payout compared to taking the over or under, as the line is currently sitting at 8.5 runs.
Washington Nationals vs Colorado Rockies Betting Tips
- Take the Nationals on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Rockies (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Washington Nationals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Trevor Williams | Out | Hip Flexor |
| Derek Law | Out | Elbow |
| Mason Thompson | Out | Elbow |
| Josiah Gray | Out | Elbow |
| Cade Cavalli | Out | Elbow |
Colorado Rockies Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Bard | Out | Forearm |
| Kris Bryant | Out | Back |
| Germán Márquez | Out | Elbow |
| Antonio Senzatela | Out | Elbow |
| Dakota Hudson | Out | Elbow |
| Ryan Feltner | Out | Shoulder |
