Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins Preview
From Globe Life Field in Arlington, we have the Twins and Rangers facing off in an AL matchup. This one gets started at 8:05 PM ET and is being televised by BSN.
Minnesota is currently 2nd in the AL Central with a record of 68-53, while the Rangers are 3rd in the AL West at 56-66. The money line odds have the Twins at -103 compared to the Rangers at -116. Friday’s over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs, and Andrew Heaney is starting for the Rangers, while the Twins are going with Simeon Woods Richardson.
Check out BetCoco for Texas Rangers – Minnesota Twins odds
Texas Rangers vs. Minnesota Twins Trends and Key Stats
- The Twins are 3-2 across their last five road games. They have gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
- On the opposing side, the Rangers have a 2-3 (SU) record, along with a 4-1 record in their last five home contests.
- In the past ten games, when playing as the favorite, the Twins have a record of 8-2, while as the underdog, they have a record of 4-6.
- 6-4 is the record of the Rangers as the favorite, while their record as the underdog stands at 3-7.
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Twins vs Rangers series. Minnesota went into the matchup as slight favorites at -120 and squeaked out a 3-2 win. The Twins had a two-run 2nd inning but didn’t score another run until putting up the game’s go-ahead run in the top of the 9th. As for the Rangers, they scored their only two runs in the 1st.
Both teams finished with eight hits in the game, and the Twins actually struck out seven more times than the Rangers. Minnesota’s two-through-four hitters, Willi Castro, Kyle Farmer, and Nelson Cruz, combined for six of the team’s eight hits and all three of their RBIs.
Bailey Ober started for the Twins and went six innings while giving up two earned runs and striking out three. Jorge Alcala got the win out of the bullpen, and Jhoan Duran got the save. Cody Bradford put together a solid outing for the Rangers, going six innings and giving up two earned runs on six hits.
Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction
Minnesota is 68-53 overall, putting them four games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. The Twins took the first game of their series vs. the Rangers and have an overall division record of 28-17. At home, the Twins are 36-24 this year and 32-29 on the road.
As the road favorite, the Twins have gone 26-12 this year, and they are 55-31 overall as the favorite. Minnesota’s overall series record is 23-13-3 heading into today’s game. So far, they have been the underdog 35 times, going 13-22 in those games.
When the Twins win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.8 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.6 runs per game. Overall, they have a run differential of 0.6 runs per game, and their run line record is 59-62. They have been a better bet on the run line on the road, where they are 32-29 vs. 27-33 at home.
Minnesota’s road games have averaged 9.2 runs per game, and their over/under record is 62-55. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 19-18. The over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs for 12 of their games this season, accounting for 9.9% of their games. Their under streak is at 2 games.
Simeon Woods Richardson gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Rangers on the road. So far this season, he has made 20 starts and has a record of 3-3 with a 3.78 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Woods Richardson has a WHIP of 1.18 and has allowed a total of 11 home runs. The right-hander has turned in seven quality starts this year and is averaging 8 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up two earned runs in seven innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts.
Over his last five games, Byron Buxton has two homers while going 4/15 (.267). This has him tied with Ryan Jeffers for the team lead in homers at 17 apiece. Jeffers also leads the Twins in RBIs, with 53. Carlos Santana and Byron Buxton are also tied for 2nd on the team in homers, with 16 apiece. As a team, the Twins are 7th in home runs and are 7th in scoring, at 4.9 runs per game.
Carlos Santana has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/28 in his last eight games. This stretch includes two homers and three RBIs. Max Kepler is also swinging the bat well, with a .333 average over his last eight games. Willi Castro has two homers in his last nine games but is hitting just .211 during this stretch.
Texas is 56-66 overall this season, and they trail the Astros by 10 games in the AL West. So far, they are 14-18 in divisional games and have lost three straight series. The Rangers have an overall series record of 15-23-1 this year.
At home, the Rangers are 31-28 compared to 25-38 on the road. As the favorite, Texas has gone 36-28 this year and 20-38 as the underdog. The Rangers have dropped three straight at home, and their overall record as the home underdog is 5-11 this year.
When the Rangers win, they win big. Their average run margin in victories is +3.8, but when they lose, it’s -3.7. Their overall run line record is 53-69, and they are 25-34 at home. As an underdog, they are 31-27 vs. the run line.
When the Rangers play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Texas has gone over the line in 19 of 41 games with an O/U line of 8.5 runs, and their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season. Overall, the over/under record for the Rangers is 55-62, and the average O/U line for their games is 9 runs.
Andrew Heaney gets the start for the Rangers today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Yankees. In that start, he took the loss, going 4 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. Looking back over his last four starts, Heaney has allowed at least one homer in each outing. So far this season, he has given up a total of 16 homers. He comes into the game with a record of 4-12 and an ERA of 4.05. Overall, Heaney has made 23 starts, six of which were quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.62 strikeouts and 2.55 walks.
Adolis Garcia has been on fire at the plate for the Rangers, going 16/38 with two homers over his last 10 games. For the season, he is 2nd on the team with 20 homers but is batting just .227. Texas will also be looking for Corey Seager to get back on track, as he has four homers in his last nine games but is batting just .237 over that stretch.
As a team, the Rangers are 19th in the league at 4.3 runs per game. They have been a better offensive team on the road so far this season, averaging 4.4 runs per contest. Overall, the Rangers are batting a combined .239, which is 15th in the league.
Our pick for today’s Twins vs. Rangers matchup is to take the Rangers on the money line, with the payout being -116. We have the Rangers coming out on top by a score of 6-5.
Looking at the starting pitching, Andrew Heaney is predicted to finish with seven strikeouts, which is good for seventh among today’s starters. As for Simeon Woods Richardson, he is projected to finish with five K’s, which has him ranked 15th.
Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins Betting Tips
- We like the Rangers on the moneyline (-116)
- On the run line we like Rangers (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Texas Rangers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Max Scherzer | Out | Shoulder |
| Jacob deGrom | Out | Elbow |
| Nathan Eovaldi | Probable | Side |
| Jon Gray | Out | Groin |
| Josh Sborz | Out | Shoulder |
| Cole Winn | Out | Shoulder |
| Evan Carter | Out | Back |
| Carson Coleman | Out | Elbow |
| Jacob Latz | Out | Forearm |
Minnesota Twins Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony DeSclafani | Out | Elbow |
| Carlos Correa | Out | Heel |
| Byron Buxton | Out | Hip |
| Alex Kirilloff | Out | Back |
| Chris Paddack | Out | Forearm |
| Brock Stewart | Out | Undisclosed |
| Justin Topa | Out | Knee |
| Joe Ryan | Out | Teres Major |
| Daniel Duarte | Out | Elbow |
| Kody Funderburk | Out | Oblique |
| Brooks Lee | Out | Bicep |
