Milwaukee Brewers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction & Betting Tips 8/16/2024

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cleveland Guardians Preview

At 8:10 PM ET, the Guardians and Brewers will square off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Guardians are the AL Central’s top team with a record of 72-49. The Brewers are 1st in the NL Central at 69-52.

Cleveland comes into the game on a five-game winning streak, and they are favored on the money line tonight (-117). The Brewers have won two straight and they are starting Aaron Civale. The Guardians are starting Gavin Williams.

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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cleveland Guardians Trends and Key Stats

• Over the course of their previous five away games, the Guardians have recorded a 3-2 record, with a 2-3 performance on the runline.
• Conversely, the Brewers have achieved a 3-2 (SU) record and 3-2 record in their last five home games.
• Over the last ten games, Guardians has a record of 8-2 when playing as favorites and 4-6 when playing as underdogs.
• In their last ten games, the Brewers have a record of 5-5 as the favorite and 6-4 as the underdog.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction

Heading into their last game vs. the Cubs, the Guardians closed out the series with a 6-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -131 on the money line. It was a big 4th inning that turned things in their favor, and the Cubs could only score one run, which came in the 4th.

Alex Cobb put together a good start for the Guardians, going 5 2/3 innings, and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Cleveland’s offense was carried by Andrés Giménez, who went 3/4 with a double, three RBIs, and a run scored. The Guardians also had three other players with two hits.

Cleveland heads into today’s road matchup vs. the Brewers having won five straight games, and they lead the AL Central by four games over the Twins. So far, the Guardians are 21-17 in divisional games. At home, the Guardians have gone 38-20 this season and are 34-29 on the road.

The Guardians have an overall record of 72-49, and they are 50-25 when favored this year. As for their record as the underdog, it is 22-24. Cleveland closed out their series vs. the Cubs with three straight wins, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games.

When playing on the road, the Guardians have a run line record of 33-30, with an average run margin of 0.6 runs per game. They have covered the run line in two straight road games and are 27-19 against the run line as the underdog.

On the road against the Milwaukee Brewers, the Cleveland Guardians have an over/under line of 8 runs. The Guardians’ games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 58-55. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 11-10-4. In total, 57 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, which is 47.1% of their games. Their current under streak is at 2 games.

Gavin Williams gets the start for the Guardians today as he faces the Brewers on the road. So far this season, he has made eight starts and has a record of 2-4 with an ERA of 4.38. Williams’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.36. In his most recent outing, he pitched well, going six innings and giving up just one earned run. Williams finished that game with six strikeouts. Looking back at his last four starts, Williams has alternated between wins and losses. He has made two quality starts this year.

Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have been a strong 1-2 punch in the Cleveland lineup this season, as Ramirez’s 98 RBIs are 2nd in the league, and Naylor’s 88 RBIs are 5th. Ramirez is also 6th in the league with 31 homers, and Naylor is 2nd on the team with 26 homers. Over his last six games, Jhonkensy Noel has gone 6/19 with three homers and five RBIs.

Overall, the Guardians are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. They have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 4.9 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .241 and have the 11th most homers in the league.

The Brewers’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Dodgers, closing out their series with a 6-4 win. After allowing two runs to the Dodgers in the top of the first, the Brewers responded with three runs of their own. Milwaukee went on to add another three runs in the 3rd inning.

Starting for the Brewers was Tobias Myers, who picked up the win. He went 5 2/3 innings, giving up just two runs on eight hits. Milwaukee’s offense was carried by Jackson Chourio, who went 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.

Milwaukee is hosting the Guardians today with an overall record of 69-52, and they lead the NL Central by nine games over the Cardinals. The Brewers are coming off a series split vs. the Dodgers and have gone 7-3 over their last 10 games. At home, the Brewers are 35-24 this season and 34-28 on the road.

The Brewers have an overall series record of 21-14-4 this season, and they are 2.0 underdogs today, a role in which they are 31-24 this year. As the favorite, the Brewers are 38-28. Milwaukee has won two straight as the underdog, and they are 8-9 as the home underdog this year.

The Brewers are 28-31 against the run line at home this season, but they’ve covered in two straight home games. Their run line record is 63-58 overall, and they’ve been a good bet on the run line as underdogs, going 37-18. The Brewers are outscoring opponents by an average of 0.6 runs per game at home and 1.0 runs per game on the road.

When the Milwaukee Brewers host the Cleveland Guardians, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The Brewers’ games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 66-49. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 8-9-2. Overall, 59.5% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, and their current over streak is at 2 games.

Right-hander Aaron Civale gets the start for the Brewers today and comes into the game with a record of 3-8 and an ERA of 5.02. So far this season, he has made 23 starts, and opponents are batting .265 off him. Civale’s last outing came on August 9th, where he picked up the win, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on five hits. Before that, he had allowed at least five earned runs in three straight starts. Civale has made five quality starts this year and has a BB/9 figure of 2.97.

William Contreras has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/30 in his last eight games with four homers and seven RBIs. For the season, he is batting .285 with 16 homers, which is 3rd on the team. Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins are the Brewers’ top two home run hitters, with Adames leading the team with 21 homers and Hoskins right behind him at 20. Adames’ 81 RBIs is 11th best in the league.

As a team, the Brewers are 8th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, also averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are 6th in batting average and have the 3rd best on-base percentage in the league.

There are a few ways you could look to play this one, but we are going to stick with a straight Brewers win. The payout for a Brewers win is -102, and we have them taking this one 5-4. If you are looking to place a bet on the over/under, the line is sitting at 8 runs, and we would take the over.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Aaron Civale finishing with five strikeouts compared to Gavin Williams with seven. However, Civale is projected to finish with a better ERA than Williams.

Offensively, the Brewers are projected to finish with eight hits compared to the Guardians with nine. However, the Guardians are projected to finish with fewer runs than the Brewers.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Tips

• We like the Brewers on the moneyline (-102)
• On the run line we like Brewers (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report

Cleveland Guardians Injury Report